Marseille vs Lens Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 24 January 2026
🔊 What will be the outcome of the marquee match in Ligue 1's 19th round? This Saturday, a significant event unfolds in the French championship as Marseille and Lens, currently sitting third and first in the standings, face off. Let's delve deeper into this clash and identify the favorite. You can find our prediction for the match outcome below.
Head-to-Head
📊 Recently, matches between Marseille and Lorient have been quite high-scoring, delighting fans with a good number of goals. In three of their last four head-to-head encounters, there have been at least three goals scored.
Head-to-head statistics Marseille - Lens
Olympique Marseille Team Overview
🔵 Marseille are sitting third in the league, but their gap from Lens is quite significant at 8 points. If the "southerners" fail to secure a win in the upcoming match, their title hopes might be dashed. However, Roberto De Zerbi's squad are not in the best spirits following their defeat to PSG in the French Super Cup and a recent Champions League loss to Liverpool (0-3).
⚪ In Ligue 1, the "blue and whites" convincingly defeated Angers away (5-2) in the last round. Yet, when it comes to home performances, De Zerbi's men have struggled, suffering two consecutive goalless defeats: against Liverpool (0-3) and Nantes (0-2). Such statistics are hardly encouraging ahead of their clash with the league leaders.
Match Results: Olympique Marseille
Lens Team Overview
🔴 Lens continue to delight their fans with outstanding performances this season. The team enjoys a positive atmosphere, and the results are a testament to that. Many recall the record set 30 years ago when the team also secured 10 consecutive victories across all competitions. However, amidst the fierce competition in French football today, the achievements of Franck Haise's squad seem remarkable.
🟡 In January, Lens confidently advanced to the last 16 of the Coupe de France by defeating Sochaux with a 3-0 victory. Following that, they shut out Auxerre 1-0 in the 18th round. Over their last five matches, Franck Haise's men have conceded just one goal-a remarkable statistic befitting a league leader.
Match Results: Lens
Latest news
Olympique Marseille
❌ Due to injury, Marseille will be without Italian defender Emerson in the upcoming match, as he suffered a thigh injury in the last round against Angers. He also missed the Champions League clash with Liverpool. English midfielder Angel Gomes is suspended after accumulating too many yellow cards. Moroccan player Nayef Aguerd remains doubtful as he is still recovering from the recent Africa Cup of Nations.
Lens
❌ Lens have doubts over the availability of three players: Samson Baidoo, Anthony Bermont, and Amadou Haidara. They have all been in recovery but are reportedly ready to participate. Those definitely out against Marseille include Jonathan Gradit (hip injury), Regis Gurtner (muscle injury), and Jhoanner Chavez (hip injury).
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The upcoming match will be officiated by Benoit Bastien. On average, over a span of 100 matches, he issues 4 yellow cards per game with 25 fouls. In Ligue 1, through 18 matches, the yellow card stats for the teams are as follows: Marseille averages 2.2 per game, while Lens averages 1.9. Both teams frequently receive cautions this season, so we suggest betting on total yellow cards over 3.5.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Marseille's individual total in the French championship averages 2.3 goals per match, while Lens averages 1.8. The goal-scoring average in matches involving these teams is 3.3 for the hosts and 2.5 for the visitors. Considering this data and their head-to-head results, we recommend considering a bet on total match goals over 2.5.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Over eighteen matches in the French championship, Marseille averages 5.3 corners per game, while Lens averages 5.9 in the same span. Both teams frequently earn corner kicks and show statistics slightly above the league average, so we propose betting on total corners over 8.5.
Editorial Prediction
Two excellent teams are set to clash, both enjoying successful seasons so far. However, Marseille have recently shifted from being a strong home side to struggling at home, losing two consecutive matches on their own turf. Lens are on an impressive winning streak, boasting three clean sheets in a row. With no signs pointing to a setback for the visitors, we're backing that Lens will not lose. We foresee the upcoming encounter ending in a high-scoring draw - 2-2.
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Betting Tips: Olympique Marseille - Lens
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