Estrela vs Benfica Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 8 November 2026
🔊 Benfica have won three Primeira Liga matches in a row, but have not closed the gap on Porto: the leaders have taken all 30 points and are five ahead of the Lisbon side. The visitors cannot afford to slip up. They face favourable opponents: Estrela are going through their worst spell of the season. They have lost their last four league matches. Can they at least find the strength to score against the favourites?
Head-to-Head
📊 Benfica have won the last five head-to-head matches, while Estrela have scored in only one of them. That was in February 2025, when Estrela scored twice at home but still lost 2-3. In their most recent meeting, in January, the Lisbon side won by four goals.
Head-to-head statistics Estrela - Benfica
Losing streak and knockdown
The win over Braga on 10 September remains Estrela’s last in the league. Since then, Pepa’s side have taken one point from five Primeira Liga matches. That leaves them with 10 points in 12th place. But the manager is worried about something else. “It’s not the points that worry me, but the run of results,” Pepa said after the defeat to Moreirense.
Home advantage has not helped either. Ahead of the match against Casa Pia, the manager promised to turn their ground into a fortress, but Estrela lost to opponents who have scored five goals all season. Casa Pia scored two of them against Estrela. Even a side with that record found a way through Estrela’s defence, while Estrela themselves are scoring less and less often.
Match Results: CF Estrela
Three wins and an uninspired evening
Since losing to Porto on 20 September, Benfica have not dropped any points in the Primeira Liga. But the leaders have not dropped a point either, so the gap is not closing. There is no room for error, and coach Marco Silva demands one thing of his team: “Match after match, every three days, always at our limit.”
Benfica fell short of that standard in the last round. The Lisbon side beat Alverca (1-0) only thanks to a penalty, while their opponents’ goal was ruled out after a video review. “It was an uninspired evening; we misplaced a lot of passes under no pressure,” Silva admitted. Their defence has been a saving grace: Benfica have kept a clean sheet in two of their last three Primeira Liga matches.
Match Results: Benfica
Latest news
CF Estrela
❓ Estrela will be without Jeremy Arevalo, who has not yet been given medical clearance. Alisson Souza is a doubt as he enters the final stage of his recovery. Robinho is fit again after a muscle injury.
Benfica
❓ Benfica are likely to be without Clement Lenglet. The defender has a thigh contusion, which led the coach to rule him out of the match against Lech Poznan in advance. Leandro Barreiro is still recovering, and the club expect him back before January.
Predicted Lineups
📋 Estrela predicted starting XI: Linck - Scholze, Lekovic, Luan Patrick, Davin - Serra, Jansson - Marcus, Zvonarek, Stoica - Antonetti.
📋 Benfica predicted starting XI: Samuel Soares - Bah, Araujo, Circati, Dahl - Aursnes, Palhinha - Lukebakio, Prestianni, Schjelderup - Pavlidis.
Total Goals Prediction
Estrela have conceded before half-time in each of their last four home Primeira Liga matches. Benfica, meanwhile, have scored in 33 consecutive matches, including 12 straight away league games. We expect the visitors to score against Estrela in the first half. Bet - Benfica to score in the first half at 1.33*.
Corners Prediction
Benfica have taken no more than seven corners in eight consecutive away matches. It has been the same story away to Estrela: the Lisbon side have not exceeded that mark in their last five visits. The hosts do more than just defend, though: they have taken at least five corners in six consecutive Primeira Liga matches. We expect Benfica to take no more than seven again. Bet - Benfica Team Total Corners - Under 7.5 at 1.70*.
Yellow Cards Prediction
More than two yellow cards were shown in 10 of Benfica’s last 11 matches. In the previous Primeira Liga round, Alverca had to commit fouls: they received three yellow cards, while Benfica received one. Against Estrela, the roles will be the same: the hosts will have to defend, and they will find it difficult to stop the favourites’ attacks without committing fouls. We expect at least three yellow cards between the two teams. The bet is Total Yellow Cards - Over 2.5.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
📌 Editor's Prediction
Benfica have been winning in the Primeira Liga without much to spare. In their last three league matches, Benfica and their opponents have scored no more than three goals between them. Estrela have followed the same pattern: each of their last five competitive matches has featured fewer than four goals. Even when they lose, the hosts do not fall apart: Estrela have conceded no more than two goals in each of their last four defeats. We expect Benfica to take all three points without a big win. Bet - Total Goals - Under 3.5. Score prediction - 0:2.
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Betting Tips: CF Estrela - Benfica
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