Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 8 November 2026
๐ Union Saint-Gilloise go into this match on a strong run and scoring freely. They sit second and remain motivated by the race for top spot. Genk are sixth in the top-flight table, well behind the Champions League places and without a clear league objective at this stage. In recent matches, the hosts have shown more consistent and impressive form, contrasting with the visitorsโ less convincing results.
Union Saint-Gilloise regularly pick up points at home
Union Saint-Gilloise beat Genk 2:1 at home in a top-flight match on 07 March 2026. Despite having less possession (43% to 57%), the hosts had more shots (12 to 5) and created more dangerous attacks (50 to 28), although they trailed their opponents on xG (0.8 to 1.32).
๐ In 18 official meetings, Union Saint-Gilloise have won 11 times, Genk five, and the other two matches ended in draws. There have been no draws at Union Saint-Gilloiseโs ground: seven home wins and three wins for Genk. Union Saint-Gilloise have won the last four home meetings.
Head-to-head statistics Union Saint-Gilloise - Genk
One win behind the leader
Union Saint-Gilloise won 2-1 away to Celta in their last Europa League match on 5 November 2026. Celta had more possession and took 11 corners to Union Saint-Gilloiseโs one, but the visitors had more shots (15-13) and were well ahead on xG (2.06 to 0.98).
Union Saint-Gilloise are enjoying a strong run: they are unbeaten in ten consecutive matches, with eight wins and two draws. In their last five matches, they have recorded four wins and just one draw. They have averaged 2.8 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded over those ten games, underlining their balance between attack and defence. This season, they have scored an average of 2.9 goals per match, making them one of the leagueโs highest-scoring teams. Their proximity to first place keeps them motivated in the league.
Match Results: Union Saint-Gilloise
The gap to the leader is growing
Genk lost 1-0 away to Mechelen in their previous Pro League match on 31 October 2026. The visitors mounted more dangerous attacks (22-8) and had a higher xG (0.41 to 0), but failed to score.
Genk have been less consistent: they have won five of their last ten matches, drawn three and lost two. In their last five matches, they have won three times but lost twice. They have averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over ten matches, indicating some defensive difficulties. Their season statistics also point to a less reliable defence: they concede an average of 1.4 goals per game. Their objective is to reach the Champions League places, but they are 11 points behind, so there is no strong motivation at present.
Match Results: Genk
Prediction for the 1st half
Union Saint-Gilloise have won more than 2.5 corners in six consecutive matches. This trend covers full matches, and there are no separate first-half figures, so the basis for a bet on that period is limited. A more cautious option is Union Saint-Gilloise First-Half Team Total Corners - Over 2.5 at odds of 1.69*.
Match Result Prediction
Union Saint-Gilloise have won 6 of their last 7 meetings with Genk. This season, the hosts have won 8 of their 10 matches and remain unbeaten, while Genk have not won any of their five away matches. We pick Union Saint-Gilloise to win at odds of 1.60*.
Total Goals Prediction
Union Saint-Gilloise have scored more than 1.5 goals in six of their last seven league matches. They have averaged 3.2 goals at home over their last 10 matches, while Genk have conceded an average of 1.6 away goals over the same period. One caveat: Union have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in 10 of the last 11 head-to-head meetings, so it is not worth choosing a higher line. The bet is Union Saint-Gilloise Team Total Goals - Over 1.5 at odds of 1.57*.
Corners Prediction
There were fewer than 9.5 corners in 9 of Genk's last 10 away matches. However, Union Saint-Gilloise have taken more than 5.5 corners in five consecutive league matches, which limits confidence in a low total overall. Given Genk's strong away trend, we pick Total Corners - Under 9.5 at odds of 2.00*.
High-Risk Bet
Union Saint-Gilloise have conceded an average of 0.6 goals per home match this season and 0.8 goals across their last 10 home matches. Genk have scored fewer than two goals in 8 of the last 9 head-to-head meetings. However, Genk have averaged 1.2 goals across their last 10 away matches: betting on them not to score is notably bolder than backing a low team goal total. We pick Genk not to score at odds of 2.63*.
Safer Bet
Union Saint-Gilloise are unbeaten in 22 consecutive home matches. This season, they have three wins and two draws from five home matches, while Genk have no wins in five away matches. We pick Union Saint-Gilloise to Win or Draw at odds of 1.15*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithmโs calculations, the top three scorelines are 1:0 (10.12%), 1:1 (10%) and 2:0 (9.35%). The 1:0 scoreline is the most likely. The probabilities of all three scorelines are within 0.77 percentage points of each other.
*The odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.*
โญ Editor's Pick
Union Saint-Gilloise's form and attacking statistics stand out compared with their opponents: they consistently score almost three goals per game and rarely drop points. The trend for the home side to score over 1.5 goals is supported by both recent results and their overall form this season. Genk have been less reliable defensively, while a lack of motivation in the standings reduces the likelihood of a sharp improvement. The main prediction is Union Saint-Gilloise Team Total Goals - Over 1.5.
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Betting Tips: Union Saint-Gilloise - Genk
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