Excelsior vs Groningen Prediction 5 December 2025
We're looking forward to an intriguing match between Excelsior and Groningen. Both teams have shown inconsistent form in recent games, but each side has its own unique traits. Excelsior are mid-table and eager to solidify their position, though their recent results have been shaky, alternating between wins and losses. On the other hand, Groningen sit higher up in the standings and boast strong attacking potential, which could prove decisive in this encounter.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 16 January 2024 and ended with a 0-2 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (with Excelsior as the home side):
- corners: 4 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1.
📊Statistical preview of official encounters between Excelsior and Groningen:
- 25 matches played;
- home wins - 5, away wins - 16, draws - 4;
- goals scored - 24 for Excelsior, 47 for Groningen;
- average goals in the first half - 1, in the second half - 1.84;
- average total goals per match - 2.84.
Head-to-head statistics Excelsior - Groningen

Excelsior Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Eredivisie, with Excelsior hosting NAC Breda. The match concluded with a 1-0 victory.
Here are the match statistics (Excelsior vs NAC Breda):
- possession: 43% vs 57%;
- corners: 1 vs 6;
- fouls: 22 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 3.
Excelsior are struggling to rack up points, having secured only 5 wins out of 14 matches this season. Despite these challenges, they show fighting spirit at home, though their scoring ability remains lackluster. They average just one goal per game, and their recent home streak has seen several consecutive defeats. Their last victory came just two games ago. Excelsior's style of play relies on ball possession and creating opportunities through the wings.
Match Results: Excelsior

Groningen Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Eredivisie, where Ajax hosted Groningen. The game ended with a 2-0 victory for Ajax.
Here are the match statistics (Groningen vs Ajax):
- possession percentage: 51% vs 49%;
- corners: 5 vs 3;
- fouls: 10 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 7 vs 6.
Groningen are performing well both at home and away, boasting 6 wins with an average of 1.46 goals per game. The team is also well-organized defensively, thanks to their balanced approach that avoids unnecessary risks going forward. Away from home, they tend to score less than 1.5 goals in most of their recent encounters with Excelsior. This statistic remains relevant for the upcoming match.
Match Results: Groningen
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 25;
- First-half wins for the home team - 3; for the away team - 4; draws - 6;
- Average first-half total: 1;
- The current home team averages 0.36 goals, while the visitors average 0.64.
First-Half Statistics: Excelsior (home) vs Groningen (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 6;
- Wins: 3 (42.86%) vs 2 (33.33%);
- Losses: 1 (14.29%) vs 1 (16.67%);
- Draws: 3 (42.86%) vs 3 (50%);
- Average goals scored: 1.14 vs 1.33;
- Average goals conceded: 0.43 vs 0.67.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Wins: 5 vs 4;
- Losses: 1 vs 1;
- Draws: 4 vs 5;
- Average first-half total: 1.2 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.4) vs 0.9 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.3).
- Excelsior have scored in the first half in 8 of their last 9 matches (Eredivisie).
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 25;
- Home wins - 5, Away wins - 16, Draws - 4.
Statistics: Excelsior vs Groningen
- Matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- Wins: 5 vs 6;
- Win percentage: 36% vs 46%;
- Losses: 8 vs 5;
- Draws: 1 vs 2.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 4 vs 4;
- Losses: 5 vs 4;
- Draws: 1 vs 2.
- Excelsior have lost 6 of their last 7 head-to-head meetings against Groningen.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Today's hosts average goals scored - 0.96, visitors - 1.88;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.84;
- Both teams have scored: overall - 11 times; at the home team's ground - 7 times.
Statistics: Excelsior vs Groningen
- Average tournament total: 2.71 vs 2.92;
- Average goals scored: 1 vs 1.46;
- Average first-half total: 0.64 vs 0.77;
- Average second-half total: 0.36 vs 0.69;
- Excelsior: average home total in the tournament - 0.86;
- Groningen: average away total in the tournament - 1.33;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1) vs 1.2 (away - 1.4).
- Groningen have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in away matches in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head encounters with Excelsior (Eredivisie).
Corners Prediction
Excelsior: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 4.07; at home - 3.86;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.8; at home - 3.5.
Groningen: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 5.46, away - 4.17;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 6.2; away - 5.
- Excelsior have delivered fewer than 4.5 corners in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head meetings with Groningen.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 1.76 (0.88 for the hosts and 0.88 for the visitors);
- Average yellow cards at the home ground - 1.84 (0.69 for the hosts and 1.15 for the visitors).
Excelsior: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 1.5; at home - 1.43;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 1.6; at home - 1.25.
Groningen: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 2, away - 2;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 1.6; away - 1.6.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 25;
- Both teams scored overall - 11 times;
- At the home team's ground - 7 times.
Statistics: Excelsior vs Groningen
- Total matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- Total matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 8 vs 7;
- BTTS for Excelsior at home - 3 (43%);
- BTTS for Groningen away - 4 (67%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: 6 vs 5;
- BTTS for Excelsior at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS for Groningen away - 3 (60%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both teams have their strengths: Excelsior will aim to leverage home advantage and impose their style through possession. Groningen, on the other hand, will look to capitalize on swift counterattacks and solid defense. Considering the head-to-head statistics, it's reasonable to predict low scoring from the visitors-Groningen rarely scores more than one goal per match against this opponent away from home. Our bet is on Groningen's individual total under 1.5.