Sarpsborg vs Fredrikstad Prediction 9 May 2026

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Key points

    🔊 The match between Sarpsborg and Fredrikstad promises to be intriguing due to the contrasting styles of the opponents. Both teams are not in their best form, yet they bring different approaches to the game. Sarpsborg aims to solidify their defense, while Fredrikstad focuses on attacking play, despite their defensive struggles.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place on 08 March 2026 and ended with a 2-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (Fredrikstad were the home side):

    • possession percentage: 51% vs 49%;
    • corners: 7 vs 5;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 0.

    📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Sarpsborg and Fredrikstad:

    • 7 matches played;
    • home team wins - 2, away team wins - 3, draws - 2;
    • goals scored - 9 for each team;
    • average total in the 1st half - 0.71, in the 2nd half - 1.86;
    • average total goals per match - 2.57.

    Head-to-head statistics Sarpsborg - Fredrikstad

    33%
    3 Wins
    33%
    3 Draws
    33%
    3 Wins
    Total games
    9
    Total Goals Avg
    2.56
    Both teams scored
    67%
    1.33
    Total average
    1.22
    1.44
    Yellow cards
    1.78
    Last matches
    13.09.26
    Eliteserien
    Fredrikstad
    Fredrikstad
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    1.77
    0.27
    6
    3
    9
    15
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1.77
    0.27
    6
    3
    9
    15
    2
    0
    09.05.26
    Eliteserien
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    Fredrikstad
    Fredrikstad
    1.65
    0.81
    11
    3
    15
    19
    4
    4
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1.65
    0.81
    11
    3
    15
    19
    4
    4
    08.03.26
    NM Cup
    Fredrikstad
    Fredrikstad
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    -
    -
    7
    5
    -
    -
    1
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    5
    -
    -
    1
    0
    08.11.25
    Eliteserien
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    Fredrikstad
    Fredrikstad
    1.07
    0.61
    7
    6
    13
    9
    2
    3
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    1.07
    0.61
    7
    6
    13
    9
    2
    3
    01.06.25
    Eliteserien
    Fredrikstad
    Fredrikstad
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    1.64
    2.35
    6
    9
    12
    6
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.64
    2.35
    6
    9
    12
    6
    2
    2
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    Sarpsborg Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on in the Eliteserien, featuring Lillestrøm as the home side and Sarpsborg as the visitors. The game concluded with a 4-0 scoreline.

    Here are the match statistics (Sarpsborg vs Lillestrøm):

    • possession percentage: 51% vs 49%;
    • corners: 3 vs 3;
    • fouls: 13 vs 12;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 1 vs 4.

    Sarpsborg find themselves in a challenging position, sitting 13th in the table and struggling with their scoring form. Over their last five matches, the team has failed to secure a single win, suffering four defeats and managing just one draw. Their average goal tally is less than one per game, highlighting their offensive frailties. Defensively, they are also underwhelming, conceding over one goal per match. However, playing at home offers a glimmer of hope for better results, particularly considering previous trends of low-scoring encounters.

    Match Results: Sarpsborg

    Last matches
    18.09.26
    Eliteserien
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    KFUM Oslo
    KFUM Oslo
    2.78
    1.08
    11
    1
    7
    9
    1
    2
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    2.78
    1.08
    11
    1
    7
    9
    1
    2
    L
    13.09.26
    Eliteserien
    Fredrikstad
    Fredrikstad
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    1.77
    0.27
    6
    3
    9
    15
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1.77
    0.27
    6
    3
    9
    15
    2
    0
    D
    06.09.26
    Eliteserien
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    Valerenga
    Valerenga
    2.17
    1.54
    7
    8
    11
    15
    1
    1
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    2.17
    1.54
    7
    8
    11
    15
    1
    1
    D
    30.08.26
    Eliteserien
    Tromsoe
    Tromsoe
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    1.46
    0.64
    5
    3
    11
    6
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.46
    0.64
    5
    3
    11
    6
    2
    1
    D
    22.08.26
    NM Cup
    IL Sparta Sarpsborg
    IL Sparta Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    -
    -
    2
    6
    -
    -
    1
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    2
    6
    -
    -
    1
    0
    W
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    Fredrikstad Team Overview

    The visitors last played an official match on in the Eliteserien, where Brann hosted Fredrikstad. The game concluded with a 3-1 scoreline.

    Here's a breakdown of the match statistics (Fredrikstad vs Brann):

    • possession: 39% vs 61%;
    • corner kicks: 2 vs 3;
    • fouls: 10 vs 13;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 4.

    Fredrikstad are positioned 12th in the league standings and exhibit a more attacking style of play. Despite this approach, they struggle defensively, conceding over two goals per match on average. In their last five games, they have secured one win, drawn once, and suffered three losses, highlighting their inconsistent form. However, their ability to find the back of the net remains strong, with an average of around 1.3 goals per game. This balance between attack and defense makes Fredrikstad an unpredictable opponent, capable of both creating chances and making defensive errors.

    Match Results: Fredrikstad

    Last matches
    20.09.26
    Eliteserien
    Valerenga
    Valerenga
    Fredrikstad
    Fredrikstad
    1
    1.57
    0.85
    9
    6
    9
    12
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.57
    0.85
    9
    6
    9
    12
    0
    1
    D
    16.09.26
    NM Cup
    Stjordals Blink
    Stjordals Blink
    Fredrikstad
    Fredrikstad
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    W
    13.09.26
    Eliteserien
    Fredrikstad
    Fredrikstad
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    1.77
    0.27
    6
    3
    9
    15
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1.77
    0.27
    6
    3
    9
    15
    2
    0
    D
    04.09.26
    Eliteserien
    Fredrikstad
    Fredrikstad
    Bodo/Glimt
    Bodo/Glimt
    0.84
    1.92
    3
    5
    9
    5
    3
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0.84
    1.92
    3
    5
    9
    5
    3
    1
    L
    30.08.26
    Eliteserien
    Lillestrom
    Lillestrom
    Fredrikstad
    Fredrikstad
    1.89
    2.89
    10
    3
    10
    8
    2
    1
    1
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1.89
    2.89
    10
    3
    10
    8
    2
    1
    W
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 7;
    • First-half wins at home for hosts - 0; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 2;
    • Average first-half total: 0.71;
    • Today's home team scores on average 0.43, while the visitors net 0.29.

    First-Half Stats: Sarpsborg (home) vs Fredrikstad (away)

    • matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 4;
    • wins: 1 (33.33%) vs 0 (0%);
    • losses: 0 (0%) vs 2 (50%);
    • draws: 2 (66.67%) vs 2 (50%);
    • Average goals scored: 1 vs 1;
    • Average goals conceded: 0.33 vs 0.75.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • wins: 4 vs 1;
    • losses: 2 vs 6;
    • draws: 4 vs 3;
    • Average first-half total: 1.4 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.6) vs 1.8 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 1.2).
    Trends
    • Fredrikstad conceded in the 1st half in 9 of last 10 games.
    • Fredrikstad conceded in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 games (Eliteserien).
    👉Prediction: 1st half, Sarpsborg to score goal (odds: 1.66)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 7;
    • home team wins - 2, away team wins - 3, draws - 2.

    Statistics: Sarpsborg vs Fredrikstad

    • matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 7;
    • wins: 1 vs 2;
    • win percentage: 14% vs 29%;
    • losses: 4 vs 4;
    • draws: 2 vs 1.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 2 vs 3;
    • losses: 6 vs 6;
    • draws: 2 vs 1.
    Trends
    • Sarpsborg have not won in last 6 games (Eliteserien).
    👉Prediction: Fredrikstad will not lose (odds: 1.7)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • the home team scores on average - 1.29, the guests - 1.29;
    • average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 2.57;
    • both teams scored: overall - 4; at the home team's field - 0.
    Trends
    • Sarpsborg have scored under 1.5 goals in 9 of last 10 games.
    • Sarpsborg have scored under 1.5 goals in last 6 games (Eliteserien).
    👉Prediction: Sarpsborg Total goals Under (1,5) (odds: 1.97)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 7;
    • both teams scored all-time - 4 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 0 times.

    Statistics: Sarpsborg vs Fredrikstad

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 7;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 3 vs 5;
    • number of BTTS matches for Sarpsborg at home - 2 (67%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Fredrikstad away - 2 (50%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 7;
    • BTTS matches for Sarpsborg at home - 2 (50%);
    • BTTS matches for Fredrikstad away - 3 (50%).
    Trends
    • Fredrikstad have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (Yes) (odds: 1.48)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (9/57, 15.8%);
    • Sarpsborg at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (2/3, 66.7%);
    • Fredrikstad away most often play: 2:0 , 2:3 , 3:1 , 4:0 (1/4, 25%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 10.75% (odds 8)
    2:1 - 8.77% (odds 8.5)
    1:0 - 8.58% (odds 10)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:1) (odds: 8)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Considering current trends and team form, the match promises to be intense. Sarpsborg have been unable to secure a win in their last six games, which supports the trend of a double chance favoring the visitors. Additionally, the team rarely scores more than 1.5 goals per game. On the other hand, Fredrikstad exhibit an attacking style of play, showing the ability to both score and concede in most of their matches. Despite issues on both sides, their overall playing styles suggest goals from both teams. Therefore, betting on both teams to score seems the most reasonable prediction in this situation.

    Both Teams to Score – (Yes)
    Odds-208
    Published: 06/05/2026, 12:47

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    Betting Tips: Sarpsborg - Fredrikstad

    Sarpsborg have drawn in the 1st half:
    sarpsborgfredrikstad-fkin 6 of last 7 games against Fredrikstad.
    1st Half Draw
    Everygame
    +135
    Sarpsborg have not won:
    sarpsborgin last 6 games (Eliteserien).
    Fredrikstad will not lose
    Everygame
    -122
    Sarpsborg have scored under 2.5 goals:
    sarpsborgfredrikstad-fkin last 6 games against Fredrikstad.
    sarpsborgin 12 of last 13 home games.
    sarpsborgin 11 of last 12 home games (Eliteserien).
    Sarpsborg Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    -400
    Sarpsborg conceded in the 2nd half:
    sarpsborgfredrikstad-fkin last 5 games against Fredrikstad.
    2nd half, Fredrikstad will score goal
    -118
    View more facts

    Sarpsborg - Fredrikstad Table position

    Eliteserien 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    6.
    Lillestrom
    Lillestrom
    21102928-2932
    7.
    Brann
    Brann
    21921039-3229
    8.
    Fredrikstad
    Fredrikstad
    2184925-3228
    9.
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    2167824-2925
    10.
    KFUM Oslo
    KFUM Oslo
    21741025-3525
    11.
    Sandefjord
    Sandefjord
    21651021-2723

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    5 - Draws
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 6
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 12
    Conceded - 13
    -1
    +8
    18 - Scored
    10 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    6
    5
    Draws
    2
    3
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    12
    Scored
    18
    13
    Conceded
    10
    2.5
    Match goals average
    2.8
    1.2
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.8
    1.3
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1
    6
    Both teams scored
    5
    75'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    50'
    View all stats