Lille vs PSG Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 5 October 2025

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Key points

    🔊 Will PSG maintain their top spot in Ligue 1 after facing Lille? We're set for an exciting clash in the seventh round of Ligue 1 between the 'Dogs' and Paris Saint-Germain. Both teams have been delivering impressive performances this season, delighting their fans with plenty of goals. Read on for match analysis and a prediction on the outcome.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 In the last eight encounters between Lille and PSG, both teams have found the back of the net at least once, making the 'both teams to score' bet a winner.

    Head-to-head statistics Lille - PSG

    13%
    6 Wins
    29%
    13 Draws
    58%
    26 Wins
    Total games
    45
    Avg. total goals
    2.78
    Both teams scored
    56%
    0.89
    Average total
    1.89
    1.82
    Yellow cards
    1.96
    Last matches
    28.08.26
    Ligue 1
    Lille
    Lille
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    0.99
    1.41
    0
    5
    11
    7
    2
    1
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0.99
    1.41
    0
    5
    11
    7
    2
    1
    16.01.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Lille
    Lille
    1.12
    0.79
    4
    2
    14
    6
    0
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1.12
    0.79
    4
    2
    14
    6
    0
    1
    05.10.25
    Ligue 1
    Lille
    Lille
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    0.66
    1.41
    3
    5
    11
    12
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0.66
    1.41
    3
    5
    11
    12
    1
    1
    01.03.25
    LI1
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Lille OSC
    Lille OSC
    3.6
    0.87
    9
    3
    6
    10
    0
    2
    4
    1
    4
    0
    0
    1
    3.6
    0.87
    9
    3
    6
    10
    0
    2
    01.09.24
    Ligue 1
    Lille
    Lille
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    -
    -
    3
    1
    8
    9
    3
    2
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    1
    -
    -
    3
    1
    8
    9
    3
    2
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    Lille Team Overview

    🔵 Lille have emerged this season as a formidable attacking force, ready to take on any opponent. After an impressive start in the league, the "Les Dogues" have hit a rough patch, losing their last two matches without scoring. They were defeated by Lens (0-3) and Lyon (0-1).

    🔴 Midweek, Bruno Génésio's squad played their second Europa League match against Italian side AS Roma and secured a 1-0 away victory. While their earlier prolific scoring has dwindled, they managed to claim the win. Notably, Lille registered five shots on target in that clash and had an xG of 1.4.

    Match Results: Lille

    Last matches
    21.10.26
    UEFA Champions League
    Lille
    Lille
    Galatasaray Istanbul
    Galatasaray Istanbul
    1.56
    1.48
    3
    3
    9
    10
    3
    1
    2
    4
    2
    2
    0
    2
    1.56
    1.48
    3
    3
    9
    10
    3
    1
    L
    17.10.26
    Ligue 1
    Lille
    Lille
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    2.01
    0.52
    5
    2
    12
    20
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    2.01
    0.52
    5
    2
    12
    20
    1
    2
    D
    13.10.26
    UEFA Champions League
    Arsenal
    Arsenal
    Lille
    Lille
    1.95
    0.35
    7
    0
    13
    9
    2
    1
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    1.95
    0.35
    7
    0
    13
    9
    2
    1
    L
    10.10.26
    Ligue 1
    Lille
    Lille
    Havre
    Havre
    1
    0.75
    1.48
    4
    5
    17
    12
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0.75
    1.48
    4
    5
    17
    12
    2
    2
    W
    02.10.26
    Club Friendlies
    Lille
    Lille
    Zulte Waregem
    Zulte Waregem
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    W
    Empty
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    Paris Saint-Germain Team Overview

    🔵 In the French league, PSG resemble a high schooler playing in a sandbox with local kids. Their squad is head and shoulders above the rest, yet whenever they slip up, everyone seems to hope they can overtake the capital club in the standings. But how? They play at half throttle and can shift gears when needed.

    🔴 Midweek, PSG secured an away victory against Barcelona in the second round of the Champions League (2-1), with the decisive goal coming in the 90th minute. In their latest French league outing, Luis Enrique's side confidently defeated Auxerre at home 2-0, marking a significant rebound after their recent loss to Marseille (0-1).

    Match Results: Paris Saint-Germain

    Last matches
    20.10.26
    UEFA Champions League
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Barcelona
    Barcelona
    2.74
    2.23
    2
    3
    11
    10
    0
    1
    4
    2
    1
    0
    3
    2
    2.74
    2.23
    2
    3
    11
    10
    0
    1
    W
    17.10.26
    Ligue 1
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    1.23
    2.78
    3
    6
    12
    6
    2
    0
    1
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    1.23
    2.78
    3
    6
    12
    6
    2
    0
    W
    14.10.26
    UEFA Champions League
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    3.15
    1.96
    11
    2
    10
    11
    1
    1
    2
    4
    0
    3
    2
    1
    3.15
    1.96
    11
    2
    10
    11
    1
    1
    W
    10.10.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Le Mans
    Le Mans
    3.7
    1.49
    4
    4
    3
    17
    0
    5
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    1
    3.7
    1.49
    4
    4
    3
    17
    0
    5
    W
    20.09.26
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    1
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    1.67
    4.29
    3
    7
    9
    3
    3
    1
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    1.67
    4.29
    3
    7
    9
    3
    3
    1
    W
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Lille

    ❌ Brazilian defender Alex Sandro's appearance on the pitch is in doubt after he picked up an injury in the match against Toulouse in the fourth round. Prior to this, he had featured in all of the team's fixtures, but has since missed four consecutive matches due to this setback.

    Paris Saint-Germain

    ⚽ Naom Kamara will be unavailable for the upcoming match against Lille as he has been called up to the French youth team, for which he has already played one match against the USA national team.

    ❌ The participation of Georgian forward Khvicha Kvaratskhelia is doubtful due to a muscle injury. He sustained the injury during the sixth round match against Auxerre, which also forced him to miss the Champions League clash with Barcelona.

    ❌ Portuguese midfielder João Neves remains sidelined and is unlikely to aid his team. He picked up an injury during the Champions League opener against Atalanta, leading him to miss three subsequent matches.

    🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

    The referee for the upcoming match is Benoit Bastien. Over his last 100 games, he averages 3.91 yellow cards per match, with 25 fouls committed on average. This season in Ligue 1, Lille average 2.3 yellow cards per game, while PSG are at just 0.6. Given that neither team tends to receive many cautions, we suggest betting on under 5 total yellow cards.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    Although Lille have failed to score in their last two outings, their average goal tally in Ligue 1 remains impressive at 2.2 goals per game, while Paris Saint-Germain average 2. In their last three head-to-head encounters, they've scored 4 or more goals collectively. Considering these stats, we recommend betting on over 2.5 total goals.

    🚩 Corner Kick Prediction

    Both teams boast high corner kick statistics, playing aggressively and frequently utilizing the wings, leading to numerous set pieces. In the current season, Lille average 6.3 corners per match, the same as PSG (6.3). We suggest betting on over 8.5 total corners.

    Editorial Prediction

    After their Champions League triumph over Barcelona, PSG are likely to be riding high on confidence. Luis Enrique's side hardly needed any extra praise, but after delivering a blow to the Catalans, even the most indifferent observers have been quick to commend the Parisians. Given Lille's recent setbacks in the league, we anticipate a PSG victory with a scoreline of 3-1. Considering the head-to-head statistics and the teams' attacking prowess, we suggest betting on both teams to score.

    Both Teams to Score – (Yes)
    Odds-159
    Published: 04/10/2025, 23:20

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    Betting Tips: Lille - Paris Saint-Germain

    Lille have lost the 1st half:
    lille-oscparis-saint-germain-1in 6 of last 7 games against Paris Saint-Germain (Ligue 1).
    1st Half Paris Saint-Germain to Win
    Bovada
    +160
    Lille have lost:
    lille-oscparis-saint-germain-1in 7 of last 8 games against Paris Saint-Germain (Ligue 1).
    Paris Saint-Germain have won:
    paris-saint-germain-1in 7 of last 8 games (Ligue 1).
    paris-saint-germain-1in 6 of last 7 away games.
    Paris Saint-Germain to Win
    Bovada
    +110
    Lille have not lost:
    lille-oscin 8 of last 9 home games (Ligue 1).
    lille-oscin 7 of last 8 home games.
    Lille will not lose
    -123
    Lille have not won:
    lille-oscparis-saint-germain-1in 12 of last 13 home games against Paris Saint-Germain (Ligue 1).
    lille-oscparis-saint-germain-1in last 8 games against Paris Saint-Germain (Ligue 1).
    lille-oscparis-saint-germain-1in 6 of last 7 home games against Paris Saint-Germain.
    Paris Saint-Germain have not lost:
    paris-saint-germain-1in 8 of last 9 games.
    paris-saint-germain-1in 7 of last 8 games (Ligue 1).
    paris-saint-germain-1in 6 of last 7 away games.
    Paris Saint-Germain will not lose
    -357
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    4 - Losses
    Wins - 7
    Draws - 2
    Loss - 1
    10 matches
    Scored - 14
    Conceded - 15
    -1
    +14
    28 - Scored
    14 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    7
    2
    Draws
    2
    4
    Losses
    1
    Goal difference
    14
    Scored
    28
    15
    Conceded
    14
    2.9
    Average total per match
    4.2
    1.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.8
    1.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.4
    5
    Both teams scored
    9
    64'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    32'
    View all stats