Ingolstadt vs Erzgebirge Aue Prediction 3 May 2026
🔊How will the weather conditions and the state of the field affect the game? Today, the teams Ingolstadt and Erzgebirge Aue are meeting. The match is scheduled to start at 17:30. The tournament match 3rd Liga will take place in the city of Ingolstadt at the Audi Sportpark stadium. The odds for the teams' victories have been determined by bookmakers at and , respectively, with the team Ingolstadt being the favorite of the match.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 07 December 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Erzgebirge Aue):
- ball possession percentage: 58% vs 42%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 7;
- fouls: 15 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 5.
📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Ingolstadt and Erzgebirge Aue:
- played 27 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 10, for the away team - 8, draws - 9;
- number of goals - 42 against 31;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.85, in the 2nd half - 1.85;
- average total goals in the match - 2.7.
Head-to-head statistics Ingolstadt - Erzgebirge Aue

Ingolstadt Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on 25 April 2026 as part of the 3rd Liga tournament (home team - Hoffenheim 2, away team - Ingolstadt). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:3.
Here's the game statistics (Ingolstadt vs Hoffenheim 2):
- ball possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 7;
- fouls: 12 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 8 vs 4.
- 11 wins,
- 14 losses,
- 10 draws.
📈Currently, Ingolstadt stands at a mid-tier position within the 3rd Liga standings, with a win percentage of 31% and a loss percentage of 40%.
⚽️Ingolstadt has scored a total of 55 goals. On the defensive end, Ingolstadt has allowed 49 goals over the season.
Match Results: Ingolstadt

Erzgebirge Aue Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on 25 April 2026 as part of the 3rd Liga tournament (home team - Erzgebirge Aue, away - Wehen Wiesbaden). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:2.
Here are the match stats (Erzgebirge Aue vs Wehen Wiesbaden):
- ball possession: 48% vs 52%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 14;
- fouls: 8 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 7 vs 7.
- 5 wins,
- 18 losses,
- 12 draws.
📈Currently, Erzgebirge Aue stands at a mid-tier position within the 3rd Liga standings, with a win percentage of 14% and a loss percentage of 51%.
⚽Erzgebirge Aue has scored a total of 42 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 65 goals over the season.
Match Results: Erzgebirge Aue
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 27;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 4; for visitors away - 2; number of draws - 7;
- Average first-half total: 0.85;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.56, while the visitors net 0.3.
First-Half Stats: Ingolstadt (home) vs Erzgebirge Aue (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
- wins: 3 (17.65%) vs 4 (23.53%);
- losses: 3 (17.65%) vs 8 (47.06%);
- draws: 11 (64.71%) vs 5 (29.41%);
- Average goals scored: 1.18 vs 1.35;
- Average goals conceded: 0.65 vs 0.88.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 2 vs 1;
- losses: 4 vs 6;
- draws: 4 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 1.4 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.8) vs 2.2 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 1.6).
- Erzgebirge Aue conceded in the 1st half in 11 of last 12 games (3rd Liga).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 27;
- home team wins - 10, away team wins - 8, draws - 9.
Statistics: Ingolstadt vs Erzgebirge Aue
- matches played in the tournament: 35 vs 35;
- wins: 11 vs 5;
- win percentage: 31% vs 14%;
- losses: 14 vs 18;
- draws: 10 vs 12.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 0;
- losses: 7 vs 7;
- draws: 1 vs 3.
- Erzgebirge Aue won with a +1.5 handicap in last 12 away games against Ingolstadt.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.56, the guests - 1.15;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.7;
- both teams scored: overall - 14; at the home team's field - 10.
Statistics: Ingolstadt vs Erzgebirge Aue
- average total in the tournament: 2.97 vs 3.06;
- average total goals scored: 1.57 vs 1.2;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.66 vs 0.51;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.91 vs 0.69;
- Ingolstadt: average total at home in the tournament - 1.35;
- Erzgebirge Aue: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 0.6) vs 1.4 (away - 1.2).
- Ingolstadt have scored under 2.5 goals in last 5 games against Erzgebirge Aue (3rd Liga).
- Ingolstadt have scored under 2.5 goals in 8 of last 9 home games (3rd Liga).
Prediction on corners
Ingolstadt: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.46; at home field - 4.76;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.1; at home field - 3.8.
Erzgebirge Aue: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.43, away - 5.47;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.4; away - 6.2.
- Under 10.5 corners in last 6 Ingolstadt home games against Erzgebirge Aue.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 27;
- both teams scored all-time - 14 times;
- on the home team’s field - 10 times.
Statistics: Ingolstadt vs Erzgebirge Aue
- number of matches played in the tournament: 35 vs 35;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 25 vs 23;
- number of BTTS matches for Ingolstadt at home - 13 (76%);
- number of BTTS matches for Erzgebirge Aue away - 13 (76%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 9;
- BTTS matches for Ingolstadt at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Erzgebirge Aue away - 4 (80%).
- Ingolstadt have scored and conceded in 9 of last 10 home games against Erzgebirge Aue.
- Erzgebirge Aue have scored and conceded in 11 of last 12 games (3rd Liga).
- Erzgebirge Aue have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 away games (3rd Liga).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (37/350, 10.6%), 2:1 (37/350, 10.6%);
- Ingolstadt at home most often finish matches: 1:2 (5/17, 29.4%);
- Erzgebirge Aue away most often play: 2:1 (4/17, 23.5%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 10.7% (odds 8)
2:1 - 9.5% (odds 9)
1:0 - 8.92% (odds 11)
- Ingolstadt lost 1:2 in 3 of last 4 home games (3rd Liga).
Editorial Prediction
- Under 10.5 corners in last 6 Ingolstadt home games against Erzgebirge Aue.