Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 7 November 2026
🔉 Philadelphia Union head into the final round of the season in noticeably better form and with better results in recent matches than Toronto. The hosts have little to play for in the standings: they are mid-table, neither challenging for the VKC play-offs nor at risk of relegation. The visitors also have no clear objective for the closing stages of the season, so the match promises to be free of pressure from the league standings. The key difference is Philadelphia Union’s recent form and Toronto’s defensive inconsistency.
Philadelphia Union pick up points at home
The most recent MLS meeting between Toronto and Philadelphia Union took place on 22 April 2026 and ended 3:3. Philadelphia Union led 1:0 at half-time, and both teams had 12 shots over the course of the match, despite Toronto’s advantage in possession - 64% to 36%.
📊 In 37 official meetings, Toronto have won 15 times, Philadelphia Union 12, and another 10 matches have ended in draws. Philadelphia Union have fared noticeably better at home: they have won 8 of their 17 home matches against Toronto, compared with 4 wins in 19 away matches. Philadelphia Union are unbeaten in their last six home matches.
Head-to-head statistics Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union Team Overview
Philadelphia Union lost 1-0 away to Cincinnati in their last MLS match, 31 October 2026. The defeat contrasts with the statistics: the visitors had 15 shots to 7 and 6 shots on target to 2, but failed to score.
Philadelphia Union have won 6 of their last ten matches, with 2 defeats and 2 draws, averaging 2.6 goals scored and just 1.2 conceded per game. In their last five matches, they have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, but have not lost twice in a row. Over the course of the season, they have averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per match, indicating a balanced style with a slight attacking edge. Despite having no clear league objective, Philadelphia Union are maintaining a high level of performance as the season draws to a close.
Match Results: Philadelphia Union
Toronto Team Overview
Toronto lost 3-1 away to Atlanta United in their last MLS match 1 November 2026. Despite having more possession and making 64 dangerous attacks to their opponents’ 30, the visitors were outshot 3-8 on target.
Toronto are finishing the league season with nothing to play for in the standings, which is reflected in their recent results: just 4 wins, 5 defeats and one draw in ten matches. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals and conceded 2.1 per match over that stretch, compared with 1.55 scored and 1.91 conceded per game across the season. In their last five matches, Toronto have won twice, lost three times and drawn once, pointing to inconsistent results and a weak defence. The lack of pressure from league objectives is not helping them improve their defensive concentration.
Match Results: Toronto
Prediction for the 1st half
Philadelphia Union have scored in the first half in 12 of their last 14 head-to-head meetings with Toronto. This trend relates directly to the selected period, although there are no first-half statistics for the teams’ current matches. We pick Philadelphia Union First-Half Team Total Goals - Over 0.5 at odds of 1.43*.
Match Result Prediction
Philadelphia Union have won 7 of their 16 home matches this season, while Toronto have lost 10 of their 16 away matches. The hosts have scored an average of 2.8 goals in their last ten home matches, while the visitors have conceded 2.5 in their last ten away matches. However, 5 of Philadelphia Union’s home matches have ended in draws, so a home win is not a foregone conclusion. We pick Philadelphia Union to win at odds of 1.42*.
Total Goals Prediction
Philadelphia Union have scored more than 1.5 goals in 7 of their last 8 home matches. They have averaged 2.8 goals over their last ten home games, while Toronto have conceded an average of 2.5 in their last ten away matches. This provides grounds to back Philadelphia Union Team Total Goals - Over 1.5 at odds of 1.36*.
Corners Prediction
Total Corners - Under 10.5 has landed in 6 of Philadelphia Union’s last 7 home matches. This is a direct trend for the current home match, but the teams’ average corner figures have not been provided. We pick Total Corners - Under 10.5 at odds of 1.80*, bearing in mind the limited supporting evidence.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams scored in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head meetings. Philadelphia Union have scored an average of 2.8 goals and conceded 1.4 in their last ten home matches; Toronto have scored more than 1.5 goals in five consecutive matches. However, Toronto's away scoring record is more modest - an average of 1 goal in their last ten away matches. With this in mind, we pick Both Teams to Score - Yes at odds of 1.53*.
High-Risk Bet
Both teams scored in the second half in Philadelphia Union’s last four home matches. The hosts have scored after the break in eight consecutive home matches, while Toronto have scored in the second half in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings. The samples partly overlap, and the run of matches in which both teams scored is only four games long. A bolder option is Both Teams to Score in the Second Half - Yes at odds of 2.63*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm’s calculations, the following correct-score outcomes made the top three: 2:1 (9.94%), 2:0 (8.33%) and 1:1 (7.78%). Of the three, 2:1 has the highest probability.
*The odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.*
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
There is no real league-table intrigue in this match - both teams are playing out the season without pressure. Philadelphia Union are clearly ahead of Toronto in recent form, goalscoring and defensive quality, but a lack of motivation could slow the overall pace of the game. The main trend - under 10.5 corners in six of Philadelphia Union’s last seven home matches - is backed by the statistics: the teams rarely rack up many set pieces, even when the scoreline is open. We believe this match will again produce a modest number of corners. Bet - Total Corners - Under 10.5.
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Betting Tips: Philadelphia Union - Toronto
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