Flamengo vs Vitoria Prediction 9 August 2026
🔊 In the final match of round 22 of the Brazilian Série A, Flamengo will host Vitória at Maracanã. For the hosts, this is a chance to close the gap on league leaders Palmeiras, while the visitors, after a difficult run, now need to focus on the championship. The "Red and Blacks" sit second with 39 points from 20 matches. Leonardo Jardim's side drew their last two rounds - 1:1 with São Paulo and 1:1 with Internacional - so a reaction is expected from them in front of their home fans. Vitória come into this match after a convincing 4:0 win over Athletico Paranaense in the Copa do Brasil, which ended a lengthy winless run and took the team through to the quarter-finals.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 15 May 2026 and ended with a score of 2:0. Here is the comparative statistics from that match (Vitoria were the home side):
- possession: 26% vs 74%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 8;
- fouls: 12 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 7.
📊 Statistical preview of official meetings between Flamengo and Vitória:
- 26 matches played;
- home wins - 14, away wins - 6, draws - 6;
- goals - 47 vs 34;
- average 1st half total - 1.31, 2nd half - 1.81;
- average match total - 3.12.
Head-to-head statistics Flamengo - Vitoria

Flamengo Team Overview
Since the resumption of the championship, Flamengo have not shown the consistency a title-contending side needs. They started by thrashing Chapecoense 4:0, then drew 1:1 twice - against São Paulo and Internacional. The most recent match was particularly telling: in Porto Alegre, they conceded first and only managed to equalise late on through Samuel Lino.
That said, Flamengo's problem is more about the quality of certain spells than a lack of overall potential. Against São Paulo, they had a poor first half, then stepped up sharply after the break and created enough chances to win. Leonardo Jardim was direct after the match, calling the opening period too slow.
Ahead of the meeting with Vitória, the squad situation has improved noticeably. According to reports, Paquetá and Plata are expected to return to the squad, Léo Ortiz is ready to play again after recovering from injury, and Gerson de Arrascaeta is also expected to return to the starting lineup. Flamengo also have a key advantage in terms of freshness: they did not play midweek, as they were not involved in the Copa do Brasil round of 16. Vitória, by contrast, had a tough cup match on Thursday.
Pedro remains the main attacking figure (12 goals, 4 assists), while Samuel Lino (5+7) has already shown he can have a serious impact on the game. It was Lino who scored against Internacional, and in the first matches after the season resumed he was also noted for his activity in attack.
Match Results: Flamengo

Vitoria Team Overview
After 21 rounds, Vitória have 26 points. The club sit in the lower half of the table, and their main weakness remains away form: the "Lions of Barra" have not won a single away match in the league this season (4 draws, 7 defeats).
The last round was extremely painful for Jair Ventura's side - a 0:4 home defeat to Palmeiras at Barradão. Vitória also finished the match with nine men following the dismissals of Kaká and Luan Cândido, so the final scoreline does not fully reflect the team's usual pattern of play. But the fact remains: the hosts' defence could not withstand the pressure of one of the strongest opponents in the league.
In the Copa do Brasil, however, Vitória responded to that setback in near-perfect fashion. The team thrashed Athletico Paranaense 4:0 and advanced to the quarter-finals. Particularly significant was the fact that, after a prolonged goal drought, Renê and Érik finally got on the scoresheet. The former scored twice, the latter also netted, while Marinho added the finishing touch. For the attacking group, this could prove a serious psychological boost.
There is, however, another side to this. Vitória played a very energy-intensive match just three days before their trip to Maracanã. Moreover, according to Brazilian media, Jair Ventura is considering a more cautious system and may opt against starting all three main forwards - Renê, Érik and Renato Kaiser - simultaneously. It is against Flamengo, in particular, that the manager will most likely reinforce the midfield or the defence.
Match Results: Vitoria
Total Prediction
Head-to-head matches (average total):
- home side - 1.81, away side - 1.31;
- in head-to-head matches - 3.12;
- both teams scored: all time - 16 times; at the home team's ground - 5 times.
Average total statistics: Flamengo vs Vitoria
- in the tournament: 2.75 vs 2.52;
- goals scored: 1.85 vs 1.05;
- in the 1st half: 0.8 vs 0.38;
- in the 2nd half: 1.05 vs 0.67;
- Flamengo: at home in the tournament - 1.89;
- Vitoria: away in the tournament - 0.64;
- last 10 matches: 1.5 (home - 1.6) vs 1.4 (away - 1.17).
- Flamengo have scored under 2.5 goals in 12 of their last 13 head-to-head meetings.
- Flamengo have scored under 2.5 goals in 10 of their last 11 head-to-head meetings (Série A).
Corners Prediction
Flamengo: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 4.4; at home - 5.22;
- last 10 matches: average total - 5.8; at home - 6.2.
Vitória: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 4.24, away - 4.45;
- last 10 matches: average total - 4.6; away - 4.33.
- Over 8.5 corners has landed in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head matches between these two sides (Série A).
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head matches:
- played - 26;
- both teams scored all time - 16 times;
- at the home team's ground - 5 times.
Stats: Flamengo vs Vitória
- matches played in the tournament: 20 vs 21;
- season matches in which both teams scored (hereinafter - BTTS): 10 vs 8;
- Flamengo: BTTS at home - 4 (44%);
- Vitória: BTTS away - 6 (55%).
Last 10 matches:
- matches with BTTS: 3 vs 4;
- Flamengo: BTTS at home - 1 (20%);
- Vitória: BTTS away - 3 (50%).
Correct Score Prediction
Frequent results statistics (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (33/205, 16.1%);
- Flamengo at home most often finish matches: 1:1 , 2:0 , 3:0 (2/9, 22.2%);
- Vitoria away most often play: 2:0 (3/11, 27.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 13.07% (odds 7)
2:0 - 11.8% (odds 5.5)
2:1 - 10.69% (odds 9)
⭐ Editor's Pick
What's decisive for me here is not only the difference in class, but also the difference in preparation conditions. Flamengo have had several days to recover and complete a training cycle, while Vitória played an emotionally and physically demanding match against Atletico Paranaense on Thursday. On top of that, the visitors will almost certainly set up more cautiously than they did in the cup tie.
Jardim's side currently have a certain problem with finishing and the quality of their first halves, so I wouldn't expect a repeat of the 8:0 scoreline the team already put past Vitória last season. But at Maracanã, with key players returning and in normal physical condition, the hosts should gradually take control.
I also like the statistical case for low scoring from Vitória. The team have failed to score in three consecutive league matches. Against Flamengo, creating that much space and that many chances will be significantly harder. Final bet: Flamengo win with handicap (-1.5). Predicted score - 2:0.