Sporting vs Moreirense Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 7 November 2026
🔊 Paulo Fonseca has supported Sporting since childhood and took charge of the team three days before the match. The Lisbon side are third, but the club’s management changed the coach anyway. Fonseca’s first opponents look favourable: Sporting have beaten Moreirense at home in ten consecutive head-to-head meetings. The problem lies elsewhere - the hosts have conceded in 7 of their last 8 games at the “José Alvalade”. Will the new coach have time to shore up the defence?
Head-to-Head
📊 Sporting have lost to Moreirense only once in their last 27 Primeira Liga meetings, in December 2024. However, the Lisbon side have not scored more than three goals against Moreirense in 20 consecutive head-to-head matches. The teams last met in February, when Sporting took all three points away from home without conceding.
Head-to-head statistics Sporting - Moreirense
Sporting: Managerial change with the club in third place
Sporting changed their manager not because of their league position, but because of the way the team were losing. In late October, the Lisbon side lost twice at home in four days: to LASK in the Champions League and to Académico de Viseu (1-2) in the Primeira Liga. President Frederico Varandas acknowledged that the way the club dealt with defeats internally was also a factor. Former manager Rui Borges left on 1 November, when Sporting were nine points behind leaders Porto.
Sporting bought Fonseca out of his contract at Lyon. “My dream has come true,” the manager said at his unveiling. He inherited a reliable attack: 23 goals in ten Primeira Liga rounds. However, the Lisbon side have not scored more than two goals in any of their last six games.
Match Results: Sporting
Moreirense: Six Points in a Week, 17 Goals Conceded
Moreirense arrive in Lisbon on the back of two straight Primeira Liga wins. They first beat Estoril, then edged past Estrela at home, scoring the winner in stoppage time. “Psychologically, it’s important to win late on,” said the coach. The visitors are now ninth with 14 points.
Moreirense’s weak point is their defence. They have conceded 17 goals in ten rounds, including four at home to Benfica. But they have not suffered a heavy away defeat for some time: since the match in Arouca in August, Moreirense have not lost by more than one goal.
Match Results: Moreirense
Latest news
Sporting
❓ Sporting have doubts over Fresneda and Ibrahima Ba, both carrying physical problems. Rodrigo Zalazar has returned from a thigh injury but complained of knee pain, though the club do not expect anything serious.
Moreirense
❓ Moreirense will be without Kiko Bondoso, Alexandre Parsemain and left-back Francisco Domingues, with Alvaro Martinez most likely to replace him. Manuel Mendonca and Joao Veloso are doubtful.
Predicted Lineups
📋 Sporting’s predicted starting XI: Kaique - Fresneda, Quaresma, Inacio, Araujo - Altimira, Andersen - Luis Guilherme, Pedro Lima, Irankunda - Suarez.
📋 Moreirense’s predicted starting XI: Ferreira - Pinto, Kevyn, Batista, Alvaro Martinez - Liberato, Nile John - Andrade, Mendonca, Landerson - Vonic.
Total Goals Prediction
There are rarely dull evenings at “José Alvalade”. At least three goals have been scored in 11 of Sporting’s last 12 home matches. Their last three games there have brought two defeats and a win, with at least three goals in each. Moreirense have also conceded in 13 of their last 14 away matches. We expect more than two goals. The bet is Total Goals - Over 2.5 at 1.42*.
Corners Prediction
Sporting do not overwhelm opponents with corners. The Lisbon side have taken more than seven in just one of their last 10 competitive matches. Their only spike was 11 corners against Académico de Viseu, and Sporting lost that game. Moreirense's opponents have also posted modest numbers: they have taken 51 corners in 10 matches, with only Porto taking more than seven. We do not expect the hosts to take eight corners. The bet is Sporting Team Total Corners - Under 7.5 at 1.80*.
Yellow Cards Prediction
Referees showed at least four yellow cards in 13 of Sporting’s and Moreirense’s last 20 official matches. There were 44 bookings in the Lisbon side’s ten matches and 41 in the visitors’ ten. Sporting’s most heated match was a home draw with Arouca, which produced eight yellow cards. We expect the referee to show at least four yellow cards. Bet - Total Yellow Cards - Over 3.5.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers
📌 Editor’s Prediction
Sporting have scored in 32 consecutive Primeira matches. Moreirense are unlikely to contain that attack: the visitors have conceded in eight straight matches. But the Lisbon side rarely keep a clean sheet themselves. At home, Sporting have conceded in 7 of their last 8 games, and both teams have scored in their last five. We expect Paulo Fonseca to begin his tenure in Lisbon with a win, but his debut will not be without a goal conceded. Bet - Both Teams to Score - Yes. Predicted score - 2:1.
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Betting Tips: Sporting - Moreirense
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