Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg Prediction 13 September 2026
🔊 The Østfold derby has gone to the home side both times this year. In March, Fredrikstad beat Sarpsborg 08 2-1 in the Norwegian Cup, and in May Sarpsborg returned the favour with the same scoreline at home, scoring the decisive goal in stoppage time. The two neighbours are close in the table as well: Fredrikstad are eighth, Sarpsborg ninth, with a two-point gap between them.
Head-to-Head
Fredrikstad and Sarpsborg have met eight times. Each side has won three of those meetings, with two draws. In terms of goals, Sarpsborg have a slight edge - 11 to Fredrikstad's 10.
Head-to-head statistics Fredrikstad - Sarpsborg
Fredrikstad Team Overview
In May, Fredrikstad sacked Andreas Hagen when the team had ten points and sat tenth in the table. They replaced him with Dane Kasper Røjkjær, previously an assistant at Nordsjælland, who is taking charge as a head coach for the first time at Fredrikstad. The change has worked: 16 points from ten matches and a return to the top half of the table. Fredrikstad have been solid at home this season, winning five of their nine Eliteserien matches on their own ground. However, they have conceded in 18 of their last 20 home games, and last round Bodø/Glimt took all three points from Fredrikstad. Kennedy Okpaleke and Sigurd Kvile are injured.
Match Results: Fredrikstad
Sarpsborg Team Overview
Sarpsborg have had a remarkably consistent - if uneventful - season: 24 points and six draws from 19 Eliteserien matches. The club are in their first year under 36-year-old Even Sel. Goals have been hard to come by - 22 for the season, with only four clubs in the league scoring fewer. Away from home, they have failed to win in 8 of their last 9 Eliteserien matches. In the previous round, the visitors drew 2-2 with Vålerenga.
Match Results: Sarpsborg
Match Result Prediction
Away from home, Sarpsborg have failed to win in 8 of their last 9 matches. Fredrikstad at home tell a different story: five wins this season and three defeats. The bet is Fredrikstad not to lose.
The Risky Bet
Neither side is particularly prolific: Fredrikstad average 1.21 goals per match, Sarpsborg 1.16. They concede plenty too - 1.58 and 1.32 per game respectively. At home, Fredrikstad have conceded in 18 of their last 20 matches, which gives the visitors something to work with. The counter-argument is the head-to-head record, where goals have always been hard to come by. That's the risk. The bet is Both Teams to Score - Yes.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely outcomes are 1-1 (12.16%), 1-0 (10.64%) and 0-1 (9.72%). A 1-1 draw is the most probable result, though the chances of a narrow win for either side are also quite significant.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Fredrikstad have scored more than one goal in just one of their last eight Eliteserien matches - a second goal from the hosts is a rare occurrence. In their last eight home matches, the combined total has been under four goals. The same applies to the last five head-to-head meetings between these two sides, so this is not a fixture that tends to produce goals. We are not expecting more than one goal from Fredrikstad. The bet is Fredrikstad Team Total - Under 1.5. Predicted score: 1-1.
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Betting Tips: Fredrikstad - Sarpsborg
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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