Cerro vs Defensor Prediction 11 October 2025

    ⚡️ In the upcoming Uruguayan Primera match, Cerro will host Defensor Sporting. The game is expected to be intense and dynamic, as both teams have crucial objectives this season. Cerro are aiming to avoid the relegation zone, while Defensor Sporting are fighting for higher positions on the table. Read the prediction for their clash below.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams ended with a 2-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (home team - Defensor Sporting):

    • possession: 64% vs 36%;
    • corners: 8 vs 5;
    • yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 2.

    📊Analytical review of past official encounters between Cerro and Defensor Sporting:

    • 36 matches played;
    • home team victories - 6, away team victories - 18, draws - 12;
    • goals scored (home/away) - 32 against 53;
    • average total goals per match - 2.36.

    Head-to-head statistics Cerro - Defensor

    21%
    8 Wins
    31%
    12 Draws
    49%
    19 Wins
    Total games
    39
    Total Goals Avg
    2.31
    Both teams scored
    54%
    0.9
    Total average
    1.41
    1.82
    Yellow cards
    1.54
    Last matches
    03.08.26
    Primera Division
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    5
    2
    -
    -
    3
    3
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    2
    -
    -
    3
    3
    05.04.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    -
    -
    4
    7
    -
    -
    6
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    7
    -
    -
    6
    3
    11.10.25
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    -
    -
    2
    3
    -
    -
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    2
    3
    -
    -
    1
    2
    22.06.25
    Primera Division
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    8
    5
    0
    0
    4
    2
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    8
    5
    0
    0
    4
    2
    14.04.25
    Primera Division
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    Cerro
    Cerro
    1
    -
    -
    1
    6
    0
    0
    4
    7
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    1
    6
    0
    0
    4
    7
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Cerro Team Overview

    The last official match took place in the Primera tournament, with Progreso hosting Cerro. The match concluded with a 2-0 victory.

    Here's the match statistics (Cerro vs Progreso):

    • possession percentage: 42% vs 58%;
    • corner kicks: 2 vs 2;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 5;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 2.

    Cerro are displaying inconsistent form, securing only two wins and suffering three losses in their last five matches. Currently sitting in 12th place on the table, they need to step up their performance to climb the standings and steer clear of the relegation zone. With an average of 0.87 goals scored per match and 1.23 goals conceded, they clearly face challenges both offensively and defensively.

    Match Results: Cerro

    Last matches
    21.08.26
    Primera Division
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    13
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    4
    0
    0
    0
    4
    0
    -
    -
    13
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    L
    15.08.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Albion
    Albion
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    0
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    0
    0
    W
    09.08.26
    Primera Division
    Danubio
    Danubio
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    11
    0
    -
    -
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    11
    0
    -
    -
    1
    3
    W
    03.08.26
    Primera Division
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    5
    2
    -
    -
    3
    3
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    2
    -
    -
    3
    3
    L
    26.07.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    -
    -
    4
    7
    -
    -
    3
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    7
    -
    -
    3
    2
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Defensor Sporting Team Overview

    The visitors recently played their last official match in the Primera tournament, with Defensor Sporting hosting Montevideo Wanderers. The match concluded with a 2-1 victory.

    Here are the game statistics (Defensor Sporting vs Montevideo Wanderers):

    • possession: 50% vs 50%;
    • corners: 6 vs 3;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 7.

    Defensor Sporting currently sit in fifth place. The team has been impressive in their form, with three wins and one draw in their last five matches, showcasing their stability and confidence on the field. Averaging 1.13 goals scored and conceding just 0.5 per game, they boast a solid defense and effective counterattacks. They clinched their latest victory over Cerro with a narrow margin, thanks to the organized play of the entire squad.

    Match Results: Defensor Sporting

    Last matches
    22.08.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    3
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    3
    0
    D
    16.08.26
    Primera Division
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    1
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    -
    -
    8
    4
    -
    -
    4
    5
    0
    4
    0
    1
    0
    3
    -
    -
    8
    4
    -
    -
    4
    5
    L
    09.08.26
    Primera Division
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    -
    -
    8
    5
    -
    -
    4
    4
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    8
    5
    -
    -
    4
    4
    L
    03.08.26
    Primera Division
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    5
    2
    -
    -
    3
    3
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    2
    -
    -
    3
    3
    W
    25.07.26
    Primera Division
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    -
    -
    5
    8
    -
    -
    1
    3
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    8
    -
    -
    1
    3
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    First Half Statistics: Cerro (Home) vs Defensor Sporting (Away)

    • Number of matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
    • Number of wins: 5 (33.33%) vs 3 (20%);
    • Number of losses: 3 (20%) vs 4 (26.67%);
    • Number of draws: 7 (46.67%) vs 8 (53.33%);
    • Average total goals scored: 1.07 vs 0.8;
    • Average total goals conceded: 0.47 vs 0.47.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Number of wins: 3 vs 1;
    • Number of losses: 3 vs 1;
    • Number of draws: 4 vs 8;
    • Average first half total: 1.5 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.9) vs 0.5 (scored - 0.2, conceded - 0.3).
    Trends
    • Defensor Sporting have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games.
    • Defensor Sporting have drawn in the 1st half in last 5 games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: 1st Half Draw(odds: 1.95)

    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 36;
    • Home wins - 6, Away wins - 18, Draws - 12.
    Trends
    • Cerro have covered the +1.5 handicap at home in 14 of their last 15 matches (Primera).
    👉Prediction: Cerro Handicap (+1,5)(odds: 1.2)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Today's hosts average goals - 0.89, visitors - 1.47;
    • Average total goals in head-to-heads - 2.36;
    • Both teams scored: overall - 20 times; at the home team's venue - 8 times.

    Statistics: Cerro vs Defensor Sporting

    • Average tournament total: 2.1 vs 2.13;
    • Average goals scored: 0.87 vs 1.13;
    • Average first-half total: 0.45 vs 0.48;
    • Average second-half total: 0.42 vs 0.65;
    • Cerro: average home total in the tournament - 1;
    • Defensor Sporting: average away total in the tournament - 0.67;
    • Last 10 matches (average total): 0.8 (home - 1) vs 1.1 (away - 0.6).
    Trends
    • Defensor Sporting have scored less than 1.5 goals away in 12 of their last 13 matches (Primera).
    👉Prediction: Defensor Sporting Total goals Under (1,5)(odds: 1.42)

    Corner Prediction

    Trends
    • Cerro have taken fewer than 4.5 corners in 11 consecutive matches (Primera).
    • Cerro have taken fewer than 4.5 corners at home in 10 consecutive matches (Primera).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Cerro Total Under (4,5)(odds: 1.68)

    Card Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches

    • Average total yellow cards in head-to-heads - 3.44 (1.72 for the home team and 1.72 for the visitors);
    • Average total yellow cards at the home venue - 2.8 (1.8 for the home team and 1 for the visitors).

    Cerro: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 3.26; at home - 3.27;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 3.5; at home - 3.25.

    Defensor Sporting: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 2.39, away - 1.87;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 2; away - 1.6.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (5,5)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 36;
    • Both teams scored overall - 20 times;
    • At the home team's venue - 8 times.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No)(odds: 1.57)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Despite the contrasting current form of the teams, with Defensor Sporting appearing more stable than Cerro, it's important to consider the cautious approach both sides might adopt and their potential tactics focused on maintaining the scoreline. Cerro, playing at home, will aim to bounce back after a string of setbacks, while Defensor Sporting might rely on counterattacks without rushing the play. Taking this into account, along with statistical analysis and odds, betting on under 2.5 goals seems like a reasonable choice.

    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    Place a bet-222
    Published: 10/10/2025, 00:24

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    Betting Tips: Cerro - Defensor Sporting

    Defensor Sporting have drawn in the 1st half:
    defensor-sportingin 6 of last 7 games.
    defensor-sportingin last 5 games (Primera Division).
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    -110
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    in 13 of last 14 Andres Matonte games.
    in last 11 Andres Matonte games (in the Primera Division).
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    -714
    Defensor Sporting have scored under 1.5 goals:
    defensor-sportingin 12 of last 13 away games (Primera Division).
    Defensor Sporting Total goals Under (1,5)
    Everygame
    -227
    Defensor Sporting have not scored:
    defensor-sportingin 6 of last 7 away games (Primera Division).
    Defensor Sporting will not score goal
    Everygame
    +200
    View more facts

    Cerro - Defensor Table position

    Apertura
    gWDLGDPForm
    4.
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    1583421-1727
    5.
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    1573517-1224
    6.
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    1565414-1023
    11.
    Progreso
    Progreso
    1536617-2715
    12.
    Cerro
    Cerro
    1536613-2014
    13.
    Danubio
    Danubio
    1519512-1712

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    0 - Draws
    5 - Loses
    Win - 1
    Draws - 4
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 9
    Conceded - 15
    -6
    -8
    7 - Scored
    15 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    1
    0
    Draws
    4
    5
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    9
    Scored
    7
    15
    Conceded
    15
    2.4
    Match goals average
    2.2
    0.9
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.7
    1.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.5
    4
    Both teams scored
    6
    100'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    129'
    View all stats