Excelsior vs Groningen Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 11 October 2026
📢 Excelsior and Groningen are sitting next to each other in the table, in seventh and eighth place respectively. The two sides have the same number of points and are both looking to close the gap on the leading group, with attack a clear priority for each of them. Excelsior are averaging more than two goals per match, while Groningen also score regularly but concede almost two per game. Given those numbers, their head-to-head meeting looks set to be an interesting one.
Head-to-Head
Excelsior beat Groningen 3-2 away in an Eredivisie match on 02 May 2026. The teams were level at 1-1 at half-time, but Excelsior scored one more goal in the end. Despite having less possession, they had more shots than Groningen - 18 to 12 - including 9 to 5 on target.
Across 27 official meetings, Groningen hold a clear advantage: 17 wins to Excelsior's six, with four draws. The goal difference also favours Groningen - 51:27 - though Excelsior won the most recent encounter.
Head-to-head statistics Excelsior - Groningen
Excelsior Team Overview
In their previous Eredivisie match on , Excelsior drew 2-2 away at Ajax. That result stands out against the shot statistics: the visitors managed just four shots to Ajax's 33, with an expected goals figure of 0.58 against 3.32.
Excelsior have made a reasonably confident start to the season and sit seventh in the table with 11 points. In their last five matches they have won two, drawn two and lost one, showing good form. Over a longer run of ten matches they have won five, with their attacking line particularly impressive - averaging 2.2 goals per game. Their defence has looked relatively solid too, conceding 1.4 goals per match, which has allowed the team to pick up positive results on a regular basis.
Match Results: Excelsior
Groningen Team Overview
Groningen's 3-0 home win over Zwolle on was their last Eredivisie match. They were already 2-0 up by half-time and had seven shots on target throughout the game compared to just one from their opponents.
Groningen sit eighth on the same 11 points, so this match carries particular significance for both sides. In attack, the visitors look fairly convincing, averaging 2.14 goals per game in the current league season. Over their last ten matches that figure drops slightly to 1.9 goals, while their defence has been conceding an average of 1.7 per game. Groningen have also lacked consistency of late: after two consecutive defeats, they managed to end that run with a draw and a win.
Match Results: Groningen
Total Goals Prediction
In Excelsior's last 8 matches, Total Goals - Over 2.5 has landed every time, reflecting the team's consistent scoring output. The seasonal averages for both sides also point towards a high-scoring game: Excelsior average 2.14 goals per match, while Groningen average 2.14. Over their last 10 matches, Excelsior are averaging 2.2 goals and Groningen 1.9, with both teams conceding fairly regularly. This creates favourable conditions for Total Goals - Over 2.5 at odds of 1.48*.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Groningen have scored and conceded in 10 of their last 11 matches, which points to a high likelihood of both teams finding the net. Excelsior have scored in 12 consecutive matches, and both sides have good average scoring figures this season and over their last 10 matches. Given these trends, Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.44 looks reasonable.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 1-1 (10.55%), 2-2 (8.16%) and 1-2 (7.98%). Our editorial team expects the match to end 2-2.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The bookmakers have not made either side a clear favourite, which is understandable given that the two teams are fairly evenly matched. Both sides prefer attacking football and are regularly involved in high-scoring matches. Groningen's record is particularly telling: they scored and conceded in 10 of their last 11 Eredivisie matches. Excelsior have also kept up a high tempo, with at least three goals scored in eight consecutive matches involving them. Given both teams' attacking potential and defensive vulnerabilities, there is every reason to expect goals at both ends. Our pick, therefore, is Both Teams to Score - Yes.
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Betting Tips: Excelsior - Groningen
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