Vitoria vs Chapecoense Prediction 7 October 2026
🔊 The match between Vitória and Chapecoense is defined by a contrast in current form and league position. The hosts sit in the lower reaches of the table with plenty to play for, while the visitors are bottom, a long way adrift of safety. That said, recent matches from both sides point to a tendency for goals - particularly from the visitors, who have shown a run of scoring and regular exchanges of goals. Chapecoense remain under pressure following a difficult season.
Vitória vs Chapecoense: Where to Find the Goals
📊 Vitória and Chapecoense have met 13 times in official matches. The hosts have won five, the visitors four, with four draws. Vitória have the edge in goals scored - 14 against Chapecoense's 12. The average total goals in the first half of these meetings is 0.85, and 1.15 in the second. On average, the two sides score two goals per head-to-head match.
Head-to-head statistics Vitoria - Chapecoense
What’s behind Vitoria’s inconsistency?
Vitória have had an inconsistent season: just one win alongside three defeats and a draw in their last five matches. Over their last ten games they have managed only three wins and six defeats - their attack has been average (one goal per game) while the defence has been leaking regularly (1.4 goals conceded per game over those ten matches). Their season averages of one goal scored against 1.5 conceded per match further underline the imbalance between the lines. Their league position demands more attacking intent - every dropped point risks pushing them further into the relegation zone.
Match Results: Vitoria
Chapecoense: goals at both ends a constant theme
Chapecoense are struggling across the board: just three wins from twenty-seven rounds, though their recent matches have been marked by goals at both ends. Over their last five games they have won twice, lost twice and drawn once; across a longer run of ten matches the record stands at two wins and four defeats, but their attack has contributed at least one goal in almost every game during that period, averaging 1.2 goals scored. Defensively they remain the weakest area, conceding close to two goals per game across the season.
Match Results: Chapecoense
Total Goals Prediction
In six of the last seven head-to-head meetings between Vitória and Chapecoense, Total Goals - Under 2.5 has landed. Both sides have shown fairly modest scoring output this season: Vitória average 1 goal per match, while Chapecoense average 1.07. A further consideration is Vitória's average of 0.86 goals conceded at home and Chapecoense's 1.71 conceded away, which also points away from a high-scoring outcome. Taking the trend and the statistics together, Total Goals - Under 2.5 at 1.94* looks the option to consider.
Corners Prediction
Chapecoense have taken more than 3.5 corners in eight of their last nine head-to-head meetings against Vitória. This consistent trend holds across a sizeable sample and has no obvious contradictions in the statistics. Chapecoense Team Total Corners - Over 3.5 is priced at 1.70*.
Reliable Bet
Vitória have scored at least one goal in 11 of their last 12 head-to-head meetings with Chapecoense, which underlines the consistency of this pattern. On top of that, they average 1.29 goals per home match this season, which further increases the likelihood of this bet landing. The price on Vitória Team Total - Over 0.5 is 1.12*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely outcomes are 1:0 (12.49%), 1:1 (11.33%) and 2:1 (10.19%). These figures reflect the probability distribution based on the teams' statistics and the trends in their meetings. A narrow Vitória win is the most probable outcome, though the difference between all three options is small, which suggests a potentially tight contest.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The bet is directly driven by a clear trend: Vitória have taken fewer than 6.5 corners in nine consecutive head-to-head meetings between these two sides. Both teams have been inconsistent towards the end of the season, and the visitors have nothing to lose so will push forward. The hosts play in a tight, controlled manner and the game tends to be played through the middle with possession. Our prediction: Vitória Team Total Corners - Under 6.5.
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Betting Tips: Vitoria - Chapecoense
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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