Groningen vs Excelsior Prediction 2 May 2026
🔊 In the 32nd round of the Dutch Championship, Groningen face off against Excelsior. The teams have different objectives: the hosts are clinging to their hopes of securing a spot in European competitions, while the visitors aim to ensure their safety from direct relegation. The clash is scheduled to kick off at 16:45. This Eredivisie fixture will take place in Groningen at the "Hitachi Capital Mobility" stadium. The odds for a win have been set by bookmakers at and , respectively, making Groningen the favorites in this encounter.
Head-to-Head
The last official clash between these teams took place on 05 December 2025, with Groningen securing a 2-0 victory. Here's a comparative breakdown of the match stats (Excelsior were the hosts):
- possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corners: 5 vs 6;
- fouls: 10 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 8.
📊 Groningen have been utterly dominant in their home clashes against Excelsior, remaining unbeaten in front of their fans across all competitions for a staggering 18 matches in a row. In the head-to-head record, the clubs have squared off 26 times, with the "Pride of the North" securing victory on 17 occasions, while the "Red and Blacks" have managed just 5 wins. Four encounters have ended in a draw. When it comes to goals, Groningen also hold the upper hand: they've netted 49 times against their rivals, whereas Excelsior have found the back of the net only 24 times. On average, spectators witness around three goals per match (precisely, 2.81), with goal-scoring typically ramping up in the second half - averaging 1.85 compared to a more modest 0.96 in the first half.
Head-to-head statistics Groningen - Excelsior
Groningen Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Eredivisie, where they faced a more renowned and decorated club from Rotterdam - Feyenoord - and suffered a 1-3 defeat.
Here are the match statistics (Groningen vs Feyenoord):
- possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corners: 3 vs 3;
- fouls: 15 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 2 vs 4.
Groningen have played 31 matches this Eredivisie season, securing 12 victories, suffering 13 defeats, and drawing six times. Dick Lukkien's side currently sit ninth in the standings, keeping their hopes alive for a top-eight finish and a shot at the Conference League. In terms of goals, Groningen have found the back of the net 43 times while conceding just three fewer, with a total of 40 goals allowed. Despite this, their recent defensive performances have improved, achieving clean sheets in three of their last four games.
Match Results: Groningen
Excelsior Team Overview
The visitors played their last official match on in the Eredivisie, delivering a commanding 5-0 victory over another contender for the top eight, Utrecht.
Here are the match statistics (Excelsior vs Utrecht):
- possession: 59% vs 41%;
- corners: 3 vs 2;
- fouls: 12 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 9 vs 3.
The "Red and Blacks" have yet to secure their safety from direct relegation, let alone the playoff matches for a spot in the Eredivisie. Ruben den Eel's side have played 31 matches, managing to win only eight of them. They've suffered 16 defeats, while seven games ended in draws. Currently, Excelsior sit 14th in the league standings, six points clear of the automatic relegation zone and just one point above the playoff spots. The team has scored 36 goals this season, but their defense has been shaky, conceding a hefty 51 goals.
Match Results: Excelsior
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Played - 26;
- Home victories - 17, Away victories - 5, Draws - 4.
Statistics: Groningen vs Excelsior
- Matches in tournament: 31 vs 31;
- Wins: 12 vs 8;
- Win percentage: 39% vs 26%;
- Losses: 13 vs 16;
- Draws: 6 vs 7.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 3 vs 2;
- Losses: 5 vs 6;
- Draws: 2 vs 2.
- Groningen have won 7 of the last 8 head-to-head encounters against this team.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches (average total):
- Home team - 1.88, Away team - 0.92;
- In head-to-head matches - 2.81;
- Both teams scored: overall - 11 times; at home ground - 4 times.
Average Total Goals Statistics: Groningen vs Excelsior
- In tournament: 2.68 vs 2.81;
- Goals scored: 1.39 vs 1.16;
- First half: 0.58 vs 0.58;
- Second half: 0.81 vs 0.58;
- Groningen: at home in tournament - 1.53;
- Excelsior: away in tournament - 1.13;
- Last 10 matches: 1.5 (home - 1.6) vs 1.4 (away - 1.4).
- Excelsior have scored less than 1.5 goals away in their last 9 head-to-head matches against this team.
Corners Prediction
Groningen: Statistics
- Season: average total in tournament - 6.39; at home - 7.13;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.9; at home - 4.8.
Excelsior: Statistics
- Season: average total in tournament - 4, away - 3.87;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 3.8; away - 2.8.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Played - 26;
- Both teams scored overall - 11 times;
- At home ground - 4 times.
Statistics: Groningen vs Excelsior
- Played in tournament: 31 vs 31;
- Season matches with both teams scoring (BTTS): 16 vs 19;
- Groningen: BTTS at home - 7 (47%);
- Excelsior: BTTS away - 11 (73%).
Last 10 matches:
- Matches with BTTS: 7 vs 6;
- Groningen: BTTS at home - 3 (60%);
- Excelsior: BTTS away - 4 (80%).
Exact Score Prediction
Frequent Scorelines (current season):
- The most common score in the tournament: 1-1 (31/279, 11.1%);
- Groningen most often finishes home matches as: 1-2 (3/15, 20%);
- Excelsior most often plays away as: 2-1 (3/15, 20%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top-3 outcomes:
1-0 - 11.27% (odds: 9.5)
2-1 - 10.36% (odds: 8)
1-1 - 10.19% (odds: 8)
Editor's Prediction
Groningen are undoubtedly brimming with confidence ahead of their next clash with a long-time rival. With seven wins in their last eight head-to-head encounters, they have made a strong statement of dominance on the pitch. Such statistics give Groningen fans every reason to hope for another triumph for their team. The history between these clubs leaves little doubt about the outcome of the upcoming match. Our pick for the game is a Groningen victory.
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Betting Tips: Groningen - Excelsior
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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