Pari NN vs CSKA Prediction
🔊 Can Pari NN avoid relegation from the Russian Premier League? Their prospects look bleak: they're now four points adrift from at least the play-off zone, and the arrival of a new coach with just three matches left in the season hasn't made a difference. Perhaps they can secure some points at home against an equally struggling CSKA, who also crashed out of the Russian Cup midweek. We'll assess their chances in our editorial prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 Over the span of 10 matches, CSKA hold a commanding lead in victories with eight wins compared to just one for Pari. The teams have drawn once. Notably, in regulation time of their last four meetings, the total goals have not exceeded 2.5.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Pari NN Team Overview
Under the guidance of Aleksey Shpilevskiy, Pari made a solid start in the second half of the championship, securing two wins in three rounds. However, they hit a slump, collecting only two points over the next seven matches. A change in management didn't turn their fortunes around either; with three rounds remaining, Vadim Garanin took over as head coach. Currently, Pari sit in second-to-last place, trailing the playoff zone by four points.
Vadim Garanin's first match at the helm of Pari was an away game against Akhmat. The visitors held their own against a more esteemed opponent, enjoying 57% possession and taking just three fewer shots (13 compared to 16). However, the quality of Nizhny Novgorod's attacks was lacking, as Akhmat more than doubled their expected goals tally (1.49 to 0.63). Thus, a 2-0 victory for the hosts was a fair reflection of the match.
Match Results: Pari NN

CSKA Moscow Team Overview
CSKA's management decided that the team should approach the final stretch of the season with a new coach. Former head coach Fabio Celestini managed only three league victories after the winter break and was dismissed following a five-match winless streak. While the "Army Men" had hopes of competing for the championship at the start of the second half of the season, they now find themselves in sixth place, trailing third by four points.
Just before the Russian Cup lower bracket final, 39-year-old Dmitry Igdisamov took over the helm. CSKA faced an away match against Spartak. Statistically, the "Army Men" didn't seem inferior to the "Red-Whites": they controlled possession for 52% of the time and had only two fewer shots than their opponents (7 compared to 9). Nevertheless, the hosts opened the scoring in the 10th minute and maintained their narrow lead until the final whistle.
Match Results: CSKA Moscow
Latest news
Pari NN
❌ Paris are gearing up for their next match with nearly a full-strength squad. The only absentee is Alexander Ektov. However, the Russian defender hasn't played a single minute this season; he aggravated a knee injury during the summer preseason.
CSKA Moscow
❌ Unlike Pari, CSKA suffer significant losses in their starting lineup. The most notable is Igor Akinfeev, who is out for the rest of the season, along with Brazilian Moises. In the cup match, Kirill Glebov picked up a minor injury, but according to the head coach, it's not serious.
🟨 Yellow Card Prediction
It seems like Pari may have either lost hope in retaining their spot in the RPL or are gearing up for a strong finish to the season by preserving their best lineup. Recently, the Nizhny Novgorod side has been quite passive, as evidenced by their disciplinary record: no more than two yellow cards in 9 out of 10 matches since the winter break.
CSKA have already been plagued by injuries, so they certainly want to avoid any new setbacks or suspensions. Moreover, their motivation in the league, especially after being knocked out of the cup, is likely minimal. We anticipate a fairly peaceful atmosphere on the pitch with total yellow cards under 3.5.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
CSKA have been struggling offensively of late. The "Army Men" haven't scored more than one goal in their last six matches. Additionally, in 4 of their last 5 league games, their xG has not exceeded one. We believe that even against a defensively shaky Pari in Nizhny Novgorod, taking CSKA's total goals under 1.5 with odds of 1.76* is a reasonable choice.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Despite Pari's unenviable position in the standings, they at least attempt to play a combination style of football. Their approaches to opponents' goals are quite varied: besides positional attacks, they try to maintain pressure in the final third through set-pieces, and they rank mid-table in average corners per game in the RPL (4.39 over 28 rounds). The upper limit of this figure for the hosts isn't very high, making a bet on Pari NN's total corners over 4.5 at 1.94* worth considering.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers' lines.
Editor's Prediction
Both clubs are facing similar issues: coaching changes and extended winless streaks. While there's a clear difference in class between them, Paris have more tournament motivation, and playing at home will likely boost their players' morale. Considering CSKA's recent lack of scoring prowess, it's hard to imagine the visitors staging a goal fest. Additionally, in their last four head-to-head meetings, the teams combined for no more than two goals each time. Given these factors, it seems reasonable to bet on total goals under 2.5. A fair result would be a high-scoring draw with a scoreline of 1-1.
