Alaves vs Villarreal Prediction 13 March 2026
π Can the "Glorious" break their losing streak and distance themselves from the relegation zone? The opening match of the 28th round of La Liga sees AlavΓ©s taking on Villarreal at the Mendizorrotza Stadium. Despite a significant gap in points between the two clubs, the encounter remains intriguing and crucial. The team from Vitoria-Gasteiz needs to showcase versatility to maintain their top-flight status. Advanced statistics suggest that bookmakers favor the "Yellow Submarine" slightly.
Head-to-Head
π This season, the teams have already faced off against each other. In that meeting at the "CerΓ‘mica," the home side secured a 3-1 victory. Interestingly, Villarreal have struggled at "Mendizorroza," failing to win in their last four visits. Can Marcelino's squad break this unfavorable trend? We will find out soon enough.
Head-to-head statistics Alaves - Villarreal
Deportivo Alaves Team Overview
βͺ "The Glorious" continue to struggle with consistency, having failed to secure a win in their last six matches. Currently, Alaves sit 16th in the league standings, just two points clear of the relegation zone. Let's take a closer look at the team's average performance stats from Vitoria-Gasteiz: they score 0.93 goals per game while conceding 1.37. New head coach Quique Sanchez Flores faces a daunting task-he must fine-tune the team's mechanics and boost morale within the squad. His experience in crisis management could be crucial in achieving these goals.
π΅ In their last La Liga outing, Alaves fell to Valencia (2-3). Quique Sanchez Flores deployed a 4-4-2 formation, emphasizing quick movement across the pitch. While the players largely executed this strategy well, a series of individual errors and lapses in concentration ultimately led to their downfall. The team's main attacking threat and top scorer this season is Lucas Boye-the Argentine forward has netted nine goals in 21 appearances.
Match Results: Deportivo Alaves
Villarreal Team Overview
π‘ Over the long haul, Villarreal are still not ready to pose a serious challenge to the giants of Spanish football. However, this season is truly significant for the club from the eponymous city, as their strategy has proven effective. Currently, Villarreal sit 4th in the league table, leading their closest rival in the race for the top four by 9 points. Their attacking prowess is one of the strongest aspects of the "Yellow Submarine" - averaging 1.85 goals per game, which is the third-best in the league.
π Last weekend, Villarreal secured an important home victory over Elche (2-1). Despite not everything going their way, the "Yellow Submarine" showed resilience and earned the maximum points. Marcelino does not favor excessive passing and passive possession; his ideas are based on high-intensity pressing and quick transitions from defense to attack. Central to these tactics is the classic 4-4-2 formation, which simplifies players' actions during build-up play. Villarreal's top scorer in the current La Liga campaign is Alberto Moleiro, with 9 goals in 26 matches.
Match Results: Villarreal
Latest news
Deportivo Alaves
π° Just over a week ago, Alaves effectively parted ways with their head coach. Eduardo Coudet left the Spanish side by mutual consent to return to the Argentine league after a six-year absence. He now takes charge of River Plate, a club grappling with the challenge of meeting its objectives. Meanwhile, Alaves were not left scrambling; their management had long been eyeing the experienced Quique Sanchez Flores. In some circles, the Spaniard is known as a "firefighter" coach, capable of handling intense pressure and delivering results in a short span. Whether he can keep Alaves in the top tier of Spanish football will be revealed in the remainder of the season.
β Among the unavailable players for Alaves' upcoming match are Facundo Garces (suspension), Ander Guevara (suspension), and Jon Pacheco (suspension).
Villarreal
π€ Ahead of the upcoming La Liga fixtures, Marcelino spoke to the media: "We anticipate a very tough match because there's a lot at stake. They've changed their manager, which complicates our analysis. With the new head coach, they've altered their structure. They now defend with five at the back, and we believe they'll be a more direct team. Quique is a coach who organizes his teams well and achieves good results in challenging circumstances. We've had five days of rest, which is sufficient time. We're heading into the game off a victory and showing some good moments, although there were plenty that we didn't like. We need to find the consistency that we lacked against Elche and in previous matches."
β In Villarreal's injury list are Pau Cabanes (knee injury), Logan Costa (knee injury), and Juan Foyth (Achilles injury).
β½ Goal Prediction
It's worth noting that in 6 of Alaves' last 8 matches, both teams found the back of the net. A similar trend is observed in 6 of Villarreal's previous 7 encounters. Let's highlight the average scoring rate for each team in the current La Liga season: Alaves at 0.9 and Villarreal at 1.9. A reasonable bet to consider would be both teams to score (yes).
π© Corner Prediction
In Villarreal's last 5 matches, there have been no more than 10 corner kicks. Let's focus on the average number of corners in each team's matches this season: Alaves at 9.9 and Villarreal at 8.4. Based on these statistics, a well-founded bet would be Alaves' individual total corners under 5.5.
Editorial Prediction
Alaves are going through a rough patch, and it's hard to believe that the arrival of an experienced manager will instantly turn things around for the club. Additionally, it's important to note that the "Yellow Submarine" have been highly effective in recent matches, showcasing a clear tactical approach. Our editorial team predicts a final score of 1-2, with the key bet being Villarreal to win with a handicap (0).
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Betting Tips: Deportivo Alaves - Villarreal
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