Heerenveen vs Excelsior Prediction 4 October 2025
In the upcoming match, Heerenveen will host Excelsior, with both teams desperate for points. Heerenveen have been inconsistent, suffering three defeats and securing just one win in their last five matches. They are eager to climb out of the relegation zone, adding extra motivation to this clash. Meanwhile, Excelsior also find themselves in a precarious position, but their recent form shows signs of improvement with two wins in their last five outings. Notably, recent encounters between these teams have often been high-scoring affairs, with both sides frequently finding the net and conceding.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 19 January 2024 and ended with a 3-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown from that encounter (Excelsior were the home side):
- possession percentage: 40% vs 60%;
- corners: 6 vs 5;
- fouls: 11 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 8 vs 2.
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Heerenveen and Excelsior:
- 25 matches played;
- home team victories - 14, away team wins - 8, draws - 3;
- total goals - 45 to 33;
- average goals in the first half - 1.48, second half - 1.64;
- average total goals per match - 3.12.
Head-to-head statistics Heerenveen - Excelsior
Heerenveen Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Eredivisie, with Utrecht hosting Heerenveen. The game ended in a 2-2 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Heerenveen vs Utrecht):
- possession: 48% vs 52%;
- corners: 3 vs 5;
- fouls: 12 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 5.
Heerenveen currently sit 16th in the Eredivisie standings, teetering on the edge of the relegation zone. Their recent form has been challenging, with just one win, three draws, and two losses in their last seven matches. They average 1.43 goals per game, but their defense remains a weak spot, conceding around 1.71 goals per match. Despite these struggles, Heerenveen have a chance to climb the table thanks to their attacking style and the backing of their home crowd.
Match Results: Heerenveen
Excelsior Team Overview
The visitors' last official match took place on in the Eredivisie, with Excelsior hosting PSV. The match concluded with a 1-2 scoreline.
Here are the game statistics (Excelsior vs PSV):
- possession percentage: 36% vs 64%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 2;
- fouls: 8 vs 5;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
- shots on target: 4 vs 8.
Excelsior sit second to last in the standings, yet they show slightly better form than the home side. With two wins in their last five matches, there's potential for the team to turn their situation around. However, their defense remains a concern, conceding more than two goals per game on average. Their last encounter with Heerenveen was a year ago, resulting in a 0-3 away defeat. However, their current form suggests a chance for redemption, thanks to a more aggressive attack.
Match Results: Excelsior
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 25;
- Home wins - 14, Away wins - 8, Draws - 3.
Statistics: Heerenveen vs Excelsior
- Matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 7;
- Wins: 1 vs 2;
- Win percentage: 14% vs 29%;
- Losses: 3 vs 5;
- Draws: 3 vs 0.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 2 vs 4;
- Losses: 5 vs 6;
- Draws: 3 vs 0.
- Excelsior have covered a +1.5 handicap away in their last 6 head-to-head Eredivisie meetings.
- Excelsior have covered a +1.5 handicap in 19 of their last 21 matches.
- Excelsior have covered a +1.5 handicap away in 17 of their last 19 matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- The current home team averages - 1.8 goals, the visitors - 1.32;
- Average total goals in head-to-head - 3.12;
- Both teams scored: overall - 11 times; at the home team's ground - 4 times.
Statistics: Heerenveen vs Excelsior
- Average total in the tournament: 3.14 vs 3;
- Average goals scored: 1.43 vs 0.86;
- Average in the first half: 0.71 vs 0.43;
- Average in the second half: 0.71 vs 0.43;
- Heerenveen: average home total in the tournament - 1.75;
- Excelsior: average away total in the tournament - 1;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.8) vs 1.4 (away - 1).
- Total under 3.5 goals has hit in 8 of the last 9 head-to-head matches between these teams.
- Total under 3.5 goals has hit in the last 7 head-to-head matches at the home team's ground (Eredivisie).
- Total under 3.5 goals has hit in the last 5 head-to-head matches (Eredivisie).
Corners Prediction
Heerenveen: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 5.57; at home - 6.25;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.7; at home - 5.4.
Excelsior: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 3.71, away - 3.33;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.6; away - 3.5.
- Excelsior have taken more than 3.5 corners away in 17 of their last 19 matches.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 2.32 (1.16 for the home team and 1.16 for the visitors);
- Average total yellow cards at the home team's ground - 2.25 (1.25 for the home team and 1 for the visitors).
Heerenveen: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 1.86; at home - 2;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 1.6; at home - 1.8.
Excelsior: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 1.14, away - 1;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 1.1; away - 1.25.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 25;
- Both teams scored overall - 11 times;
- At the home team's ground - 4 times.
Statistics: Heerenveen vs Excelsior
- Matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 7;
- Both teams scored in season matches (BTTS): Heerenveen - 6, Excelsior - 4;
- BTTS for Heerenveen at home - 4 (100%);
- BTTS for Excelsior away - 2 (67%).
Last 10 Matches:
- BTTS matches: Heerenveen - 7, Excelsior - 5;
- BTTS for Heerenveen at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS for Excelsior away - 3 (75%).
- Heerenveen have both scored and conceded in 7 of their last 8 matches (Eredivisie).
- Excelsior have both scored and conceded away in 9 of their last 10 matches.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both teams are in dire need of securing crucial points to stay afloat in the top tier of Dutch football. Excelsior have struggled on the road, whereas Heerenveen have claimed most of their points at home. This clash is pivotal for both sides, but the home advantage is expected to be decisive. Our bet is on a home victory.
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Betting Tips: Heerenveen - Excelsior
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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