Stoke City vs Derby Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 9 August 2025

    📢 What can we expect from the clash between Stoke City and Derby County in the opening round of the Championship? Both teams showcase different strategies in attack and defense, making this matchup particularly intriguing for fans. Stoke City are keen to improve their home ground results, while Derby County aim to build on the success they achieved at the end of last season. The odds suggest a slight edge for the home side, but the visitors are clearly not planning to go down without a fight.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 03 May 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 0:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Derby ):

    • ball possession percentage: 52% vs 48%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 4;
    • fouls: 10 vs 9;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 1.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Stoke City and Derby :

    • played 12 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 4, for the away team - 4, draws - 4;
    • number of goals - 11 against 13;
    • average total in the 1st half - 0.83, in the 2nd half - 1.17;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.

    Head-to-head statistics Stoke City - Derby

    36%
    5 Wins
    29%
    4 Draws
    36%
    5 Wins
    Total games
    14
    Avg. total goals
    2.14
    Both teams scored
    43%
    1
    Average total
    1.14
    1.86
    Yellow cards
    1.71
    Last matches
    06.04.26
    Championship
    Derby
    Derby
    Stoke City
    Stoke City
    3.08
    0.47
    5
    3
    18
    10
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    3.08
    0.47
    5
    3
    18
    10
    2
    1
    09.08.25
    Championship
    Stoke City
    Stoke City
    Derby
    Derby
    1.6
    0.41
    7
    3
    12
    14
    1
    2
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    1
    1.6
    0.41
    7
    3
    12
    14
    1
    2
    03.05.25
    Championship
    Derby
    Derby
    Stoke City
    Stoke City
    1.78
    0.32
    5
    4
    10
    9
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.78
    0.32
    5
    4
    10
    9
    2
    1
    02.11.24
    Championship
    Stoke City
    Stoke City
    Derby
    Derby
    2.1
    0.57
    9
    4
    9
    11
    2
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    2.1
    0.57
    9
    4
    9
    11
    2
    3
    30.12.21
    ECS
    Stoke City
    Stoke City
    Derby
    Derby
    -
    -
    5
    5
    15
    9
    3
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    5
    15
    9
    3
    1
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    Stoke City Team Overview

    The team's last match took place on in a friendly encounter, with Stoke City as the nominal hosts and Burnley as the nominal visitors. The match concluded with a 1-0 scoreline.

    Here are the game statistics (Stoke City vs Burnley):

    • possession percentage: 50% vs 50%;
    • corner kicks: 2 vs 5;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 2.

    Stoke City have been showing inconsistent form, securing four wins, three draws, and suffering three defeats in their last ten matches. Their style of play is often marked by solid defense, but they struggle with converting opportunities, averaging just 0.9 goals per game. Notably, their matches tend to be low-scoring affairs, with under 2.5 goals recorded in six of their last seven official games.

    Match Results: Stoke City

    Last matches
    13.10.26
    Championship
    Stoke City
    Stoke City
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    0.72
    2.04
    4
    3
    9
    11
    1
    1
    2
    3
    0
    0
    2
    3
    0.72
    2.04
    4
    3
    9
    11
    1
    1
    L
    10.10.26
    Championship
    Bolton Wanderers
    Bolton Wanderers
    Stoke City
    Stoke City
    1
    3.37
    1.02
    10
    4
    8
    9
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    3.37
    1.02
    10
    4
    8
    9
    1
    1
    W
    19.09.26
    Championship
    Stoke City
    Stoke City
    Sheffield United
    Sheffield United
    0.63
    0.4
    8
    1
    12
    15
    4
    4
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    0.63
    0.4
    8
    1
    12
    15
    4
    4
    W
    12.09.26
    Championship
    Watford
    Watford
    Stoke City
    Stoke City
    0.43
    1.62
    5
    8
    14
    6
    2
    2
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0.43
    1.62
    5
    8
    14
    6
    2
    2
    W
    08.09.26
    Championship
    Cardiff
    Cardiff
    Stoke City
    Stoke City
    2.73
    0.95
    7
    5
    5
    19
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    2.73
    0.95
    7
    5
    5
    19
    1
    2
    D
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    Derby Team Overview

    The visitors last took to the pitch on in a friendly match where Derby County were the nominal hosts against Atromitos Athens. The encounter ended with a 2-0 scoreline.

    Here are the match stats (Derby County vs Atromitos Athens):

    • possession: 50% vs 50%;
    • corners: 2 vs 6;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 4.

    Derby County are showcasing a more consistent form, with five wins, two losses, and three draws over their last ten matches backing up this claim. The team exhibits impressive attacking prowess, averaging 1.3 goals per game while conceding just 0.7 goals. The players demonstrate an ability to adapt to their opponent's style of play, skillfully combining ball control with swift and unexpected counterattacks. This makes them a formidable threat to any opponent.

    Match Results: Derby

    Last matches
    10.10.26
    Championship
    Derby
    Derby
    Wrexham
    Wrexham
    0.8
    1.59
    1
    9
    10
    6
    3
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.8
    1.59
    1
    9
    10
    6
    3
    2
    D
    19.09.26
    Championship
    Burnley
    Burnley
    Derby
    Derby
    0.81
    1.29
    4
    6
    9
    12
    4
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.81
    1.29
    4
    6
    9
    12
    4
    2
    D
    12.09.26
    Championship
    Derby
    Derby
    Birmingham City
    Birmingham City
    1.18
    2.63
    10
    4
    8
    12
    1
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1.18
    2.63
    10
    4
    8
    12
    1
    3
    L
    09.09.26
    Championship
    Derby
    Derby
    West Bromwich Albion
    West Bromwich Albion
    1
    1.37
    0.77
    11
    3
    12
    9
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.37
    0.77
    11
    3
    12
    9
    0
    2
    L
    05.09.26
    Championship
    West Ham United
    West Ham United
    Derby
    Derby
    3.74
    0.15
    5
    6
    4
    14
    0
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    3.74
    0.15
    5
    6
    4
    14
    0
    2
    L
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 12;
    • home team wins - 4, away team wins - 4, draws - 4.
    👉Prediction: Derby Handicap (+1)(odds: 1.22)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • the home team scores on average - 0.92, the guests - 1.08;
    • average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 2;
    • both teams scored: overall - 5; at the home team's field - 4.
    Trends
    • Stoke City have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 games against Derby (Championship).
    • Stoke City have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 games (Championship).
    👉Prediction: Stoke City Total goals Under (1,5)(odds: 1.48)

    Prediction on corners

    Trends
    • Derby have taken under 4.5 corners in last 8 away games (Championship).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Derby Total Under (4,5)(odds: 1.95)

    Prediction on cards

    H2H

    • average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4 (2 - for home team and 2 - for away team);
    • average Over/Under yellow cards at home team's field - 3.66 (1.83 - for home team and 1.83 - for away team).

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 12;
    • both teams scored all-time - 5 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 4 times.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (No)(odds: 1.72)

    Editor's Prediction

    Stoke City head into this match as favorites, especially considering their home advantage and revamped lineup. However, they traditionally struggle against Derby County; in six of their last seven head-to-heads, the Potters have scored no more than one goal. Therefore, Derby County are more than capable of keeping the match competitive until the final whistle. Given these circumstances, betting on Stoke City total under 1.5 goals appears to be a well-founded prediction.

    Stoke City Total goals Under (1,5)
    Odds-208
    Published: 06/08/2025, 18:44

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    Betting Tips: Stoke City - Derby

    Stoke City scored in the 2nd half:
    stoke-cityderby-countyin last 5 home games against Derby (Championship).
    Derby conceded in the 2nd half:
    derby-countyin 8 of last 9 away games (Championship).
    2nd half, Stoke City will score goal
    -120
    Stoke City have scored under 1.5 goals:
    stoke-cityderby-countyin 6 of last 7 games against Derby (Championship).
    stoke-cityin 6 of last 7 games (Championship).
    Stoke City Total goals Under (1,5)
    Everygame
    -222
    Stoke City conceded in the 2nd half:
    stoke-cityderby-countyin 5 of last 6 home games against Derby.
    2nd half, Derby will score goal
    +134
    Derby have conceded:
    derby-countyin 12 of last 13 away games.
    derby-countyin 11 of last 12 away games (Championship).
    Stoke City will score goal
    Everygame
    -303
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    4 - Losses
    Win - 1
    Draws - 3
    Losses - 6
    10 matches
    Scored - 17
    Conceded - 15
    +2
    -8
    9 - Scored
    17 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    1
    1
    Draws
    3
    4
    Losses
    6
    Goal difference
    17
    Scored
    9
    15
    Conceded
    17
    3.2
    Average total per match
    2.6
    1.7
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.9
    1.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.7
    8
    Both teams scored
    6
    53'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    100'
    View all stats