Excelsior vs Heerenveen Prediction 7 March 2026

    🔊 The upcoming clash between Excelsior and Heerenveen promises to be an open affair. Both teams have shown inconsistent form but possess the potential to create dangerous chances in front of the opponent's goal. Statistics suggest a high likelihood of goals from both sides, making this matchup particularly intriguing for the neutral fan.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 04 October 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Heerenveen):

    • ball possession percentage: 66% vs 34%;
    • corner kicks: 7 vs 3;
    • fouls: 6 vs 17;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 2.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Excelsior and Heerenveen:

    • played 26 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 8, for the away team - 15, draws - 3;
    • number of goals - 34 against 47;
    • average total in the 1st half - 1.46, in the 2nd half - 1.65;
    • average total goals in the match - 3.12.

    Head-to-head statistics Excelsior - Heerenveen

    30%
    8 Wins
    11%
    3 Draws
    59%
    16 Wins
    Total games
    27
    Total Goals Avg
    3.11
    Both teams scored
    48%
    1.3
    Total average
    1.81
    0.93
    Yellow cards
    1.19
    Last matches
    07.03.26
    Eredivisie
    Excelsior
    Excelsior
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    2.7
    1.84
    6
    8
    4
    7
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    2.7
    1.84
    6
    8
    4
    7
    1
    1
    04.10.25
    Eredivisie
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    Excelsior
    Excelsior
    2.12
    0.82
    7
    3
    6
    17
    1
    3
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    2.12
    0.82
    7
    3
    6
    17
    1
    3
    19.01.24
    Eredivisie
    Excelsior
    Excelsior
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    -
    -
    6
    5
    11
    7
    2
    1
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    6
    5
    11
    7
    2
    1
    23.09.23
    Eredivisie
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    Excelsior
    Excelsior
    -
    -
    3
    2
    10
    11
    4
    2
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    2
    10
    11
    4
    2
    13.05.23
    Eredivisie
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    Excelsior
    Excelsior
    -
    -
    5
    6
    10
    12
    3
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    6
    10
    12
    3
    2
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Excelsior Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Excelsior, away team - Go Ahead Eagles). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.

    Here's the game statistics (Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles):

    • ball possession: 58% vs 42%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 3;
    • fouls: 11 vs 6;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 7 vs 1.

    Excelsior are currently sitting in 15th place on the table, striving to keep themselves clear of the relegation zone. Over their last five matches, they've managed just one win, suffered three defeats, and drawn once. Their performance has been marked by low scoring, with an average of only 1.2 goals per game over their last ten matches. Defensively, they also struggle, conceding approximately 1.6 goals per match.

    Match Results: Excelsior

    Last matches
    15.08.26
    eredivisie
    Excelsior
    Excelsior
    PSV
    PSV
    0.21
    0.16
    1
    7
    9
    3
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0.21
    0.16
    1
    7
    9
    3
    1
    0
    L
    07.08.26
    eredivisie
    Cambuur Leeuwarden
    Cambuur Leeuwarden
    Excelsior
    Excelsior
    0.84
    2.56
    5
    8
    6
    11
    0
    0
    0
    4
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0.84
    2.56
    5
    8
    6
    11
    0
    0
    W
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    De Graafschap
    De Graafschap
    Excelsior
    Excelsior
    -
    -
    5
    6
    10
    4
    0
    0
    1
    5
    0
    3
    1
    2
    -
    -
    5
    6
    10
    4
    0
    0
    W
    24.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Heracles Almelo
    Heracles Almelo
    Excelsior
    Excelsior
    3
    5
    1
    4
    2
    1
    W
    18.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    NAC Breda
    NAC Breda
    Excelsior
    Excelsior
    -
    -
    2
    6
    -
    -
    0
    0
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    -
    -
    2
    6
    -
    -
    0
    0
    W
    Empty
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    Heerenveen Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Heerenveen, away - Sparta). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.

    Here are the match stats (Heerenveen vs Sparta):

    • ball possession: 45% vs 55%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 6;
    • fouls: 11 vs 5;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 3.

    Heerenveen are currently ninth in the league and have shown more consistent form compared to the home side. The team have won four of their last ten matches, drawing two and losing four. They have been more prolific in front of goal, averaging 1.7 goals per game, but they also face defensive challenges, conceding over two goals per match during this stretch of the season.

    Match Results: Heerenveen

    Last matches
    22.08.26
    eredivisie
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    PEC Zwolle
    PEC Zwolle
    1.06
    1.62
    5
    3
    6
    13
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    1.06
    1.62
    5
    3
    6
    13
    1
    2
    L
    16.08.26
    eredivisie
    Ajax Amsterdam
    Ajax Amsterdam
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    2.11
    1.45
    7
    2
    8
    10
    3
    1
    2
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2.11
    1.45
    7
    2
    8
    10
    3
    1
    D
    09.08.26
    eredivisie
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    Twente
    Twente
    0.58
    2.05
    4
    8
    7
    7
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.58
    2.05
    4
    8
    7
    7
    2
    1
    W
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    Volos Nps
    Volos Nps
    -
    -
    3
    9
    -
    -
    1
    1
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    3
    9
    -
    -
    1
    1
    W
    25.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    Oud Heverlee
    Oud Heverlee
    4
    4
    2
    2
    2
    2
    D
    Empty
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 26;
    • First-half wins at home for hosts - 5; for visitors away - 3; number of draws - 5;
    • Average first-half total: 1.46;
    • Today's home team scores on average 0.69, while the visitors net 0.77.

    First-Half Stats: Excelsior (home) vs Heerenveen (away)

    • matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 12;
    • wins: 5 (38.46%) vs 2 (16.67%);
    • losses: 2 (15.38%) vs 4 (33.33%);
    • draws: 6 (46.15%) vs 6 (50%);
    • Average goals scored: 0.92 vs 1.42;
    • Average goals conceded: 0.38 vs 0.83.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • wins: 3 vs 3;
    • losses: 3 vs 4;
    • draws: 4 vs 3;
    • Average first-half total: 1.2 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.7) vs 1.5 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.9).
    Trends
    • Excelsior scored in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 home games against Heerenveen (Eredivisie).
    👉Prediction: 1st half, Excelsior to score goal(odds: 1.93)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 26;
    • home team wins - 8, away team wins - 15, draws - 3.

    Statistics: Excelsior vs Heerenveen

    • matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
    • wins: 7 vs 9;
    • win percentage: 28% vs 36%;
    • losses: 13 vs 9;
    • draws: 5 vs 7.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 2 vs 4;
    • losses: 4 vs 4;
    • draws: 4 vs 2.
    Trends
    • Excelsior have not won in 8 of last 9 games (Eredivisie).
    👉Prediction: Heerenveen will not lose(odds: 1.43)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.31, the guests - 1.81;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.12;
    • both teams scored: overall - 12; at the home team's field - 7.

    Statistics: Excelsior vs Heerenveen

    • average total in the tournament: 2.72 vs 3.4;
    • average total goals scored: 1.04 vs 1.68;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.56 vs 0.68;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.48 vs 1;
    • Excelsior: average total at home in the tournament -  1;
    • Heerenveen: average total away in the tournament - 1.5;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.4) vs 1.7 (away - 1.25).
    Trends
    • Under 3.5 goals scored in 9 of last 10 Excelsior games against Heerenveen.
    • Under 3.5 goals scored in last 6 Excelsior games against Heerenveen (Eredivisie).
    • Under 3.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Excelsior games (Eredivisie).
    👉Prediction: Total goals Under (3,5)(odds: 1.44)

    Prediction on corners

    Excelsior: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.2; at home field - 4.23;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; at home field - 4.6.

    Heerenveen: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.48, away - 5.33;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.9; away - 2.
    Trends
    • Heerenveen have taken under 4.5 corners in last 5 away games.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Heerenveen Total Under (4,5)(odds: 1.95)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 26;
    • both teams scored all-time - 12 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 7 times.

    Statistics: Excelsior vs Heerenveen

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 15 vs 18;
    • number of BTTS matches for Excelsior at home - 7 (54%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Heerenveen away - 7 (58%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 8;
    • BTTS matches for Excelsior at home - 4 (80%);
    • BTTS matches for Heerenveen away - 3 (75%).
    Trends
    • Heerenveen have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.52)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 2:2 (25/225, 11.1%);
    • Excelsior at home most often finish matches: 1:2 (4/13, 30.8%);
    • Heerenveen away most often play: 0:3 , 2:1 (2/12, 16.7%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 11.24% (odds 7)
    1:2 - 8.9% (odds 8.5)
    2:1 - 7.41% (odds 9.5)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:1)(odds: 7)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Considering the current form of the teams and their head-to-head statistics, betting on both teams to score (yes) appears to be the most reasonable choice for this match. Heerenveen consistently engage in high-scoring away games, while Excelsior will aim to leverage home support to break their losing streak.

    Both Teams To Score (Yes)
    Published: 06/03/2026, 18:09

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    Betting Tips: Excelsior - Heerenveen

    Excelsior have not won:
    sbv-excelsior-1in 8 of last 9 games (Eredivisie).
    Heerenveen will not lose
    Everygame
    -256
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    sbv-excelsior-1sc-heerenveen-2in 9 of last 10 Excelsior games against Heerenveen.
    sbv-excelsior-1sc-heerenveen-2in last 6 Excelsior games against Heerenveen (Eredivisie).
    sbv-excelsior-1in 6 of last 7 Excelsior games (Eredivisie).
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Everygame
    -222
    Heerenveen have scored under 2.5 goals:
    sbv-excelsior-1sc-heerenveen-2in 7 of last 8 away games against Excelsior.
    Heerenveen Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    -455
    Excelsior have conceded:
    sbv-excelsior-1in last 6 home games (Eredivisie).
    Heerenveen have scored:
    sc-heerenveen-2in 7 of last 8 away games.
    Heerenveen will score goal
    Everygame
    -500
    View more facts

    Excelsior - Heerenveen Table position

    Eredivisie 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    7.
    AZ Alkmaar
    AZ Alkmaar
    3414101058-5152
    8.
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    341491157-5351
    9.
    Groningen
    Groningen
    341461449-4548
    12.
    Go Ahead Eagles
    Go Ahead Eagles
    348141254-5338
    13.
    Excelsior
    Excelsior
    341081643-5638
    14.
    Telstar
    Telstar
    349101549-5537

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 21
    Conceded - 14
    +7
    -1
    13 - Scored
    14 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    4
    3
    Draws
    2
    3
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    21
    Scored
    13
    14
    Conceded
    14
    3.5
    Match goals average
    2.7
    2.1
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.3
    1.4
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.4
    7
    Both teams scored
    4
    43'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    69'
    View all stats