Ingolstadt vs Erzgebirge Aue Prediction 3 May 2026

    🔊How will the weather conditions and the state of the field affect the game? Today, the teams Ingolstadt and Erzgebirge Aue are meeting. The match is scheduled to start at 17:30. The tournament match 3rd Liga will take place in the city of Ingolstadt at the Audi Sportpark stadium. The odds for the teams' victories have been determined by bookmakers at and , respectively, with the team Ingolstadt being the favorite of the match.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 07 December 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Erzgebirge Aue):

    • ball possession percentage: 58% vs 42%;
    • corner kicks: 8 vs 7;
    • fouls: 15 vs 8;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 5.

    📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Ingolstadt and Erzgebirge Aue:

    • played 27 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 10, for the away team - 8, draws - 9;
    • number of goals - 42 against 31;
    • average total in the 1st half - 0.85, in the 2nd half - 1.85;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.7.

    Head-to-head statistics Ingolstadt - Erzgebirge Aue

    36%
    10 Wins
    32%
    9 Draws
    32%
    9 Wins
    Total games
    28
    Total Goals Avg
    2.89
    Both teams scored
    54%
    1.61
    Total average
    1.29
    1.86
    Yellow cards
    2.07
    Last matches
    03.05.26
    Germany 3rd liga
    Ingolstadt
    Ingolstadt
    Erzgebirge Aue
    Erzgebirge Aue
    -
    -
    2
    2
    11
    13
    2
    2
    3
    5
    3
    1
    0
    4
    -
    -
    2
    2
    11
    13
    2
    2
    07.12.25
    Germany 3rd liga
    Erzgebirge Aue
    Erzgebirge Aue
    Ingolstadt
    Ingolstadt
    1
    -
    -
    8
    7
    15
    8
    2
    1
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1
    -
    -
    8
    7
    15
    8
    2
    1
    04.05.25
    Germany 3rd liga
    Erzgebirge Aue
    Erzgebirge Aue
    Ingolstadt
    Ingolstadt
    -
    -
    4
    7
    0
    0
    3
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    7
    0
    0
    3
    3
    07.12.24
    Germany 3rd liga
    Ingolstadt
    Ingolstadt
    Erzgebirge Aue
    Erzgebirge Aue
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    1
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    1
    3
    19.12.23
    Germany 3rd liga
    Ingolstadt
    Ingolstadt
    Erzgebirge Aue
    Erzgebirge Aue
    -
    -
    2
    8
    12
    13
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    2
    8
    12
    13
    2
    1
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Ingolstadt Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on 25 April 2026 as part of the 3rd Liga tournament (home team - Hoffenheim 2, away team - Ingolstadt). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:3.

    Here's the game statistics (Ingolstadt vs Hoffenheim 2):

    • ball possession: 54% vs 46%;
    • corner kicks: 9 vs 7;
    • fouls: 12 vs 11;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 8 vs 4.
    🏆Throughout the 3rd Liga season, the team Ingolstadt has engaged in 35 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 11 wins,
    • 14 losses,
    • 10 draws.

    📈Currently, Ingolstadt stands at a mid-tier position within the 3rd Liga standings, with a win percentage of 31% and a loss percentage of 40%.

    ⚽️Ingolstadt has scored a total of 55 goals. On the defensive end, Ingolstadt has allowed 49 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Ingolstadt

    Last matches
    19.09.26
    Germany 3rd liga
    Viktoria Köln
    Viktoria Köln
    Ingolstadt
    Ingolstadt
    -
    -
    7
    5
    8
    5
    1
    4
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    -
    -
    7
    5
    8
    5
    1
    4
    L
    16.09.26
    Germany 3rd liga
    Ingolstadt
    Ingolstadt
    Hoffenheim 2
    Hoffenheim 2
    -
    -
    4
    9
    8
    15
    0
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    4
    9
    8
    15
    0
    2
    L
    12.09.26
    Germany 3rd liga
    Saarbrucken
    Saarbrucken
    Ingolstadt
    Ingolstadt
    -
    -
    7
    2
    8
    9
    1
    4
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    7
    2
    8
    9
    1
    4
    W
    04.09.26
    Germany 3rd liga
    Ingolstadt
    Ingolstadt
    1
    Alemannia Aachen
    Alemannia Aachen
    -
    -
    1
    7
    11
    15
    1
    2
    0
    3
    0
    3
    0
    0
    -
    -
    1
    7
    11
    15
    1
    2
    L
    29.08.26
    Germany 3rd liga
    Sonnenhof Grossaspach
    Sonnenhof Grossaspach
    Ingolstadt
    Ingolstadt
    1
    -
    -
    14
    2
    8
    14
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    14
    2
    8
    14
    0
    1
    W
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    Erzgebirge Aue Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on 25 April 2026 as part of the 3rd Liga tournament (home team - Erzgebirge Aue, away - Wehen Wiesbaden). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:2.

    Here are the match stats (Erzgebirge Aue vs Wehen Wiesbaden):

    • ball possession: 48% vs 52%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 14;
    • fouls: 8 vs 15;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 7 vs 7.
    🏆Throughout the 3rd Liga season, the team Erzgebirge Aue has engaged in 35 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 5 wins,
    • 18 losses,
    • 12 draws.

    📈Currently, Erzgebirge Aue stands at a mid-tier position within the 3rd Liga standings, with a win percentage of 14% and a loss percentage of 51%.

    ⚽Erzgebirge Aue has scored a total of 42 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 65 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Erzgebirge Aue

    Last matches
    27.09.26
    Regionalliga
    Erzgebirge Aue
    Erzgebirge Aue
    BSG Chemie Leipzig
    BSG Chemie Leipzig
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    L
    19.09.26
    Regionalliga
    Rot-Weiss Erfurt
    Rot-Weiss Erfurt
    Erzgebirge Aue
    Erzgebirge Aue
    -
    -
    10
    3
    -
    -
    4
    1
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    10
    3
    -
    -
    4
    1
    D
    16.09.26
    Regionalliga
    Magdeburg II
    Magdeburg II
    Erzgebirge Aue
    Erzgebirge Aue
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    W
    12.09.26
    Regionalliga
    Erzgebirge Aue
    Erzgebirge Aue
    FSV Luckenwalde
    FSV Luckenwalde
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    W
    30.08.26
    Regionalliga
    Lokomotive Leipzig
    Lokomotive Leipzig
    Erzgebirge Aue
    Erzgebirge Aue
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    0
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    0
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 27;
    • First-half wins at home for hosts - 4; for visitors away - 2; number of draws - 7;
    • Average first-half total: 0.85;
    • Today's home team scores on average 0.56, while the visitors net 0.3.

    First-Half Stats: Ingolstadt (home) vs Erzgebirge Aue (away)

    • matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
    • wins: 3 (17.65%) vs 4 (23.53%);
    • losses: 3 (17.65%) vs 8 (47.06%);
    • draws: 11 (64.71%) vs 5 (29.41%);
    • Average goals scored: 1.18 vs 1.35;
    • Average goals conceded: 0.65 vs 0.88.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • wins: 2 vs 1;
    • losses: 4 vs 6;
    • draws: 4 vs 3;
    • Average first-half total: 1.4 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.8) vs 2.2 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 1.6).
    Trends
    • Erzgebirge Aue conceded in the 1st half in 11 of last 12 games (3rd Liga).
    👉Prediction: 1st half, Ingolstadt to score goal

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 27;
    • home team wins - 10, away team wins - 8, draws - 9.

    Statistics: Ingolstadt vs Erzgebirge Aue

    • matches played in the tournament: 35 vs 35;
    • wins: 11 vs 5;
    • win percentage: 31% vs 14%;
    • losses: 14 vs 18;
    • draws: 10 vs 12.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 2 vs 0;
    • losses: 7 vs 7;
    • draws: 1 vs 3.
    Trends
    • Erzgebirge Aue won with a +1.5 handicap in last 12 away games against Ingolstadt.
    👉Prediction: Erzgebirge Aue Handicap (+1,5) (odds: 1.45)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.56, the guests - 1.15;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.7;
    • both teams scored: overall - 14; at the home team's field - 10.

    Statistics: Ingolstadt vs Erzgebirge Aue

    • average total in the tournament: 2.97 vs 3.06;
    • average total goals scored: 1.57 vs 1.2;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.66 vs 0.51;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.91 vs 0.69;
    • Ingolstadt: average total at home in the tournament -  1.35;
    • Erzgebirge Aue: average total away in the tournament - 1;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 0.6) vs 1.4 (away - 1.2).
    Trends
    • Ingolstadt have scored under 2.5 goals in last 5 games against Erzgebirge Aue (3rd Liga).
    • Ingolstadt have scored under 2.5 goals in 8 of last 9 home games (3rd Liga).
    👉Prediction: Ingolstadt Total goals Under (2,5) (odds: 1.46)

    Prediction on corners

    Ingolstadt: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.46; at home field - 4.76;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.1; at home field - 3.8.

    Erzgebirge Aue: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.43, away - 5.47;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.4; away - 6.2.
    Trends
    • Under 10.5 corners in last 6 Ingolstadt home games against Erzgebirge Aue.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Under (10,5) (odds: 1.88)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 27;
    • both teams scored all-time - 14 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 10 times.

    Statistics: Ingolstadt vs Erzgebirge Aue

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 35 vs 35;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 25 vs 23;
    • number of BTTS matches for Ingolstadt at home - 13 (76%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Erzgebirge Aue away - 13 (76%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 9;
    • BTTS matches for Ingolstadt at home - 3 (60%);
    • BTTS matches for Erzgebirge Aue away - 4 (80%).
    Trends
    • Ingolstadt have scored and conceded in 9 of last 10 home games against Erzgebirge Aue.
    • Erzgebirge Aue have scored and conceded in 11 of last 12 games (3rd Liga).
    • Erzgebirge Aue have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 away games (3rd Liga).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (Yes) (odds: 1.43)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (37/350, 10.6%), 2:1 (37/350, 10.6%);
    • Ingolstadt at home most often finish matches: 1:2 (5/17, 29.4%);
    • Erzgebirge Aue away most often play: 2:1 (4/17, 23.5%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 10.7% (odds 8)
    2:1 - 9.5% (odds 9)
    1:0 - 8.92% (odds 11)

    Trends
    • Ingolstadt lost 1:2 in 3 of last 4 home games (3rd Liga).

    Editorial Prediction

    Key statistics:
    • Under 10.5 corners in last 6 Ingolstadt home games against Erzgebirge Aue.

    Corners - Total Under (10,5)
    Odds-114
    Published: 01/05/2026, 18:24

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    Betting Tips: Ingolstadt - Erzgebirge Aue

    Ingolstadt have lost:
    fc-ingolstadtin last 4 home games (3rd Liga).
    Erzgebirge Aue to Win
    Everygame
    +333
    Ingolstadt have not won:
    fc-ingolstadtin last 5 home games (3rd Liga).
    Erzgebirge Aue will not lose
    Everygame
    +113
    Erzgebirge Aue have not won:
    erzgebirge-auein 22 of last 23 away games (3rd Liga).
    erzgebirge-auein last 16 games (3rd Liga).
    erzgebirge-auein last 10 away games.
    Ingolstadt will not lose
    Everygame
    -500
    Under 4.5 goals scored:
    fc-ingolstadterzgebirge-auein last 7 Ingolstadt games against Erzgebirge Aue (3rd Liga).
    fc-ingolstadtin 9 of last 10 Ingolstadt games (3rd Liga).
    erzgebirge-auein 21 of last 23 Erzgebirge Aue games.
    erzgebirge-auein 20 of last 22 Erzgebirge Aue games (3rd Liga).
    erzgebirge-auein 15 of last 16 Erzgebirge Aue away games.
    erzgebirge-auein 14 of last 15 Erzgebirge Aue away games (3rd Liga).
    Total goals Under (4,5)
    -333
    View more facts

    Ingolstadt - Erzgebirge Aue Table position

    3rd Liga 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    11.
    Viktoria Köln
    Viktoria Köln
    381561751-5351
    12.
    Ingolstadt
    Ingolstadt
    3813101565-5649
    13.
    Jahn Regensburg
    Jahn Regensburg
    381471754-5849
    17.
    Havelse
    Havelse
    38982157-8935
    18.
    Erzgebirge Aue
    Erzgebirge Aue
    387131851-7034
    19.
    SSV Ulm 1846
    SSV Ulm 1846
    38962349-7833

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 17
    Conceded - 18
    -1
    -2
    15 - Scored
    17 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    5
    2
    Draws
    2
    4
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    17
    Scored
    15
    18
    Conceded
    17
    3.5
    Match goals average
    3.2
    1.7
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.5
    1.8
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.7
    6
    Both teams scored
    8
    53'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    60'
    View all stats