Russia vs Nigeria Prediction 6 October 2026

Details
Key points

    🔉 Russia come into this match in fine form, having won their last four home games by an aggregate score of 14-0. The question is whether they can keep that run going against a higher-calibre opponent. Nigeria, though, arrive with problems of their own: they have not won away from home in four consecutive matches, and the squad that flew into Nizhny Novgorod is far from their strongest.

    🔁 We will update this prediction as new information about the teams becomes available. Check back just before kick-off so you don't miss any important changes.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The two sides have met just once. In June 2025, they drew 1-1.

    Head-to-head statistics Russia - Nigeria

    Total games
    -
    Total Goals Avg
    -
    Both teams scored
    0%
    Last matches
    06.06.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    Russia
    Russia
    Nigeria
    Nigeria
    1.17
    1.31
    4
    4
    -
    -
    3
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1.17
    1.31
    4
    4
    -
    -
    3
    1
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Russia: Winning Streak and Squad Selection Ahead of a Major Test

    Russia opened the September window with a 2-0 win over Iran in Kazan. It was a comfortable victory: Russia outshot their opponents 12-8, and the result was settled by a Golovin brace, with goals on 21 and 36 minutes - the second from a free kick. The attack created enough chances, but the finishing was only average.

    A few days later in Yekaterinburg, Russia thrashed Namibia 6-0, though the score was only 1-0 at half-time. The match turned in the second half after the introduction of fresh legs in Tyukavín, Glebov and Glushenkov, and a tired Namibia simply could not handle the pace. Karpin continued his experiments with a 4-3-3 shape and squad rotation, describing the substitutions as planned - all with the Nigeria match in mind.

    Match Results: Russia

    Last matches
    03.10.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Russia
    Russia
    Namibia
    Namibia
    -
    -
    7
    0
    8
    7
    0
    1
    6
    0
    1
    0
    5
    0
    -
    -
    7
    0
    8
    7
    0
    1
    W
    29.09.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Russia
    Russia
    Iran
    Iran
    -
    -
    5
    5
    11
    17
    1
    2
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    5
    11
    17
    1
    2
    W
    09.06.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Russia
    Russia
    Trinidad and Tobago
    Trinidad and Tobago
    3.88
    0.28
    10
    2
    19
    10
    1
    2
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    3.88
    0.28
    10
    2
    19
    10
    1
    2
    W
    05.06.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Russia
    Russia
    Burkina Faso
    Burkina Faso
    1
    2.28
    1.2
    5
    6
    14
    13
    0
    3
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    2.28
    1.2
    5
    6
    14
    13
    0
    3
    W
    28.05.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Egypt
    Egypt
    Russia
    Russia
    1.12
    0.52
    5
    6
    13
    19
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.12
    0.52
    5
    6
    13
    19
    1
    2
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Nigeria: A Poor Start to Qualifying Raises Questions About the Manager

    Nigeria began their Africa Cup of Nations qualifying campaign with a 2-1 win over Madagascar, but that was followed by a damaging result: Guinea-Bissau sensationally beat them 3-0, leaving the Super Eagles second in their group. Peseiro came in for heavy criticism after that defeat, both at home and abroad, with pundits questioning his inability to adjust the team during matches and pointing to his empty excuses at press conferences.

    Nigeria remain one of Africa's strongest sides in the FIFA rankings - 26th in the world and fourth among African nations. They did not qualify for the World Cup, and their nearest official target is the 2027 Africa Cup of Nations, for which qualifying is currently under way. For this friendly against Russia, the big names were left out: Osimhen, Lookman, Chukwueze and Iwobi are all absent from the squad. However, the players who have made the trip have a strong incentive - to prove they deserve a place in the squad for the remaining qualifying rounds and the tournament itself. For many of them, this trip to Nizhny Novgorod is a chance to establish themselves in the starting XI, and they have no shortage of motivation.

    Match Results: Nigeria

    Last matches
    29.09.26
    CON
    Guinea-Bissau
    Guinea-Bissau
    Nigeria
    Nigeria
    -
    -
    4
    5
    17
    18
    2
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    4
    5
    17
    18
    2
    1
    L
    25.09.26
    CON
    Nigeria
    Nigeria
    Madagascar
    Madagascar
    -
    -
    5
    2
    14
    9
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    2
    14
    9
    1
    2
    W
    10.06.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Portugal
    Portugal
    Nigeria
    Nigeria
    1.60
    0.33
    3
    2
    11
    19
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1.60
    0.33
    3
    2
    11
    19
    2
    2
    L
    03.06.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Poland
    Poland
    Nigeria
    Nigeria
    -
    -
    5
    2
    9
    11
    2
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    2
    9
    11
    2
    2
    D
    30.05.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Nigeria
    Nigeria
    Jamaica
    Jamaica
    -
    -
    1
    1
    -
    -
    0
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    1
    1
    -
    -
    0
    0
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Latest news

    Russia

    The main absences are injury-related, though none are critical. Golovin injured his ankle in the match against Iran and left the squad, with Krasnodar forward Vorobyev also departing. Defenders Silyanov and Morozov are missing the entire autumn international window, and Danilov from CSKA is also recovering. That said, the squad remains in good shape: the original call-up included all the strongest players, so there is enough depth to cover the gaps without too much difficulty. A sell-out is expected in Nizhny Novgorod, where the national team have not played for seven years.

    Nigeria

    Eric Chelle has made two changes to Nigeria's squad for the friendly against Russia. Midfielder John Otomevo of Reims has been called up in place of the injured Wilfred Ndidi, while Osuji of Tromsø replaces the unavailable defender Akpe Victor. Both newcomers could make their debut for the national team.

    🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction

    Russia play physically in friendlies and are not shy about fouling: at least three cards were shown in each of their last five matches. Nigeria are even more consistent in this regard - referees showed at least three yellow cards in six of their previous seven matches. Both sides are aggressive in duels and regularly break up attacks in midfield. The bet for this match is Total Yellow Cards - Over 2.5.

    ⚽️ Goals Prediction

    At least two goals were scored in 9 of Russia's last 10 home matches. Nigeria's away matches are also rarely low-scoring: at least two goals were scored in 10 of their previous 11 away fixtures. Both sides prefer attacking football and are not afraid to push forward. An interesting betting option is Total Goals - Over 1.5 at odds of 1.34*.

    🚩 Corners Prediction

    Russia attack heavily down the flanks at home, as the statistics confirm: there were at least 10 corners in six consecutive matches for the national team. Nigeria also make active use of wide play away from home. Both teams create pressure in the opposition half, which leads to set pieces. The prediction is Total Corners - Over 9.5.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Nigeria have serious defensive problems, and the visitors have arrived without several key attacking players but with the motivation to prove themselves to the manager. Russia score consistently at home and have not been conceding in their recent matches. Former players from both sides agree the game will be a high-scoring one: Kaita predicts a 2-1 scoreline, while Mor is expecting a very high-scoring match. We're going with Total Goals - Over 2.5. Predicted score: 2-1.

    Total goals Over (2,5)
    Odds+103
    Published: 04/10/2026, 12:14
    Alexander Martilionis
    Alexander Martilionis
    Football expert
    10
    0
    12
    22 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Russia - Nigeria

    Nigeria have not lost:
    nigeria-1in last 15 games.
    nigeria-1in 10 of last 11 games (Int. Friendly Games).
    Nigeria will not lose
    +101
    Russia have not lost:
    russia-3in 23 of last 25 games (Int. Friendly Games).
    russia-3in 20 of last 21 home games (Int. Friendly Games).
    Nigeria have not won:
    nigeria-1in 15 of last 16 away games (Int. Friendly Games).
    Russia will not lose
    -435
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    russia-3in 9 of last 10 Russia home games (Int. Friendly Games).
    nigeria-1in 10 of last 11 Nigeria away games (Int. Friendly Games).
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    -357
    Under 4.5 goals scored:
    nigeria-1in 34 of last 35 Nigeria games (Int. Friendly Games).
    Total goals Under (4,5)
    -2000
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    3 - Losses
    Wins - 7
    Draws - 0
    Losses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 15
    Conceded - 9
    +6
    +8
    17 - Scored
    9 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    7
    1
    Draws
    0
    3
    Losses
    3
    Goal difference
    15
    Scored
    17
    9
    Conceded
    9
    2.4
    Average total per match
    2.6
    1.5
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.7
    0.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.9
    2
    Both teams scored
    5
    60'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    58'
    View all stats