Freiburg vs Leverkusen Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 In Matchday 25, Freiburg are set to host Bayer Leverkusen, and the visitors are in greater need of a win this weekend. The hosts are comfortably positioned in the top half of the table, but Julian Schuster's side is unlikely to close the gap to the European competition spots. Leverkusen, on the other hand, are vying for a Champions League place and have a solid chance to climb from sixth position by the end of the weekend. However, Kasper Hjulmand's team have shown inconsistent form in recent matches, while Freiburg have remained unbeaten at home since September 2025. What can we expect in this clash at the Europa-Park Stadion?

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The last time these teams clashed was in Leverkusen during the eighth round of the current championship, where Bayer secured a 2-0 victory. The "Pharmacists" have not lost to Freiburg in their last six encounters and have suffered just one defeat at the Europa-Park Stadion in their past seven matches.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    18%
    7 Wins
    26%
    10 Draws
    55%
    21 Wins
    Total games
    38
    Total Goals Avg
    3.05
    Both teams scored
    61%
    1.05
    Total average
    2
    1.74
    Yellow cards
    1.26
    Last matches
    07.03.26
    Bundesliga
    Freiburg
    Freiburg
    Bayer Leverkusen
    Bayer Leverkusen
    3
    1.81
    5
    2
    7
    8
    3
    3
    3
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    3
    1.81
    5
    2
    7
    8
    3
    3
    26.10.25
    Bundesliga
    Bayer Leverkusen
    Bayer Leverkusen
    Freiburg
    Freiburg
    1
    1.82
    0.7
    2
    3
    9
    8
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.82
    0.7
    2
    3
    9
    8
    1
    0
    04.05.25
    Bundesliga
    Freiburg
    Freiburg
    Bayer Leverkusen
    Bayer Leverkusen
    0.9
    0.23
    4
    1
    10
    16
    1
    2
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0.9
    0.23
    4
    1
    10
    16
    1
    2
    21.12.24
    Bundesliga
    Bayer Leverkusen
    Bayer Leverkusen
    Freiburg
    Freiburg
    3.26
    1.34
    4
    2
    10
    7
    1
    2
    5
    1
    1
    0
    4
    1
    3.26
    1.34
    4
    2
    10
    7
    1
    2
    17.03.24
    Bundesliga
    Freiburg
    Freiburg
    Bayer Leverkusen
    Bayer Leverkusen
    -
    -
    2
    8
    12
    6
    1
    0
    2
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    -
    -
    2
    8
    12
    6
    1
    0
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    Freiburg Team Overview

    🔴 In their last outing, Freiburg suffered a setback against Eintracht (0-2) in Frankfurt, a key match for a top-six position, dropping them to eighth place and six points adrift of the European competition spots. Julian Schuster's side has developed a pattern of alternating wins and losses. At the end of January, the "Brazilians of Breisgau" defeated Cologne (2-1) at home, only to fall to Stuttgart (0-1) afterward. A narrow victory over Werder (1-0) was followed by a defeat to Hoffenheim (0-3). The disappointment in Frankfurt came right after their triumph over Gladbach (2-1).

    ⚪ However, Schuster's squad shows remarkable resilience at home. Their last defeat in any competition at the Europa-Park Stadion was back in August, falling to Augsburg (1-3) in the season opener. Since then, Freiburg have gone unbeaten in 15 consecutive home matches-a streak they haven't achieved in 13 years.

    Match Results: Freiburg

    Last matches
    20.05.26
    Europa League
    Freiburg
    Freiburg
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    0.23
    1.91
    1
    8
    15
    15
    1
    3
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0.23
    1.91
    1
    8
    15
    15
    1
    3
    L
    16.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Freiburg
    Freiburg
    Leipzig
    Leipzig
    1.49
    1.55
    1
    2
    13
    7
    0
    1
    4
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    1.49
    1.55
    1
    2
    13
    7
    0
    1
    W
    10.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Hamburger
    Hamburger
    Freiburg
    Freiburg
    1.78
    0.58
    2
    4
    15
    8
    2
    2
    3
    2
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1.78
    0.58
    2
    4
    15
    8
    2
    2
    L
    07.05.26
    Europa League
    Freiburg
    Freiburg
    Braga
    Braga
    1
    2.1
    1.46
    4
    8
    16
    10
    0
    4
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    2.1
    1.46
    4
    8
    16
    10
    0
    4
    W
    03.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Freiburg
    Freiburg
    Wolfsburg
    Wolfsburg
    0.98
    0.98
    1
    7
    5
    11
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0.98
    0.98
    1
    7
    5
    11
    1
    1
    D
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    Bayer Leverkusen Team Overview

    🔴 Jarrell Quansah's late goal against Mainz (1-1) in the 24th round salvaged a draw for Leverkusen, but they still missed the chance to close in on the top four. Nevertheless, Bayer head into their clash with Freiburg in high spirits after securing a hard-fought three points against Hamburg (1-0) on Wednesday evening. Christian Kofane's winning goal, set up by Ibrahim Maza, proved decisive in this rescheduled match from the 17th round.

    ⚫ The "Pharmacists" remain sixth in the table, just three points shy of third place. Bayer haven't lost an away game to Freiburg since 2023, with one win and two draws, but the upcoming match promises to be challenging. Kasper Hjulmand's side faces a tight schedule, playing their ninth game this month. In their last three Bundesliga away matches, the "Pharmacists" have recorded one win, one draw, and one loss. Furthermore, Bayer have not scored more than one goal per game in their last four matches across all competitions.

    Match Results: Bayer Leverkusen

    Last matches
    16.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Bayer Leverkusen
    Bayer Leverkusen
    Hamburger
    Hamburger
    3.14
    2.63
    8
    3
    8
    11
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    3.14
    2.63
    8
    3
    8
    11
    1
    2
    D
    09.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Stuttgart
    Stuttgart
    Bayer Leverkusen
    Bayer Leverkusen
    3.11
    0.58
    7
    6
    13
    8
    2
    1
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    3.11
    0.58
    7
    6
    13
    8
    2
    1
    L
    02.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Bayer Leverkusen
    Bayer Leverkusen
    Leipzig
    Leipzig
    3.4
    1.08
    7
    3
    7
    12
    1
    3
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    3.4
    1.08
    7
    3
    7
    12
    1
    3
    W
    25.04.26
    Bundesliga
    Cologne
    Cologne
    Bayer Leverkusen
    Bayer Leverkusen
    2.67
    1.68
    2
    5
    11
    5
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    2.67
    1.68
    2
    5
    11
    5
    1
    2
    W
    22.04.26
    DFB Pokal
    Bayer Leverkusen
    Bayer Leverkusen
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    0.36
    2.55
    4
    6
    11
    18
    2
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0.36
    2.55
    4
    6
    11
    18
    2
    1
    L
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    Latest news

    Freiburg

    🎙️ Julian Schuster after the defeat in Frankfurt: "We gave the opponent too many chances. We wanted to present a different image on the road than last time, and overall, we managed that. We tried to prevent Frankfurt from creating pressing situations. It's all the more frustrating that it was after losing possession that they scored to make it 0-1. We reacted too slowly after losing the ball, and Frankfurt capitalized on that. When they take the lead at home, it boosts their confidence. I'd like to see that kind of confidence in us as well. Before the second goal, we poorly defended the space behind our backline. Mistakes like these get punished, and we were punished. It's disappointing to lose such a match, but this performance can help us in the coming weeks."

    ❌ Philipp Lienhart is increasingly involved in training but won't be ready to play by the weekend. Daniel-Kofi Kyereh is already fully training with the team. Max Rosenfelder and Lukas Kübler remain sidelined.

    Bayer Leverkusen

    🎙️ Kasper Hjulmand after the victory in Hamburg: "We played well against a very active team. I liked what I saw today. From the start, we pressed actively, won many aerial duels, but it took us a while to score. In the second half, the situation changed, and overall, I'm pleased. These three points are very important for us."

    ❌ Loïc Badé, Eliesse Ben Seghir, Mark Flekken, Lucas Vázquez, and Nathan Tella are still recovering from injuries. Patrik Schick and Arthur missed the match in Hamburg, and their participation in the upcoming game remains uncertain.

    🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

    The match will be officiated by Benjamin Brand, who averages around 3.6 yellow cards per game over his last 10 matches. Freiburg are one of the league's most disciplined sides, with just 35 bookings in 24 rounds (an average of 1.4 per match). Bayer's players have accumulated 48 yellow cards, averaging two per game. We are opting for a bet on under 3.5 yellow cards, a scenario that has occurred in the last six head-to-head encounters between these teams.

    ⚽ Goals Prediction

    Freiburg remain unbeaten at home, but their victories don't come easily. Their last win by more than one goal was a 2-0 triumph over Darmstadt in the DFB-Pokal Round of 16. Since then, they've played seven matches, securing six wins and one draw, with all victories by the narrowest of margins. Hence, a bet on under 3.5 goals is worth considering, as this outcome has occurred in eight consecutive home games for the "Brazilians of Breisgau."

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    The average corner stats for the opponents are quite close: 4.5 for the hosts and 5.2 for the visitors. It's hard to predict who will dominate in this aspect, so relying on statistics seems wise. The individual total of Freiburg over 3.5 corners has been successful in their last five matches. Given the home crowd support and territorial pressure, this bet has a strong chance of coming through.

    Editor's Prediction

    Freiburg trail sixth place by ten points, making their chances of securing a European spot through the league rather slim. It's quite possible that Julian Schuster's side will focus on the DFB-Pokal or the Europa League, where the "Brazilians of Breisgau" might have a more realistic shot at earning a European berth for next season.

    This match holds significant importance for Bayer Leverkusen. They are likely to maintain their position in the European qualification zone due to a comfortable gap from their chasers, but the Leverkusen side are aiming for a Champions League spot, trailing the top four by just three points. However, their schedule is packed, and recent results indicate the team is under considerable strain, not to mention their injury list remains extensive.

    Considering Freiburg's strength at home, it's reasonable to predict that both teams will score (yes), as has been the case in 10 of their last 11 Bundesliga head-to-heads. The match could likely end in a low-scoring draw - 1:1.

    Our choice
    Both Teams To Score (Yes) at odds of -152*
    MyBookie
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (5 March 2026, 13:03)

    Betting Tips: Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen

    Freiburg have won
    sc-freiburg-1in 10 of last 11 home games.
    sc-freiburg-1in 6 of last 7 home games (Bundesliga).
    Freiburg Win
    Bovada
    +210
    Freiburg have not lost
    sc-freiburg-1in last 15 home games.
    sc-freiburg-1in last 10 home games (Bundesliga).
    Freiburg will not lose
    MyBookie
    -167
    Freiburg have not won
    sc-freiburg-1bayer-leverkusen-1in 7 of last 8 home games against Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga).
    sc-freiburg-1bayer-leverkusen-1in last 6 games against Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga).
    Bayer Leverkusen have not lost
    bayer-leverkusen-1in 10 of last 11 games.
    Bayer Leverkusen will not lose
    Everygame
    -270
    Freiburg have scored
    sc-freiburg-1bayer-leverkusen-1in 10 of last 11 games against Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga).
    sc-freiburg-1in last 22 home games.
    sc-freiburg-1in last 16 home games (Bundesliga).
    Bayer Leverkusen have conceded
    bayer-leverkusen-1in 14 of last 15 away games (Bundesliga).
    Freiburg will score goal
    Everygame
    -357
    View more facts

    Freiburg - Leverkusen Table position

    Bundesliga 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    4.
    Stuttgart
    Stuttgart
    34188871-4962
    5.
    Hoffenheim
    Hoffenheim
    34187965-5261
    6.
    Bayer Leverkusen
    Bayer Leverkusen
    34178968-4759
    7.
    Freiburg
    Freiburg
    341381351-5747
    8.
    Eintracht Frankfurt
    Eintracht Frankfurt
    3411111261-6544
    9.
    Augsburg
    Augsburg
    341271545-6143

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 17
    Conceded - 19
    -2
    +1
    19 - Scored
    18 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    4
    1
    Draws
    2
    5
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    17
    Scored
    19
    19
    Conceded
    18
    3.6
    Match goals average
    3.7
    1.7
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.9
    1.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.8
    8
    Both teams scored
    7
    55'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    47'
    View all stats