Derby vs Stoke City Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 6 April 2026
🔊 In the upcoming match, Derby County will host Stoke City. Both teams are positioned mid-table and are eager to climb higher. Derby alternates between victories and defeats, making their game unpredictable. Meanwhile, Stoke City shows consistency in attack, scoring in almost every match, adding intrigue to the encounter.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 09 August 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 3:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Stoke City):
- ball possession percentage: 68% vs 32%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 3;
- fouls: 12 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 7 vs 2.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Derby and Stoke City:
- played 13 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 4, for the away team - 5, draws - 4;
- number of goals - 14 against 14;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.77, in the 2nd half - 1.38;
- average total goals in the match - 2.15.
Head-to-head statistics Derby - Stoke City
Derby Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Coventry, away team - Derby ). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:2.
Here's the game statistics (Derby vs Coventry):
- ball possession: 56% vs 44%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 6;
- fouls: 5 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 2 vs 3.
Derby County sit in eighth place on the table, aiming to solidify their position among the frontrunners. The team has shown positive momentum with three wins in their last five matches. However, recent losses highlight vulnerabilities in the Rams' defense. Over their last ten games, they have displayed average scoring efficiency, netting 1.4 goals per match and conceding an equal amount.
Match Results: Derby
Stoke City Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Stoke City, away - Sheffield Wednesday). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.
Here are the match stats (Stoke City vs Sheffield Wednesday):
- ball possession: 48% vs 52%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 2;
- fouls: 16 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 2.
Stoke City are currently sitting in 12th place but have considerable potential to improve their standings. Over the last five matches, the Potters have secured two victories and one draw, maintaining a high scoring rate-finding the net in 8 of their last 9 games. Their attacking style enables them to create numerous chances, even against strong opponents.
Match Results: Stoke City
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 13;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 2; for visitors away - 1; number of draws - 3;
- Average first-half total: 0.77;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.46, while the visitors net 0.31.
First-Half Stats: Derby (home) vs Stoke City (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 20 vs 20;
- wins: 6 (30%) vs 3 (15%);
- losses: 6 (30%) vs 5 (25%);
- draws: 8 (40%) vs 12 (60%);
- Average goals scored: 1.3 vs 0.85;
- Average goals conceded: 0.7 vs 0.55.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 3 vs 5;
- losses: 4 vs 0;
- draws: 3 vs 5;
- Average first-half total: 1.5 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.8) vs 1.2 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.3).
- Stoke City have drawn in the 1st half in last 5 away games (Championship).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 13;
- home team wins - 4, away team wins - 5, draws - 4.
Statistics: Derby vs Stoke City
- matches played in the tournament: 40 vs 40;
- wins: 17 vs 15;
- win percentage: 43% vs 38%;
- losses: 14 vs 16;
- draws: 9 vs 9.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 3;
- losses: 5 vs 5;
- draws: 0 vs 2.
- Stoke City have not won in last 6 away games (Championship).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.08, the guests - 1.08;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.15;
- both teams scored: overall - 6; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Derby vs Stoke City
- average total in the tournament: 2.73 vs 2.28;
- average total goals scored: 1.45 vs 1.2;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.7 vs 0.58;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.75 vs 0.63;
- Derby : average total at home in the tournament - 1.35;
- Stoke City: average total away in the tournament - 0.85;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 1.8) vs 1.5 (away - 0.5).
- Stoke City have scored in 8 of last 9 games.
Prediction on corners
Derby : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.5; at home field - 5.45;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.5; at home field - 4.6.
Stoke City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.68, away - 5.2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.4; away - 5.
- Stoke City have taken over 3.5 corners in last 5 games against Derby (Championship).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 13;
- both teams scored all-time - 6 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Derby vs Stoke City
- number of matches played in the tournament: 40 vs 40;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 26 vs 17;
- number of BTTS matches for Derby at home - 14 (70%);
- number of BTTS matches for Stoke City away - 6 (30%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Derby at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Stoke City away - 2 (50%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (73/478, 15.3%);
- Derby at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (6/20, 30%);
- Stoke City away most often play: 1:0 (4/20, 20%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.18% (odds 6.5)
1:0 - 11.76% (odds 7.5)
2:1 - 9.25% (odds 8.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering Stoke City's trend of consistent scoring, it's expected that the visitors will manage to find the back of the net at least once in this matchup. Derby are in excellent form, so we can reasonably anticipate goals from the hosts as well. Based on this, we place a bet on over 2.5 goals, which has hit in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head encounters between these teams.
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Betting Tips: Derby - Stoke City
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