PSV vs Sparta Prediction 13 September 2026
📢 PSV have made a strong start to the new season, picking up 13 points from five matches and establishing themselves among the league leaders. Sparta have had a considerably more modest beginning and currently sit in mid-table, with inconsistent results. The hosts are pushing for top spot and have been playing very high-scoring football from the opening rounds.
Head-to-Head
📊 In official matches between PSV and Sparta, the two sides have met 38 times. The hosts have won 32 of those, the visitors two, with four draws. PSV hold a clear advantage in goals scored - 97 against 26. On average, the teams have scored 1.42 goals per first half and 1.82 per second half, giving an overall match average of 3.24 goals per game.
Head-to-head statistics PSV - Sparta
PSV Team Overview
PSV have 13 points after five rounds and sit second, keeping themselves among the leading group. Taking the end of last season into account, they have won six of their last ten matches and lost just one. Over that period they are averaging three goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game, so their matches tend to produce plenty of goals. They recently played Shakhtar at home in the Champions League but could not get the result they needed, drawing 1-1.
Match Results: PSV
Sparta Team Overview
Sparta have picked up five points from five matches and sit 11th, well behind PSV in terms of current form. Taking in the end of last season, they have won just once and lost six times across their last ten matches. Over that period they are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game, which points to serious problems at the back. Against one of the most prolific clubs in the league, that defensive vulnerability could become particularly apparent.
Match Results: Sparta
Latest news
PSV
PSV head into the match with a fairly lengthy list of absentees: Sem Lammers, Kiliann Sildillia, Jerdy Schouten, Sami Ouaissa, Alaassane Plea and Mikkel Bro are all currently unavailable.
Sparta
Sparta's situation is much calmer: only Robin van Kreijsen will miss the match.
Total Goals Prediction
PSV are putting up big numbers this season - averaging 3.6 goals per match overall and 3.5 in home fixtures. Over their last 10 home matches, they have averaged 2.6 goals. In 8 of their last 9 Eredivisie matches, the total has gone over 3.5 goals, which points to a clear trend towards high-scoring games. Sparta also score and concede fairly regularly, with an average combined total of 3.6 goals per match away from home. On that basis, there are strong grounds to expect a high-scoring match and to back Total Goals - Over 3.5 at odds of 1.49*.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
PSV have scored and conceded in 17 of their last 18 Eredivisie matches, pointing to a consistent trend of both teams getting on the scoresheet. This season PSV concede an average of 1.2 goals per match, while Sparta score an average of 1.8 per game (2 away from home). PSV have also conceded in 21 of their last 22 matches, which further supports the likelihood of the visitors scoring. The Both Teams to Score - Yes bet is backed by both the statistics and the trends, and is priced at 1.53*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely outcomes are: 2:1 (9.25%), 3:1 (8.09%) and 3:2 (6.44%). We are expecting a home win with a score of 4:1.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
PSV are considered clear favourites for this match due to a noticeable difference in class. Their home games tend to be open affairs: the team score freely but do not always keep a clean sheet. Sparta have defensive problems, though they are capable of exploiting space and creating a few dangerous chances. Our pick is therefore Both Teams to Score - Yes.
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Betting Tips: PSV - Sparta
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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