Marseille vs Lens Prediction 8 March 2025
🔊 The upcoming match between Marseille and Lens promises to be one of the most exciting in the 25th round of Ligue 1. Marseille is hardly seriously considering the championship anymore, but they definitely wish to hold on to the second spot. Lens, on the other hand, is in the middle of the table and can still contend for European competitions. Therefore, a heated battle for three points is expected at the "Velodrome," with the hosts considered the favorites.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Olympique Marseille and Lens:
- played 10 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 4, for the away team - 5, draws - 1;
- number of goals - 16 against 12;
- average total in the 1st half - 1, in the 2nd half - 1.8;
- average total goals in the match - 2.8.
The last game took place on 23 November 2024 at the home ground of Lens and ended with a score of 1:3.
Head-to-head statistics Marseille - Lens
Olympique Marseille Team Overview
📝 Marseille is showing confident play this season, especially on their home field. With six wins in the last ten matches and an average scoring rate of 2.1 goals per game, the team confidently holds the second spot in the league table. However, the "Provencals'" defense sometimes falters, as evidenced by their average of 1.2 goals conceded per match.
📎 In the penultimate round, Marseille sensationally "collapsed" against Auxerre (0:3), and the club president couldn't hold back his emotions. As a result, Pablo Longoria was suspended for 15 matches for his statements about corruption.
📣 But the team showed the right reaction to the setback by defeating Nantes (2:0). Here's how Roberto De Zerbi commented on the result: "I was worried before the game, fearing the consequences of the defeat to Auxerre. But we deserved the victory, creating a sea of chances.”
❌ An unpleasant outcome of the match against Nantes was the injury to Michael Murillo. The key central defense player will return only after the international break. Also, due to suspension, another defensive stronghold, Derek Cornelius, cannot help his teammates.
Match Results: Olympique Marseille
RC Lens Team Overview
📝 Lens is going through a difficult period with three victories in the last ten matches. Their playing style is more focused on counterattacks and defense, which is evidenced by an average scoring rate of 1.1 goals per game. Despite this, their defense remains vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match.
🔗 The "Blood and Gold" have suffered four consecutive defeats, with the last one being particularly disappointing. William Still's protégés were better than Le Havre in terms of gameplay quality, but all 4 shots on goal against them resulted in goals.
❌ The visitors have a whole cohort of absentees. There are four players suspended: M'Bala Nzola, Facundo Medina, Adrien Thomasson, and Angelo Fulgini. Remy Labeau-Lascari and Martin Satriano have been out since last year due to knee problems.
Match Results: RC Lens
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 10;
- home team wins - 4, away team wins - 5, draws - 1.
Statistics: Olympique Marseille vs Lens
- number of matches played in the tournament: 24 vs 24;
- number of wins: 15 vs 9;
- win percentage: 63% vs 38%;
- number of losses: 5 vs 9;
- number of draws: 4 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 6 vs 3;
- number of losses: 3 vs 6;
- number of draws: 1 vs 1.
- RC Lens wins with a handicap of +1.5 in 18 of the last 20 Ligue 1 away games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.6, the guests - 1.2;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.8;
- both teams scored: overall - 5; at the home team's field - 2.
Statistics: Olympique Marseille vs Lens
- average total in the tournament: 3.38 vs 2.42;
- average total goals scored: 2.17 vs 1.21;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.75 vs 0.67;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.42 vs 0.54;
- Olympique Marseille: average total at home in the tournament - 2.08;
- Lens: average total away in the tournament - 1.33;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.1 (home - 2.83) vs 1.1 (away - 1.25).
- Olympique Marseille has scored less than 2.5 goals in 8 of the last 9 Ligue 1 games against RC Lens.
Prediction on corners
Olympique Marseille: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.75; at home field - 5.17;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.1; at home field - 7.33.
Lens: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.92, away - 5.17;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.3; away - 6.75.
- There have been over 8.5 corners in 8 of the last 9 Olympique Marseille games against RC Lens in the Ligue 1.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 5 (2.5 for home team and 2.5 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 5 (2.8 for home team and 2.2 for away team).
Olympique Marseille: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.75; at home - 1.92;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.5; at home - 1.67.
Lens: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.46, away - 2.58;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.4; away - 2.5.
- There have been Over 3.5 yellow cards in 11 of the last 12 RC Lens away games.
- There have been Over 3.5 yellow cards in 10 of the last 11 RC Lens away games in the Ligue 1.
- There have been Over 3.5 yellow cards in 8 of the last 9 RC Lens games.
- There have been Over 3.5 yellow cards in 10 of the last 11 RC Lens games in the Ligue 1.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 10;
- both teams scored all-time - 5 times;
- on the home team’s field - 2 times.
Statistics: Olympique Marseille vs Lens
- number of matches played in the tournament: 24 vs 24;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 15 vs 10;
- number of BTTS matches for Olympique Marseille at home - 9 (75%);
- number of BTTS matches for Lens away - 6 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Olympique Marseille at home - 5 (83%);
- BTTS matches for Lens away - 2 (50%).
- Olympique Marseille has scored and conceded in 7 of the last 8 Ligue 1 home games.
- Olympique Marseille has scored and conceded in 8 of the last 9 home games.
Editor's Prediction
Considering the current form of the teams and their statistical indicators, the most likely outcome of the match is a victory for Marseille. The "Provençals" are showing excellent form on home turf and have high scoring in recent games. Lens, although capable of surprising their opponent, faces difficulties in defense and rarely wins away games. However, it is unlikely that the hosts will secure a "clean" victory. Taking all factors into account, our key bet will be both teams to score (yes), as indicated by several trends.
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Betting Tips: Olympique Marseille - RC Lens
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in 8 of last 9 games against RC Lens (Ligue 1).in 10 of last 11 home games.in 9 of last 10 home games (Ligue 1).in 18 of last 20 away games (Ligue 1).in 8 of last 9 games against RC Lens (Ligue 1).
Comparison of Teams Stats
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