Villarreal vs Alaves Prediction 10 January 2026
🔊 Will the "Yellow Submarine" live up to their status as the clear favorite? One of the standout fixtures in Saturday's La Liga schedule is the clash between Villarreal and Alaves at the Estadio de la Cerámica. The clubs are positioned at opposite ends of the league table and have different objectives. Marcelino's squad still harbors hopes of joining the title race, while "the Glorious" aim to secure their place in the top tier of Spanish football for next season. It's worth noting that bookmakers aren't anticipating a thrilling contest, with the hosts given five-to-one odds in their favor.
Head-to-Head
📊 Alaves have failed to secure a victory at the "Ceramica" in their last five encounters. Their last away success against the "Yellow Submarine" came during the 2018/19 La Liga season, when the club from Vitoria-Gasteiz emerged victorious with a 2-1 scoreline. Last season, both teams traded home wins: Villarreal triumphed 3-0 at the "Ceramica," while Alaves took revenge with a 1-0 win at "Mendizorrotza."
Head-to-head statistics Villarreal - Alaves
Villarreal Team Overview
🟡 This season, the "Yellow Submarine" are showcasing convincing football, consistently putting pressure on the giants of Spanish football. Marcelino has managed to build a competitive squad that, in the long run, could aim for more than just qualifying for European competitions. Currently, the club from the namesake city sits in 3rd place in the league standings, trailing the leaders by just 5 points in terms of points dropped. Villarreal have amassed 38 points from 17 games, underscoring the club's high ambitions. Let's highlight Villarreal's scoring stats - they average 2 goals per game while conceding just 0.94.
📌 Last weekend, Villarreal managed to upset Elche (3-1) away from home. The "Yellow Submarine" became the first team this season to hand the Spanish Primera newcomers a home defeat. Marcelino's tactical model is built around a 4-4-2 formation, combining solid defensive actions with exciting football during transitions. Despite having only 22% possession in their recent clash at "Manuel Martínez Valero," Villarreal capitalized on their attacking opportunities and turned the opponent's possession into sterile ball movement. Currently, the most prolific player for the club from the namesake city is Alberto Moleiro, boasting a record of 7 goals and 2 assists in 17 league matches.
Match Results: Villarreal
Deportivo Alaves Team Overview
🔵 The "Bean Destroyers" have proven their worth over recent seasons. With the arrival of Eduardo Coudet, Alaves have solidified their position as a resilient mid-table team. Despite their current standing, they have the potential to trouble any opponent. Currently, they sit 13th in the league table, amassing 19 points from 18 matches. However, away games remain a significant challenge for the club from Vitoria-Gasteiz. In eight away fixtures, the "Glorious" have managed to collect just 4 points (1 win, 1 draw, and 6 losses). Alaves average 0.83 goals per game while conceding 1.17.
⚪ In the last round of La Liga, Alaves drew with Real Oviedo (1-1). Despite playing at home, the "Glorious" faced numerous organizational issues-from building out from the back with short passes to maintaining compactness during transitions. This allowed the "Carbayones" to take the lead and they had decent chances to secure a win. Alaves are now on a three-match winless streak, indicating a potential slump in form. Their main attacking threats are Lucas Boye and Carlos Vicente, each with 4 goals so far this season.
Match Results: Deportivo Alaves
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Villarreal
🎤 After securing their first victory in 2026, Marcelino spoke to journalists, assessing his team's performance: "It was a tough match, as Elche's home record suggests, and we performed excellently. We knew how to defend, progress, and finish. We managed to ensure that Elche didn't pose too much of a threat, while we had the clearest chances. We are very pleased with the win and earning three points where no one else has done before. Despite recent results, the team is working well, and this victory confirms it. The feelings are good, and today's away performance proves it. We have 38 points with two matches left until the end of the first half of the season. It's incredible. We've only lost three matches against major teams. That's something to be very satisfied with."
❌ Among Villarreal's unavailable players are Ilias Akhomach (on international duty), Pau Cabanes (knee injury), Logan Costa (knee injury), Thiago Fernandes (knee injury), and Pape Gueye (on international duty).
Deportivo Alaves
📰 Eduardo Coudet's tactical model heavily relies on a defensive midfielder, a role fulfilled by Antonio Blanco. In the 4-1-4-1 formation, the Spaniard is tasked with initiating attacks with the first pass and covering the midfield during defensive phases. Blanco, a product of Real Madrid's youth system, joined Alavés during the 2022/23 campaign. To date, he has made 104 appearances in La Liga for "the Glorious," contributing three assists.
❌ In the upcoming match, don't expect any support from Facundo Garcés and Carlos Protesoni, as both are suspended.
⚽ Goal Prediction
Villarreal have struggled to keep a clean sheet in their last four matches. It's important to note a key statistical trend: in 8 out of the last 10 head-to-head encounters between the "Yellow Submarine" and the "Braves," both teams found the back of the net. Additionally, the average goal tally in these matchups stands at an impressive 3.1 goals per game. Our editorial pick is both teams to score (yes).
🚩 Corner Prediction
In head-to-head clashes, the "Yellow Submarine" hold a significant advantage in corner kicks, averaging 7.1 compared to 3.6. In their home fixture, Villarreal will aim to showcase their potential and dominate possession. Given these insights, it is reasonable to select the following outcome - Villarreal to win on corners with a handicap of (-1.5).
Editorial Prediction
Despite Alaves' competitive nature, it's essential to consider the clubs' performance in home and away fixtures. Here, the Bean Destroyers' unsatisfactory performances stand out. Additionally, the club from Vitoria-Gasteiz hasn't secured an away win against the Yellow Submarine in over six years. Current form also favors the home side. Our editorial team predicts a final score of 3-1, with the key bet being a Villarreal victory.
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Betting Tips: Villarreal - Deportivo Alaves
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