Mallorca vs Las Palmas Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 11 October 2026
🔊 Mallorca drew with Girona (0-0) last weekend, extending their run of low-scoring matches. The hosts sit fifth with 14 points. Las Palmas are 11th in the Segunda and trail by three points, though their recent results have been considerably less convincing.
The main contrast is defensive reliability. Mallorca have conceded just 3 goals in 8 rounds, while Las Palmas have let in 13. The hosts have gone two rounds without a win, and the visitors have gone three without one.
Mallorca have dominated the head-to-head meetings.
Mallorca beat Las Palmas 3-1 in their most recent La Liga meeting on 16 February 2025, effectively settling the contest before half-time at 3-0. Despite near-equal possession, Mallorca outshot their opponents 14-9 and held a clear edge in expected goals, 2.09 to 0.97.
📊 In 15 official meetings, Mallorca have won twice as often as Las Palmas - 6 times to 3, with another 6 matches ending in draws. Mallorca also have the edge in goals: 24-18.
Head-to-head statistics Mallorca - Las Palmas
Mallorca: The league’s top defensive unit
Mallorca's final Segunda match ended in a goalless draw away at Girona. They managed nine shots but failed to register a single one on target. Girona had five shots on target and the better expected goals figure - 1.35 to 0.35.
Mallorca are among the leading sides thanks to their defensive record. After eight rounds, they have won four, drawn two and lost two, conceding just three goals - fewer than any other team in Segunda.
However, they have struggled to score recently. In their previous five rounds they managed just three goals, failing to score at all in three of those matches. At home, Mallorca have looked solid, winning three of their four matches.
Match Results: Mallorca
Las Palmas: Defensive Frailties Becoming More Frequent
In their most recent Segunda División match, Las Palmas drew 2-2 at home with Real Valladolid, having trailed 1-2 at half-time. Despite enjoying more of the ball, the hosts had fewer shots than their opponents - 12 to 15.
Las Palmas started the season with two wins from their opening two fixtures, but have dropped off noticeably since then. In their last five matches they have managed just one win, two draws and two defeats, scoring six goals and conceding seven in that run. Across eight matchdays in total, they have collected 11 points with a goal difference of 12-13.
The end of September was particularly rough. Las Palmas lost to Burgos and Eibar, then drew with Valladolid. Their away form is also mixed: two wins sit alongside defeats to Girona and Eibar.
Match Results: Las Palmas
Outcome Prediction
Las Palmas rarely lose heavily to Mallorca. In 10 of their last 11 head-to-head meetings, including the Copa del Rey, they either lost by no more than one goal or did not lose at all. Bet: Las Palmas - Handicap +1.5 at 1.50*.
Total Goals Prediction
Mallorca have become the meanest defence in Segunda. In their last five rounds, no more than two goals have been scored in any of their matches, and the average combined total over that run was just 0.8 goals.
At home, the hosts concede an average of just 0.25 goals per game. While Las Palmas come into this match on the back of three consecutive scoring games, Mallorca's defence is stronger than the opponents Las Palmas have faced recently. Our pick: Total Goals - Under 2.5 at 1.97*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the most likely outcomes for this match are 1-0 (12.15%), 2-0 (10.98%) and 1-1 (10.85%). All three scorelines have similar probabilities, though 1-0 has the best chance. This suggests a relatively low-scoring match with the home side having the edge.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Mallorca are not a high-scoring side, but they defend reliably even against strong opposition. They have already held Girona, and before that kept clean sheets against Sabadell and Real Sociedad B. Las Palmas can make things difficult, but their recent matches have been marked by frequent defensive errors. Mallorca do not need to score many goals to be in contention for three points. Predicted score: 1-0. Main bet: Total Goals - Under 2.5.
Will this prediction come true?
No comments
Betting Tips: Mallorca - Las Palmas
in 7 of last 8 games against Las Palmas.in 9 of last 10 home games.
in 13 of last 15 Mallorca games against Las Palmas.in 9 of last 10 Mallorca games against Las Palmas (Segunda División).in 9 of last 10 Mallorca home games.in 17 of last 18 Las Palmas away games (Segunda División).in 6 of last 7 Mallorca games against Las Palmas (Segunda División).in last 12 Mallorca home games.in 12 of last 14 games against Las Palmas.in last 9 games against Las Palmas (Segunda División).in 6 of last 7 home games against Las Palmas.in last 5 games (Segunda División).Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
