Benfica vs Estrela Prediction 25 January 2026
🔊 Benfica and Estrela are gearing up for another encounter that promises to be action-packed. Benfica are in excellent form, currently sitting third in the table, showcasing their ambition in the title race. The team displays confidence both in attack and defense. Estrela, on the other hand, are facing challenges-they are battling for survival in 12th place and struggling with consistency. Both teams have their objectives: Benfica aim to solidify their position among the leaders, while Estrela strive to steer clear of the relegation zone.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 16 August 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 0-1. Here's the comparative statistics from that encounter (home team - Estrela):
- possession percentage: 43% vs 57%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 4;
- fouls: 14 vs 23;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 3.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Benfica and Estrela:
- 8 matches played;
- home wins - 8, away wins - 0, draws - 0;
- total goals scored - 25 for Benfica, 5 for Estrela;
- average goals in the first half - 1.88, in the second half - 1.88;
- average total goals per match - 3.75.
Head-to-head statistics Benfica - Estrela
Benfica Lisbon Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Champions League, with Juventus as the home side and Benfica as the visitors. The match concluded with a 2-0 scoreline.
Here's the game statistics (Benfica vs Juventus):
- possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corners: 7 vs 4;
- fouls: 10 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 4.
Benfica are showcasing an impressive form this season, confidently holding the third spot in the league table. The team have won 12 out of 18 matches and remain unbeaten, highlighting their consistency and high level of play. In their last five games, Benfica have secured two wins and suffered three defeats, but this seems to be a temporary setback. The squad is known for their aggressive style, focusing on ball control and swift attacks. The "Eagles" continue to be strong contenders for top positions, thanks to their defensive reliability.
Match Results: Benfica Lisbon
Estrela Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place on in the Primeira Liga, with Estrela hosting Estoril. The game concluded with a 0-5 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Estrela vs Estoril):
- possession: 40% vs 60%;
- corners: 1 vs 4;
- fouls: 16 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 6.
Estrela, known for their persistence, currently sit 12th in the standings and continue their battle to climb higher. The team shows mixed results: in their last five matches, they have one win, two draws, and two losses. Their most recent game ended in defeat, highlighting their inconsistent form. Estrela display moderate scoring ability with a focus on counterattacks, but they lack defensive solidity, conceding an average of 1.78 goals per match. Last August, Estrela unsurprisingly lost to Benfica 0-1. The odds of success now remain slim.
Match Results: Estrela
Latest news
Benfica Lisbon
🎙 Benfica's head coach José Mourinho shared his thoughts after the 2-0 defeat to Juventus in the Champions League: “In football, the team that scores wins. There are countless examples of teams that do little to win yet still come out on top. Today, we did a lot despite our limitations. We played strongly, but in the last 20 minutes, we needed to stay composed, break through the defense, and attack with all our might. We had great chances, and others I consider half-chances, where you reach the shooting zone but make an extra pass or an inaccurate one.”
❌ The Eagles are without Alexander Bah, Dodi Lukebakio, and Henrique Araújo. Recently, João Veloso and Richard Rios have also joined the team's injury list.
Estrela
✅ Estrela have a full squad available ahead of their match against Benfica.
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 8;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 2; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 1;
- Average first-half total: 1.88;
- Today's home team scores on average 1.5, while the visitors net 0.38.
First-Half Stats: Benfica Lisbon (home) vs Estrela (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 8;
- wins: 6 (66.67%) vs 1 (12.5%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 4 (50%);
- draws: 3 (33.33%) vs 3 (37.5%);
- Average goals scored: 1.67 vs 1.75;
- Average goals conceded: 0.33 vs 1.25.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 6 vs 3;
- losses: 3 vs 4;
- draws: 1 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 1.5 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.6) vs 1.8 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 1).
- Benfica Lisbon scored in the 1st half in 8 of last 9 home games.
- Benfica Lisbon scored in the 1st half in last 6 games (Primeira Liga).
- Estrela conceded in the 1st half in last 6 away games.
- Estrela conceded in the 1st half in last 5 away games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 8;
- home team wins - 8, away team wins - 0, draws - 0.
Statistics: Benfica Lisbon vs Estrela
- matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- wins: 12 vs 4;
- win percentage: 67% vs 22%;
- losses: 0 vs 7;
- draws: 6 vs 7.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 3;
- losses: 3 vs 4;
- draws: 1 vs 3.
- Estrela won with a +2.5 handicap in 17 of last 19 games.
- Estrela won with a +2.5 handicap in 16 of last 18 games (Primeira Liga).
- Estrela won with a +2.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 away games.
- Estrela won with a +2.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 away games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 3.13, the guests - 0.63;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.75;
- both teams scored: overall - 3; at the home team's field - 0.
Statistics: Benfica Lisbon vs Estrela
- average total in the tournament: 2.72 vs 3.06;
- average total goals scored: 2.11 vs 1.28;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.06 vs 0.67;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.06 vs 0.61;
- Benfica Lisbon: average total at home in the tournament - 2.11;
- Estrela: average total away in the tournament - 1.25;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.7 (home - 1.75) vs 1.7 (away - 2.25).
- Benfica Lisbon have scored under 3.5 goals in 16 of last 17 home games.
- Benfica Lisbon have scored under 3.5 goals in 9 of last 10 home games (Primeira Liga).
- Benfica Lisbon have scored under 3.5 goals in 8 of last 9 games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 10.5 (6.75 - for home team and 3.75 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 12 (8.67 - for home team and 3.33 - for away team).
Benfica Lisbon: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.83; at home field - 6.44;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.6; at home field - 4.
Estrela: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.33, away - 2.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.7; away - 1.75.
- Estrela have taken over 1.5 corners in 7 of last 8 games against Benfica Lisbon.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 8;
- both teams scored all-time - 3 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: Benfica Lisbon vs Estrela
- number of matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 9;
- number of BTTS matches for Benfica Lisbon at home - 6 (67%);
- number of BTTS matches for Estrela away - 4 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Benfica Lisbon at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Estrela away - 3 (75%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (18/162, 11.1%);
- Benfica Lisbon at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (3/9, 33.3%);
- Estrela away most often play: 0:0 (2/8, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:0 - 11.77% (odds 5.25)
1:0 - 10.1% (odds 6.9)
2:1 - 9.37% (odds 11)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Given the current form and motivation of the teams, it's reasonable to expect Benfica to dominate on the field. They are in excellent form and sit third in the standings, eager to solidify their position among the leaders. Estrela, on the other hand, faces defensive challenges and displays inconsistent results. However, it's worth noting a trend: Estrela often covers a +2.5 spread in their recent matches. Considering this trend and the overall state of the visiting team, an insightful betting option would be to take Estrela with a +2.5 spread.No comments
Betting Tips: Benfica Lisbon - Estrela
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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