Brest vs Nice Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 23 October 2026
🔊 In Lyon, Nice came within a whisker of their first away point of the season: Eli Wahi's goal in stoppage time was ruled out after a VAR review for offside. They have not won away in Ligue 1 for seven months. Nice will look to end that run at Brest, who have not kept a clean sheet in the league since 8 March. Can they do it?
Head-to-Head
📊 In February, in Nice, the two sides produced contrasting halves. Brest led by two goals as early as the 23rd minute, but after the break Abdi and Wahi pulled Nice level at 2-2. Two goals is already a lot for Brest in this fixture: they have scored more than that against Nice only once in their last 15 head-to-head meetings.
Head-to-head statistics Brest - Nice
Brest: dominant win over Angers and yet to keep a clean sheet
Brest under Julien Lachuer, the club's former goalkeeper, are anything but dull. After seven rounds they sit tenth with nine points. The highlight of their season came on 10 October: following two consecutive defeats, they thrashed Angers 5-1, scoring four goals before half-time. Striker Ludovic Ajorque opened the scoring with a header, and three more followed.
After the break, though, Brest almost always concede - in six of their seven league matches. The same happened at Lille: Lachuer's side went ahead in the sixth minute when, from a corner, Mama Baldé turned in a shot from defender Gautier Lloris. In the second half, Olivier Giroud levelled from the penalty spot, and Brest had to settle for a point. A month earlier at Auxerre it went worse: they were leading at half-time but conceded twice after the break and lost.
Match Results: Stade Brest
Nice have picked up two wins at home, but are yet to claim a single victory on the road.
Olivier Pantalone, who joined from Lorient in the summer, has so far assembled two very different teams at Nice. At home, his side have beaten Lille and Strasbourg, both by a single goal. "Two wins in a row, even if they are at home, are obviously doing us good," the manager said after the second of those matches. Nice currently sit 13th with eight points, one behind Brest.
Away from home the picture is the opposite: Nice have taken nothing from trips to Paris, Auxerre and Lyon, scoring just once. Their most recent away match was arguably unlucky. Wahi opened the scoring after a pass from Jonathan Clauss, but Lyon replied twice before half-time. After the break, Axel Witsel hit the crossbar with a header and Wahi struck the post, and with 20 minutes to go the hosts were reduced to ten men. Nice still could not find an equaliser.
Match Results: Nice
Latest news
Stade Brest
❓ Le Havre are short of their first-choice central defensive partnership. As of 15 October, captain Brendan Chardonnet had not been training with the squad due to a calf injury, while Raphael Marc Le Guen is recovering from a fibula fracture. Versini is also being treated for a calf problem. Noah Edjouma, who missed the Lille match due to a loan condition, could be available against Nice.
Nice
❓ Pantaloni are to contend with three long-term absentees: defender Moïse Bombito is sidelined following leg surgery, while Antoine Mendy and Laurent Abergel are both recovering from cruciate ligament injuries.
Projected Lineups
📋 Brest’s likely starting XI: Selvik - Lala, Tousart, Lloris, Locko - Magnetti, Chotard - Balde, Doumbia, Mboup - Ajorque.
📋 Nice’s likely starting XI: Diouf - Mandza, Ndayishimiye, Abdelmonem - Clauss, Witsel, Boudaoui, Nkounkou - Hein, Amoura - Wahi.
Total Goals Prediction
Nice have scored six goals in seven league rounds - only Troyes and Le Havre have fewer. In six of their last seven away trips to Brest in Ligue 1, the visitors scored no more than once. Brest have conceded in every round, but at home only Toulouse have managed to score twice in a single match against them. We're not expecting more than one goal from Nice. The bet is Nice Team Total - Under 1.5.
Corners Prediction
Nice earned more than four corners in six of their last seven head-to-head meetings with Brest. That is their usual rate: 58 corners in their last 10 official matches compared to 44 for their opponents. Brest are generous when it comes to conceding corners: their opponents have taken 48 in that same period, while Brest themselves have taken 47. We are expecting at least five from Nice. The bet is Nice Team Total Corners - Over 4.5.
Yellow Cards Prediction
In nine of Brest's last 10 Ligue 1 matches, there have been no more than three yellow cards combined - the only exception was the game against Toulouse. Over that run, Brest have received ten bookings and their opponents twelve. Nice have picked up 17 cards across their last 10 official matches, but their opponents have been shown just nine. The pick is Total Yellow Cards - Under 3.5.
📌 Editorial Prediction
Brest have scored in 9 of their last 10 home Ligue 1 matches. In six of the last seven, both teams have found the net. Nice don't score much away from home, but with Chardonnay and Le Guen absent, Brest's defence could give Eli Wahi a chance. We're not expecting a winner: in their last seven home league matches, Brest have won only once. Our bet is Both Teams to Score - Yes. Predicted score: 1-1.
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Betting Tips: Stade Brest - Nice
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