Excelsior vs Heerenveen Prediction 7 March 2026
🔊 The upcoming clash between Excelsior and Heerenveen promises to be an open affair. Both teams have shown inconsistent form but possess the potential to create dangerous chances in front of the opponent's goal. Statistics suggest a high likelihood of goals from both sides, making this matchup particularly intriguing for the neutral fan.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 04 October 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Heerenveen):
- ball possession percentage: 66% vs 34%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 3;
- fouls: 6 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Excelsior and Heerenveen:
- played 26 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 8, for the away team - 15, draws - 3;
- number of goals - 34 against 47;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.46, in the 2nd half - 1.65;
- average total goals in the match - 3.12.
Head-to-head statistics Excelsior - Heerenveen

Excelsior Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Excelsior, away team - Go Ahead Eagles). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.
Here's the game statistics (Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles):
- ball possession: 58% vs 42%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 3;
- fouls: 11 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 7 vs 1.
Excelsior are currently sitting in 15th place on the table, striving to keep themselves clear of the relegation zone. Over their last five matches, they've managed just one win, suffered three defeats, and drawn once. Their performance has been marked by low scoring, with an average of only 1.2 goals per game over their last ten matches. Defensively, they also struggle, conceding approximately 1.6 goals per match.
Match Results: Excelsior

Heerenveen Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Heerenveen, away - Sparta). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here are the match stats (Heerenveen vs Sparta):
- ball possession: 45% vs 55%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 6;
- fouls: 11 vs 5;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
Heerenveen are currently ninth in the league and have shown more consistent form compared to the home side. The team have won four of their last ten matches, drawing two and losing four. They have been more prolific in front of goal, averaging 1.7 goals per game, but they also face defensive challenges, conceding over two goals per match during this stretch of the season.
Match Results: Heerenveen
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 26;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 5; for visitors away - 3; number of draws - 5;
- Average first-half total: 1.46;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.69, while the visitors net 0.77.
First-Half Stats: Excelsior (home) vs Heerenveen (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 12;
- wins: 5 (38.46%) vs 2 (16.67%);
- losses: 2 (15.38%) vs 4 (33.33%);
- draws: 6 (46.15%) vs 6 (50%);
- Average goals scored: 0.92 vs 1.42;
- Average goals conceded: 0.38 vs 0.83.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 3 vs 3;
- losses: 3 vs 4;
- draws: 4 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 1.2 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.7) vs 1.5 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.9).
- Excelsior scored in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 home games against Heerenveen (Eredivisie).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 26;
- home team wins - 8, away team wins - 15, draws - 3.
Statistics: Excelsior vs Heerenveen
- matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
- wins: 7 vs 9;
- win percentage: 28% vs 36%;
- losses: 13 vs 9;
- draws: 5 vs 7.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 4;
- losses: 4 vs 4;
- draws: 4 vs 2.
- Excelsior have not won in 8 of last 9 games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.31, the guests - 1.81;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.12;
- both teams scored: overall - 12; at the home team's field - 7.
Statistics: Excelsior vs Heerenveen
- average total in the tournament: 2.72 vs 3.4;
- average total goals scored: 1.04 vs 1.68;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.56 vs 0.68;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.48 vs 1;
- Excelsior: average total at home in the tournament - 1;
- Heerenveen: average total away in the tournament - 1.5;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.4) vs 1.7 (away - 1.25).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 9 of last 10 Excelsior games against Heerenveen.
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 6 Excelsior games against Heerenveen (Eredivisie).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Excelsior games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on corners
Excelsior: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.2; at home field - 4.23;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; at home field - 4.6.
Heerenveen: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.48, away - 5.33;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.9; away - 2.
- Heerenveen have taken under 4.5 corners in last 5 away games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 26;
- both teams scored all-time - 12 times;
- on the home team’s field - 7 times.
Statistics: Excelsior vs Heerenveen
- number of matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 15 vs 18;
- number of BTTS matches for Excelsior at home - 7 (54%);
- number of BTTS matches for Heerenveen away - 7 (58%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for Excelsior at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Heerenveen away - 3 (75%).
- Heerenveen have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 2:2 (25/225, 11.1%);
- Excelsior at home most often finish matches: 1:2 (4/13, 30.8%);
- Heerenveen away most often play: 0:3 , 2:1 (2/12, 16.7%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.24% (odds 7)
1:2 - 8.9% (odds 8.5)
2:1 - 7.41% (odds 9.5)