Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 10 May 2026
π Nottingham Forest, fresh from their recent battle in the UEFA Europa League semi-finals, now aim to secure their Premier League status officially. VΓtor Pereira's squad is mentally drained following Thursday's heavy defeat. Newcastle, on the other hand, have snapped their losing streak and are eager to maintain this momentum. In the first round, the Magpies convincingly dealt with the Foresters, thus heading to the City Ground as slight favorites.
Head-to-Head
π In recent years, the Premier League has seen a clear dominance by the visitors: the Magpies have emerged victorious in 9 out of the last 10 head-to-head encounters, including a 2-0 win at St. James' Park in October. The situation at the City Ground is equally bleak for the hosts: Nottingham Forest's last home victory over Newcastle dates back to August 2018, and that was in the League Cup.
Head-to-head statistics Nottingham Forest - Newcastle
Nottingham Forest Team Overview
Vitor Pereira's side currently sit in 16th place with 42 points, six points clear of the relegation zone, and one more victory would almost secure their top-flight status. However, the emotional aftermath of their Europa League thrashing raises significant concerns. On Thursday, the Forest were dismantled by Aston Villa (0-4) away, squandering the narrow advantage they had gained in the first leg. This disappointing result ended their ten-match unbeaten streak in a heartbreaking fashion.
Prior to this, Forest embarked on an impressive run in the Premier League, securing emphatic victories over Burnley (4-1), Sunderland (5-0), and Chelsea (3-1). Their seven-match unbeaten streak is the best among all teams fighting for survival. At the City Ground, Vitor Pereira's protΓ©gΓ©s have not lost since early March. However, significant personnel issues cast doubt on the hosts' ability to replicate their recent heroics.
Match Results: Nottingham Forest
Newcastle United Team Overview
The Magpies, sitting 13th with 45 points, have all but secured their Premier League status for next season following a much-anticipated victory in the last round. Eddie Howe has finally found the right balance between defense and attack, with Will Osula emerging as an unexpected hero at the season's end, scoring three goals in the last four matches.
The encounter with Brighton (3-1) at St. James' Park snapped a four-game losing streak and provided a breath of fresh air for the black-and-whites. William Osula opened the scoring in the 12th minute, Dan Burn doubled the lead in the 24th, and Harvey Barnes sealed the final scoreline in stoppage time. Newcastle defeated a team eyeing European competition, capitalizing on their mistakes. However, defensive concerns remain, as the Seagulls created four dangerous chances and should have scored more.
Match Results: Newcastle United
Latest news
Nottingham Forest
π« Nottingham Forest's injury list is overflowing. Confirmed out for the rest of the season are winger Callum Hudson-Odoi, goalkeeper John Victor, as well as defenders Nicola Savona and Willy Boly.
β Captain Morgan Gibbs-White is a major doubt. The team leader sustained a severe facial cut against Chelsea and is currently wearing a protective mask. Vitor Pereira mentioned that he is unsure whether the player will return to the field this season.
β Ibrahim SangarΓ©, Ola Aina, Dan N'Doye, Zac Abbott, and Murillo are also doubtful.
Newcastle United
β‘ Newcastle's squad situation is relatively straightforward, but they have suffered a recent setback. Lewis Miley fractured his fibula during training and will be sidelined for several months.
β Tino Livramento and Fabian SchΓ€r are unlikely to feature again this season, as hinted by Eddie Howe. Emil Krafth is also ruled out for the remainder of the campaign.
π Given the circumstances, Kieran Trippier is likely to make a forced return to the starting lineup. The 35-year-old right-back, who announced he would be leaving the club at the end of the season, might start for the first time since making that statement.
π¨ Prediction for Yellow Cards
The match will be officiated by Paul Tierney. In 11 Premier League matches this season, he has issued 39 yellow cards, averaging 3.5 per game. In 2 out of his last 3 matches, the total yellow cards exceeded 3.5, and twice Tierney sent players off. Contact-heavy matches typically see a spike in warnings, and Saturday's clash at the City Ground promises to be just that. Forest average 1.6 yellows per match, while Newcastle average 1.8. However, injuries have depleted both teams' rosters, forcing defenses to play more aggressively. Total over 3.5 yellow cards at odds of 1.60* is a well-founded choice supported by trends. This bet has hit in 11 of Newcastle's last 12 Premier League games.
β½ Prediction for Goals
Both teams have been scoring consistently: Nottingham Forest in 9 of their last 10 matches, and Newcastle in 19 of their last 20. With little pressure in the standings, both sides can play freely. Forest boast Taiwo Awoniyi, who shone in the last round, and Chris Wood, eager to make an impact, while the Magpies have Will Osula, a revelation this spring. Considering the numerous injuries in both defensive lines and their head-to-head history, both teams to score (yes) at 1.60* is the most reasonable choice for Sunday's encounter.
π© Prediction for Corners
Corners statistics highlight the potential for a goal-filled game. At home, Nottingham Forest average 6.24 corners per match, while Newcastle average 5.59 on the road. Both teams feature physically dominant players and rely on aerial threats to challenge each other's goals. However, here's the issue - all trends on the corners market lean towards the under, and logic suggests opting for total under 10.5 corners at 1.80*. This has been profitable in the last five head-to-heads at the City Ground and in Newcastle's last five away matches.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
Editorial Prediction
Nottingham Forest, under VΓtor Pereira, have shown promise but are mentally and physically drained after their Europa League exit. Newcastle, having finally emerged from a losing streak, should capitalize on this opportunity. Historically, the Magpies have dominated the Foresters and are meeting them at an opportune time. We suggest betting on Newcastle's individual total over 1.5 goals. The Magpies have surpassed this mark in nine of their last ten Premier League head-to-heads against Forest. Our editorial team expects an outcome of a 3-1 victory for the visitors.
No comments
Betting Tips: Nottingham Forest - Newcastle United
in last 4 home games against Newcastle United (Premier League).
in 6 of last 7 home games (Premier League).in 9 of last 10 games against Newcastle United (Premier League).in last 4 home games against Newcastle United (Premier League).
in 10 of last 11 games.in last 7 games (Premier League).Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
