Hammarby vs Sirius Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 29 October 2026
🔊 Six points separate Allsvenskan leaders Sirius from Hammarby, and on Thursday that gap could be cut in half. At home in Uppsala, Sirius have taken just one point from their last two matches. Hammarby, meanwhile, have won twice on the road without conceding. On top of that, the hosts have gone 11 consecutive head-to-head meetings at home without losing to Sirius. Will the leaders' advantage hold until the end of the season?
Head-to-Head
In the most recent Allsvenskan meeting between the sides, Sirius beat Hammarby 2-0 despite having just 31% possession and being outshot 10-16. Both teams had four shots on target.
In 24 head-to-head clashes, Hammarby have claimed 12 victories, while Sirius have won five times. Seven encounters have ended in a draw. Sirius are still searching for their first away win at Hammarby’s ground, having suffered seven defeats and picked up four draws in 11 visits.
Head-to-head statistics Hammarby - Sirius
Hammarby Team Overview
Hammarby beat Mjällby away from home 2-0. After a goalless first half, they scored twice in the second. They had 19 shots to their opponents' five and came out ahead on expected goals - 1.57 to 0.33.
Hammarby have stayed in the title race on the back of their defence. In 25 matches they have conceded 21 goals - fewer than any other side in Allsvenskan. Their recent away trips back that up: they kept clean sheets at both Halmstad and Mjällby. Henrik Rydström, a two-time Swedish champion with Malmö, has been in charge since June. Going forward, though, they have not been prolific - Hammarby have failed to score more than three goals in any of their last nine matches.
Match Results: Hammarby
IK Sirius Team Overview
Sirius lost their previous Allsvenskan match at home to AIK, going down 2-1. All the goals came before half-time, and Sirius had 23 shots to AIK's 11 during the game, hitting the woodwork twice.
Sirius have been dropping points at home. Against Elfsborg, Andreas Engelmark's side came from behind and took the lead - Joakim Persson scored twice - but the visitors equalised in the 87th minute and the match ended in a draw. Six days later, the leaders lost by a single goal to AIK. Away from home, though, the picture is different: Sirius have scored in 25 consecutive away matches, and nine of their last ten away games have ended in victory. The latest reports suggest that injured forward Jesper Uneken is likely to miss the trip to Stockholm.
Match Results: IK Sirius
Match Result Prediction
H2H:
- number of encounters - 24;
- home team wins - 12, away team wins - 5, draws - 7.
Statistics: Hammarby vs IK Sirius
- matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
- wins: 15 vs 17;
- win percentage: 60% vs 68%;
- losses: 6 vs 4;
- draws: 4 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 7 vs 5;
- losses: 2 vs 4;
- draws: 1 vs 1.
- IK Sirius won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 away games against Hammarby.
- IK Sirius won with a +1.5 handicap in 29 of last 30 games (Allsvenskan).
- IK Sirius won with a +1.5 handicap in last 17 away games.
- IK Sirius won with a +1.5 handicap in last 14 away games (Allsvenskan).
Total Goals Prediction
Fewer than three goals have been scored in just one of the last eight head-to-head meetings between Hammarby and Sirius. This season both teams have been scoring freely - Hammarby at home, Sirius away - and we don't expect this one to be settled by two goals or fewer. The bet is Total Goals - Over 2.5.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
H2H:
- number of encounters - 24;
- both teams scored all-time - 17 times;
- on the home team’s field - 8 times.
Statistics: Hammarby vs IK Sirius
- number of matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 11 vs 15;
- number of BTTS matches for Hammarby at home - 5 (42%);
- number of BTTS matches for IK Sirius away - 7 (58%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Hammarby at home - 1 (33%);
- BTTS matches for IK Sirius away - 2 (40%).
Correct Score Prediction
The most likely scorelines are 2:1 (10.26%), 1:1 (9.15%) and 1:0 (8.78%). The 2:1 result stands out as the most probable, though the gap between the three leading options is not significant, reflecting the competitive nature of the match.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
A two-goal defeat or more is a rarity for Sirius. It has happened in just one of their last 30 Allsvenskan matches. Away from home the margin is even more reliable: over their last 17 away trips, Sirius have not lost by more than one goal. Hammarby, meanwhile, do not put Sirius to the sword. The hosts have not scored more than three goals against them in 21 consecutive head-to-head meetings. Our bet is that in Stockholm, Hammarby will not pull two goals clear of their visitors - and Sirius may even take a point. The pick is Sirius - Handicap +1.5.
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Betting Tips: Hammarby - IK Sirius
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