Sparta vs PSV Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 11 April 2026
🔊 In the upcoming 30th round of the Eredivisie, Sparta will host PSV. Both teams showcase different playing styles and motivations. Sparta are striving to maintain their spot in the European competition zone, but they experience occasional slumps throughout the season. On the other hand, PSV lead the league with impressive scoring prowess, although their defensive metrics have slightly dipped. However, this increased susceptibility is forgivable given their 17-point lead over the second place. Let's delve into our editorial's prediction to determine which team needs the victory more.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 09 August 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 6:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - PSV):
- ball possession percentage: 66% vs 34%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 5;
- fouls: 8 vs 2;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 12 vs 4.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Sparta and PSV:
- played 37 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 2, for the away team - 31, draws - 4;
- number of goals - 26 against 95;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.43, in the 2nd half - 1.84;
- average total goals in the match - 3.27.
Head-to-head statistics Sparta - PSV
Sparta Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - NAC Breda, away team - Sparta). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:0.
Here's the game statistics (Sparta vs NAC Breda):
- ball possession: 44% vs 56%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 11;
- fouls: 19 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 4.
Sparta sit in 8th place in the Eredivisie standings, teetering on the edge of the European competition zone, with a one-point lead over their closest rival. Recent performances have shown inconsistency: not long ago, the Rotterdam side endured a six-match winless streak. However, they have remained unbeaten in their last two games, which has propelled them back into the top 8. Where Sparta remain solid is at home, winning 50% of their last four matches and drawing the others.
Match Results: Sparta
PSV Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - PSV, away - Utrecht). The match concluded with a scoreline of 4:3.
Here are the match stats (PSV vs Utrecht):
- ball possession: 63% vs 37%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 3;
- fouls: 6 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 8 vs 7.
PSV are confidently leading the league table, thanks to their formidable attack and ability to secure victories even with a somewhat shaky defense. Eindhoven's side averages 2.83 goals per game. However, as noted, their defense can sometimes falter, with an average of 1.38 goals conceded per match. This vulnerability has only recently become more pronounced, impacting their results: three losses in their last five games.
Match Results: PSV
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 37;
- home team wins - 2, away team wins - 31, draws - 4.
Statistics: Sparta vs PSV
- matches played in the tournament: 29 vs 29;
- wins: 12 vs 23;
- win percentage: 41% vs 79%;
- losses: 11 vs 4;
- draws: 6 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 6;
- losses: 3 vs 4;
- draws: 4 vs 0.
- Sparta won with a +1.5 handicap in 13 of last 15 games.
- Sparta won with a +1.5 handicap in 12 of last 13 home games.
- Sparta won with a +1.5 handicap in 10 of last 11 home games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.7, the guests - 2.57;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.27;
- both teams scored: overall - 18; at the home team's field - 11.
Statistics: Sparta vs PSV
- average total in the tournament: 2.83 vs 4.21;
- average total goals scored: 1.21 vs 2.83;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.45 vs 1.48;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.76 vs 1.34;
- Sparta: average total at home in the tournament - 1.21;
- PSV: average total away in the tournament - 2.5;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1.5) vs 2.4 (away - 1.8).
- PSV have scored over 1.5 goals in 8 of last 9 away games against Sparta.
- PSV have scored over 1.5 goals in 14 of last 16 games (Eredivisie).
- PSV have scored over 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 games.
Prediction on corners
Sparta: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.69; at home field - 4.86;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.3; at home field - 5.25.
PSV: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.41, away - 7.21;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.8; away - 8.4.
- Over 10.5 corners in 10 of last 11 PSV games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 37;
- both teams scored all-time - 18 times;
- on the home team’s field - 11 times.
Statistics: Sparta vs PSV
- number of matches played in the tournament: 29 vs 29;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 12 vs 22;
- number of BTTS matches for Sparta at home - 6 (43%);
- number of BTTS matches for PSV away - 10 (71%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 10;
- BTTS matches for Sparta at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for PSV away - 5 (100%).
- PSV have scored and conceded in 13 of last 14 games (Eredivisie).
- PSV have scored and conceded in last 10 games.
- PSV have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 away games.
- PSV have scored and conceded in last 6 away games (Eredivisie).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (28/261, 10.7%);
- Sparta at home most often finish matches: 1:1 , 2:0 (3/14, 21.4%);
- PSV away most often play: 1:2 (4/14, 28.6%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:2 - 9.97% (odds 8.5)
1:1 - 9.93% (odds 8.5)
0:1 - 7.96% (odds 13)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The stats clearly highlight PSV's advantages in this matchup: Sparta have lost 11 of their last 12 head-to-head encounters, scoring fewer than 1.5 goals in most of those games. However, this season, the Rotterdam side have shown solid form at home and are currently on a four-match unbeaten run. This makes it challenging for the visitors from Eindhoven to completely dominate the pitch, especially considering their recent dip in form. We believe this might be one of the best opportunities for the hosts to break PSV's stronghold in their meetings. We suggest backing the underdog and betting on Sparta not to lose.
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Betting Tips: Sparta - PSV
in 12 of last 14 games against PSV (Eredivisie).in last 7 home games against PSV (Eredivisie).
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Other predictions
