Vitoria vs Flamengo Prediction 11 February 2026
🔊 The clash between Vitoria and Flamengo promises to be intriguing, given their performances in the new season of the championship. Both teams find themselves in the lower half of the table, highlighting their drive to improve their standings. Vitoria suffered a heavy defeat against Palmeiras in the second round. Flamengo dropped points in their home game against Internacional. As a result, a tactical battle is expected: the hosts will likely rely on counterattacks, while the visitors aim to control the game.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 26 August 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 8-0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (Flamengo were the home side):
- possession: 73% vs 27%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 1;
- fouls: 17 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
- shots on target: 11 vs 1.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Vitoria and Flamengo:
- 23 matches played;
- home team victories - 5, away team wins - 12, draws - 6;
- goals scored - 30 for Vitoria, 43 for Flamengo;
- average goals in the 1st half - 1.26, in the 2nd half - 1.91;
- average total goals per match - 3.17.
Head-to-head statistics Vitoria - Flamengo
Vitoria Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on as part of the Baiano League, with Jequié playing at home and Vitória as the visitors. The match ended in a 2-2 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Vitória vs Jequié):
- possession: 55% vs 45%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 2;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 3.
🔴 Vitória kicked off their campaign with a 2-0 victory over Remo in the first round. However, their second outing saw them travel to São Paulo, where they suffered a heavy 5-1 defeat against Palmeiras. Dudu found the back of the net for the "Lions of Barra." After two rounds of Serie A action, Jair Ventura's side sits in 12th position. Following their league loss, the Salvador club shared the spoils with Jequié in a 2-2 draw during the 7th round of the Baiano League. Kike Saverio opened the scoring, while Pablo leveled the game in the second half. After seven rounds of the state championship, Vitória hold third place with 10 points.
Match Results: Vitoria
Flamengo Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Carioca League, with Flamengo hosting Sampaio Corrêa. The match ended in a 7-1 victory for Flamengo.
Here are the match statistics (Flamengo vs Sampaio Corrêa):
- possession: 75% vs 25%;
- corners: 12 vs 0;
- fouls: 16 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 14 vs 1.
⚫ Flamengo shared the points with Internacional (1-1) at the Maracanã in the second round. Giorgian De Arrascaeta equalized with a penalty in the 68th minute. Having secured their first point, Filipe Luís's side sit in 15th place. The "Red and Blacks" then thrashed Sampaio Corrêa 7-1 in the Carioca League, with Pedro and Bruno Henrique both scoring braces, while Samuel Lino, Everton, and Douglas Telles also found the net. Flamengo are currently fourth in Group B after six rounds.
Match Results: Flamengo
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head:
- Matches played - 23;
- First-half wins at home - 4; away - 2; draws - 6;
- Average first-half total: 1.26;
- Today's home team averages 0.52 goals, while the visitors average 0.74.
First-half Statistics: Vitória (home) vs Flamengo (away)
- Tournament matches played: 1 vs 1;
- Wins: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Draws: 1 (100%) vs 1 (100%);
- Average goals scored: 0 vs 0;
- Average goals conceded: 0 vs 0.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Wins: 2 vs 1;
- Losses: 1 vs 5;
- Draws: 7 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 0.8 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.4) vs 1 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.7).
- Vitória have drawn the first half in 6 of their last 7 home matches (Serie A).
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- played - 23;
- home wins - 5, away wins - 12, draws - 6.
Statistics: Vitoria vs Flamengo
- tournament matches: 2 vs 2;
- wins: 1 vs 0;
- win percentage: 50% vs 0%;
- losses: 1 vs 1;
- draws: 0 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches:
- wins: 4 vs 2;
- losses: 2 vs 6;
- draws: 4 vs 2.
- Vitoria have won with a +1.5 handicap at home in 12 consecutive head-to-head matches (Serie A).
- Vitoria have won with a +1.5 handicap in 9 of the last 10 head-to-head encounters (Serie A).
- Vitoria have won with a +1.5 handicap at home in 25 consecutive matches.
- Vitoria have won with a +1.5 handicap at home in 19 consecutive matches (Serie A).
- Vitoria have won with a +1.5 handicap in 9 of their last 10 matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches (average total):
- home team - 1.3, away team - 1.87;
- overall head-to-head - 3.17;
- both teams scored: all-time - 14 times; at home - 10 times.
- Flamengo have scored more than 1.5 goals in away games for 7 consecutive head-to-head matches (Serie A).
Corners Prediction
Vitoria: Statistics
- season average total in tournament - 4; at home - 4;
- last 10 matches: average total - 5.8; at home - 7.2.
Flamengo: Statistics
- season average total in tournament - 5, away - 6;
- last 10 matches: average total - 6.9; away - 5.6.
- Vitoria have taken fewer than 4.5 corners in 7 consecutive head-to-head matches (Serie A).
- Vitoria have taken fewer than 4.5 corners in 6 of the last 7 matches (Serie A).
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- played - 23;
- both teams scored all-time - 14 times;
- at home - 10 times.
Statistics: Vitoria vs Flamengo
- tournament matches played: 2 vs 2;
- matches with both teams scoring this season (BTTS): 1 vs 2;
- Vitoria BTTS at home - 0 (0%);
- Flamengo BTTS away - 1 (100%).
Last 10 Matches:
- matches with BTTS: 3 vs 7;
- Vitoria BTTS at home - 0 (0%);
- Flamengo BTTS away - 4 (80%).
- Vitoria have both scored and conceded at home in 9 consecutive head-to-head matches (Serie A).
- Flamengo have both scored and conceded away in 6 consecutive matches (Serie A).
Exact Score Prediction
Frequent Results Statistics (current season):
- most frequent score in the tournament: 1-1 (4/19, 21.1%);
- Vitoria's most common home result: 2-0 (1/1, 100%);
- Flamengo's most common away result: 2-1 (1/1, 100%).
The algorithm predicts the top-3 outcomes based on statistics and probability distribution:
1-1 - 11.46% (odds: 7)
1-0 - 10.31% (odds: 12)
2-0 - 8.93% (odds: 23)
- Flamengo have lost by a score of 1-2 away in 3 of their last 4 matches.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both teams have their strengths and weaknesses, but it's worth highlighting the trend of low-scoring home games for Vitoria-under 2.5 goals have been scored in nine of their last ten home fixtures in Serie A. However, there's also a historical angle: the "Lions of Barra" have found the net in nine consecutive home head-to-heads against Flamengo in the league. Therefore, we're backing a Vitoria goal, also considering that the "Red and Blacks" have conceded in 9 of their last 10 matches.
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Betting Tips: Vitoria - Flamengo
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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