Burgos vs Granada Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 12 October 2026
🔊 Burgos lost to Almería last time out, ending a run of three consecutive wins. Granada, by contrast, came from two goals down to beat Real Sociedad B. The hosts have collected 14 points from 8 matches, while the visitors trail by 3 points. Burgos have not lost at home for some time, and Granada have recently been involved in high-scoring matches in the Segunda División on a regular basis.
The Burgas pitch has proven to be a favorable ground for Granada.
Burgos beat Granada away in the Segunda División, 1-0. In that match, both sides had 8 shots each, but Burgos created more dangerous attacks - 39 compared to 26.
📊 In six head-to-head meetings, Granada have won two, Burgos one, with three draws. At Burgos's ground, Granada are unbeaten: one win and two draws.
Head-to-head statistics Burgos - Granada
Burgos are riding a three-match home winning streak and remain unbeaten in recent outings.
Burgos lost their last Segunda División match away to Almería, going down 2-1 despite leading 1-0 at half-time. In that game, Almería outshot them 25-9 and had more dangerous attacks, 78-23.
Burgos have made a confident start to the season: four wins, two draws and two defeats from eight matches. In their last five games they have picked up 10 points, scoring seven goals and conceding four. They have been particularly impressive at home, where they have won three and drawn one. Their unbeaten home run in Segunda now stands at 16 matches. Across the eight rounds they have scored 12 goals and conceded nine - figures that are consistent with a play-off place challenge.
Match Results: Burgos CF
Granada’s results have been inconsistent.
Trailing Real Sociedad B 2-0 at half-time, Granada came back to win 3-2 in their last away match in the Segunda. They had 23 shots to their opponents' 17 and created 52 dangerous attacks to 28.
Granada come into this match after a difficult run: just one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five games. Over the past ten matchdays they have won three and lost five, which points to inconsistency and trouble picking up points. They retain a reasonable attacking threat - averaging 1.5 goals scored per game - but their defence has been making regular mistakes, conceding an average of 1.8 per game over their last ten matches. Granada are in the promotion race, but as of the start of the season their gap to the automatic promotion places had already reached nine points.
Match Results: Granada
Match Result Prediction
Burgos have turned El Plantío into a fortress that opponents have been unable to breach for several months. In the current league campaign, the hosts have taken 10 points from a possible 12 at home, scoring at least twice in three of those matches. Granada look less convincing away from home: two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five away trips. Even their recent victory over Real Sociedad B came with considerable difficulty - the decisive goal arrived in stoppage time. Bet: Burgos not to lose at 1.37*.
Goals Prediction
Granada are gradually finding their feet in attack, though the defence continues to let them down. In 4 of their last 5 league rounds the team both scored and conceded, netting 8 goals in total during that period while shipping 12. Burgos are in a similar position: both teams scored in 5 of their 8 league matches this season. The hosts average 1.5 goals per game, while the visitors average 1.63. Our pick: Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.90*.
Corners Prediction
The head-to-head history points towards a moderate number of corners. In their last three official meetings, the two sides combined for no more than 7 corners in total. Burgos have also stayed within 8 combined corners in each of their previous two home league matches. Granada, it should be said, tend to be more active in this regard - at least 8 corners were recorded in 6 of their last 7 matches. Even so, the head-to-head statistics make the riskier option worth considering. We're taking Total Corners - Under 8.5 at 2.03*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely outcomes are: 1-1 (11.42%), 2-1 (7.86%) and 1-0 (7.55%). The 1-1 scoreline has the highest probability, though a narrow home win is also worth considering.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Burgos rarely let opponents dictate terms on their own ground, and the head-to-head history with Granada points towards a cautious prediction. In 4 of the last 6 official meetings between the sides, no more than 2 goals were scored, with the 3 most recent matches particularly low-scoring. The hosts are capable of getting results without high-scoring affairs, as their recent 1-0 win over Eldense showed. However, 4 of Granada's last 5 matches have produced at least three goals, so the risk attached to this prediction remains significant. Predicted score: 1-1. Main bet: Total Goals - Under 2.5.
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Betting Tips: Burgos CF - Granada
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