Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union Prediction 22 April 2026
🔊 Toronto and Philadelphia Union are set to clash in a match where high-scoring action is anticipated. Both teams have been inconsistent this season, yet they continue to deliver entertaining football. The hosts hold a slight edge due to their superior attacking stats and historically successful home performances against this opponent.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 09 August 2025 and ended in a 1-1 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Philadelphia Union were the home side):
- possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corners: 5 vs 8;
- fouls: 16 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 4.
📊 Statistical preview of the official matchups between Toronto and Philadelphia Union:
- 36 matches played;
- home wins - 15, away wins - 12, draws - 9;
- goals scored - 52 for Toronto, 55 for Philadelphia;
- average goals in the first half - 1.28, in the second half - 1.69;
- average total goals per match - 2.97.
Head-to-head statistics Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union
Toronto Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the MLS, featuring Toronto as the home side against Austin. The game concluded with a 3-3 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Toronto vs Austin):
- possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 5;
- fouls: 18 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 2;
- shots on target: 11 vs 6.
Toronto are putting on an impressive show. In their last five matches, they've secured two wins and three draws, demonstrating offensive consistency with an average of 1.7 goals per game. This underscores their ability to create chances and score at home. Toronto sit sixth in the standings, highlighting their ambitions to reach the playoffs. However, their defense remains vulnerable, conceding 1.75 goals per match. It's crucial for the team to bolster their defensive efforts to solidify their position and contend for higher spots.
Match Results: Toronto
Philadelphia Union Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place on in the MLS, with Philadelphia Union hosting D.C. United. The game concluded with a 0-0 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Philadelphia Union vs D.C. United):
- possession: 62% vs 38%;
- corners: 13 vs 1;
- fouls: 11 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 0.
Philadelphia Union are grappling with scoring issues, currently sitting in 13th place in the standings with just one win in their last five matches. They average only 0.75 goals per game, highlighting their struggles in offense. However, their defense remains relatively steady, conceding 1.5 goals per match. The key challenge for the visitors is to enhance their attacking play to boost their chances of a successful performance.
Match Results: Philadelphia Union
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 36;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 5; for visitors away - 6; number of draws - 7;
- Average first-half total: 1.28;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.47, while the visitors net 0.81.
First-Half Stats: Toronto (home) vs Philadelphia Union (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 5 vs 4;
- wins: 1 (20%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 2 (40%) vs 4 (100%);
- draws: 2 (40%) vs 0 (0%);
- Average goals scored: 0.6 vs 1;
- Average goals conceded: 0.4 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 2 vs 1;
- losses: 5 vs 6;
- draws: 3 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 1.2 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.8) vs 1.1 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.7).
- Philadelphia Union conceded in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games.
- Philadelphia Union conceded in the 1st half in last 5 away games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 36;
- home team wins - 15, away team wins - 12, draws - 9.
Statistics: Toronto vs Philadelphia Union
- matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
- wins: 3 vs 1;
- win percentage: 38% vs 13%;
- losses: 2 vs 6;
- draws: 3 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 2;
- losses: 3 vs 6;
- draws: 3 vs 2.
- Toronto have not lost in last 12 home games (Major League Soccer).
- Toronto have not lost in last 6 games (Major League Soccer).
- Philadelphia Union have not won in 8 of last 9 games (Major League Soccer).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.44, the guests - 1.53;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.97;
- both teams scored: overall - 23; at the home team's field - 14.
Statistics: Toronto vs Philadelphia Union
- average total in the tournament: 3.38 vs 2.25;
- average total goals scored: 1.63 vs 0.75;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.25 vs 0.13;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.38 vs 0.63;
- Toronto: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
- Philadelphia Union: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.7 (home - 2.33) vs 1.4 (away - 1.25).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in last 10 Toronto home games against Philadelphia Union (Major League Soccer).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 36;
- both teams scored all-time - 23 times;
- on the home team’s field - 14 times.
Statistics: Toronto vs Philadelphia Union
- number of matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 6 vs 5;
- number of BTTS matches for Toronto at home - 5 (100%);
- number of BTTS matches for Philadelphia Union away - 3 (75%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Toronto at home - 6 (100%);
- BTTS matches for Philadelphia Union away - 4 (100%).
- Toronto have scored and conceded in last 7 home games against Philadelphia Union (Major League Soccer).
- Toronto have scored and conceded in last 10 home games (Major League Soccer).
- Toronto have scored and conceded in last 5 games (Major League Soccer).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:2 (12/118, 10.2%);
- Toronto at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (2/5, 40%);
- Philadelphia Union away most often play: 1:0 , 1:2 , 2:1 , 3:1 (1/4, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.72% (odds 6.5)
2:1 - 7.91% (odds 9)
1:2 - 7.83% (odds 9.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The upcoming clash promises to be high-scoring, given the historical data: in the last ten head-to-heads at Toronto's field, more than 2.5 goals have been scored. The hosts exhibit a confident attacking play, averaging 1.7 goals per match, which positions them as favorites to create chances and secure a result. However, their defense remains a weak spot, potentially leading to conceded goals. Philadelphia, on the other hand, struggles with scoring but maintains defensive stability. Considering the trend of over 2.5 goals and the current form of both teams, betting on this outcome appears to be a well-founded choice.
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Betting Tips: Toronto - Philadelphia Union
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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