Erzgebirge Aue vs Ingolstadt Prediction 7 December 2025
📣How will an early goal change the strategy of both teams? If it happens, we will see an interesting development in the confrontation between the teams Erzgebirge Aue and Ingolstadt. Recall that the meeting is scheduled for 18:30 7 December. The tournament match will take place at the Erzgebirgsstadion stadium in the city of Aue. Note the odds - bookmakers offer to bet on the victory of the side for and , respectively.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 04 May 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Erzgebirge Aue):
- ball possession percentage: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 7;
- fouls: 0 vs 0;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 1 vs 0.
📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Erzgebirge Aue and Ingolstadt:
- played 26 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 8, for the away team - 10, draws - 8;
- number of goals - 29 against 40;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.85, in the 2nd half - 1.81;
- average total goals in the match - 2.65.
Head-to-head statistics Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt

Erzgebirge Aue Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on 28 November 2025 as part of the 3rd Liga tournament (home team - Wehen Wiesbaden, away team - Erzgebirge Aue). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:1.
Here's the game statistics (Erzgebirge Aue vs Wehen Wiesbaden):
- ball possession: 44% vs 56%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 9;
- fouls: 9 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 7.
- 4 wins,
- 7 losses,
- 5 draws.
📈Currently, Erzgebirge Aue stands at a mid-tier position within the 3rd Liga standings, with a win percentage of 25% and a loss percentage of 44%.
⚽️Erzgebirge Aue has scored a total of 17 goals. On the defensive end, Erzgebirge Aue has allowed 26 goals over the season.
Match Results: Erzgebirge Aue

Ingolstadt Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on 29 November 2025 as part of the 3rd Liga tournament (home team - Ingolstadt, away - Hoffenheim 2). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:2.
Here are the match stats (Ingolstadt vs Hoffenheim 2):
- ball possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 10 vs 4;
- fouls: 10 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- shots on target: 9 vs 8.
- 5 wins,
- 6 losses,
- 5 draws.
📈Currently, Ingolstadt stands at a mid-tier position within the 3rd Liga standings, with a win percentage of 31% and a loss percentage of 38%.
⚽Ingolstadt has scored a total of 27 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 24 goals over the season.
Match Results: Ingolstadt
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 26;
- home team wins - 8, away team wins - 10, draws - 8.
Statistics: Erzgebirge Aue vs Ingolstadt
- matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
- wins: 4 vs 5;
- win percentage: 25% vs 31%;
- losses: 7 vs 6;
- draws: 5 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 4;
- losses: 2 vs 4;
- draws: 4 vs 2.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.12, the guests - 1.54;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.65;
- both teams scored: overall - 13; at the home team's field - 3.
Statistics: Erzgebirge Aue vs Ingolstadt
- average total in the tournament: 2.69 vs 3.19;
- average total goals scored: 1.06 vs 1.69;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.44 vs 0.56;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.63 vs 1.13;
- Erzgebirge Aue: average total at home in the tournament - 1.25;
- Ingolstadt: average total away in the tournament - 1.63;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.6) vs 1.5 (away - 1).
- Erzgebirge Aue have scored under 1.5 goals in last 13 home games against Ingolstadt.
- Erzgebirge Aue have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 games against Ingolstadt (3rd Liga).
- Erzgebirge Aue have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 games.
Prediction on corners
Erzgebirge Aue: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.63; at home field - 5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5; at home field - 5.
Ingolstadt: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.81, away - 4.38;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.2; away - 4.6.
- Erzgebirge Aue have taken under 5.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games against Ingolstadt.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 26;
- both teams scored all-time - 13 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Statistics: Erzgebirge Aue vs Ingolstadt
- number of matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 13;
- number of BTTS matches for Erzgebirge Aue at home - 3 (38%);
- number of BTTS matches for Ingolstadt away - 6 (75%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Erzgebirge Aue at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Ingolstadt away - 3 (60%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 2:1 (20/160, 12.5%);
- Erzgebirge Aue at home most often finish matches: 0:0 (2/8, 25%);
- Ingolstadt away most often play: 2:1 (2/8, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 10.8% (odds 7)
1:2 - 8.23% (odds 9)
2:1 - 7.99% (odds 9)
- Erzgebirge Aue won 1:0 in 3 of last 4 home games against Ingolstadt (3rd Liga).
Editorial Prediction
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 13 Erzgebirge Aue home games against Ingolstadt.
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 9 of last 10 Erzgebirge Aue games against Ingolstadt.
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 6 Erzgebirge Aue games against Ingolstadt (3rd Liga).
