Montpellier vs Pau Prediction 11 September 2026
🔊 Montpellier sit fifth in Ligue 2, despite scoring just four goals so far this season. It is their defence that has kept them there - they have conceded exactly the same number. The visitors are an awkward opponent for the hosts, though: in December they won 1-0 away, and in March they kept Montpellier scoreless again, this time at home.
Head-to-Head
In official matches, the two sides have met three times. The head-to-head record stands at 1-3 in goals scored. On average, 0.67 goals were scored per first half and per second half, giving an overall average of 1.33 goals per match.
Head-to-head statistics Montpellier - Pau
Montpellier Team Overview
Zuumana Camara is into his second full season in charge, but he still hasn't got the attack working: no Montpellier player has scored more than one goal in five league rounds. What's keeping the hosts afloat is their defence - they have gone unbeaten in 8 of their last 9 home Ligue 2 matches. There isn't much entertainment at the Mosson, though: just two goals between the two sides there this season. Montpellier had kept three consecutive clean sheets going into the previous round, but that run ended in Saint-Étienne, where they conceded three. The day before that trip, the club signed Yassine Benhatab from Nantes.
Match Results: Montpellier
Pau Team Overview
Thierry Debes is in his first full season in charge of Pau, and it has started poorly: 12th place and one win in their last eight Ligue 2 matches. The team has been holding up away from home - four of their five points have come on the road, three of them in Dijon. Defensively they have been consistent, conceding five goals in five fixtures. Up front, Babakara Leye is carrying the attack, with three of the club's four league goals this season. He now has fewer options around him: on 19 August, Joseph Kalulu left for Angers, and on 2 September the club sold Giovani Versini to Brest - the same player whose assist decided the head-to-head meeting in December.
Match Results: Pau
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely outcomes are 1:0 (16.61%), 0:0 (14.14%) and 0:1 (11.5%). A 1:0 win has the highest probability of the three, though a goalless draw and a narrow win for Po also feature in the top three most likely scenarios.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Montpellier have scored more than one goal in a single Ligue 2 match just once this season, and they have now gone seven consecutive league games without doing so. A clean sheet for the hosts seems unlikely, though: Pau have conceded in 8 of their last 9 league matches. The visitors should get on the scoresheet too - Pau have scored in 12 of their last 13 away Ligue 2 matches. We are not expecting more than one goal from Montpellier. The bet is Montpellier Team Total - Under 1.5. Predicted score: 1-1.
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Betting Tips: Montpellier - Pau
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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