Lokomotiv vs Zenit Prediction 5 April 2025
🔊 The upcoming clash between Lokomotiv and Zenit is one of the standout fixtures in the 23rd round of the RPL. Lokomotiv aim to bounce back from a crushing defeat in their last game, while Zenit look to extend their winning streak to keep pace with table-toppers Krasnodar. Who will come out on top?
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Lokomotiv and Zenit:
- 42 matches played;
- home wins - 9, away wins - 18, draws - 15;
- goals scored - 42 against 63;
- average first-half total - 0.88, second-half - 1.62;
- average total goals per match - 2.5.
The last game took place on 27 October 2024 at Zenit's ground and ended in a 1-1 draw.
Head-to-head statistics Lokomotiv - Zenit

Lokomotiv Moscow Team Overview
Lokomotiv once topped the league table earlier this season. Now, they find themselves in sixth place, yet the race for a top-three finish is still alive. However, in their last outing, the team stunned their fans with a heavy defeat to Krylia Sovetov in Samara (1-5). Despite the scoreline, Ilya Lantratov wasn't the worst performer, making eight saves. This isn't the first time the "Railwaymen" have faltered following an international break. Previously, they suffered three consecutive losses under similar circumstances.
Mikhail Galaktionov remarked that there was essentially nothing to comment on: "Two minutes in, and we're down 0-2. Every factor that seemed to be in our favor turned against us. We were utterly disorganized, unfortunately. Sometimes you have games where everything goes in for the opponent, and every chance becomes a goal."
Lokomotiv are missing Dmitry Barinov, whose presence could bring much-needed organization on the pitch. The midfielder sustained a knee injury against Akhmat and has already missed three matches.
Match Results: Lokomotiv Moscow

Zenit Saint Petersburg Team Overview
This year marks an anniversary for Zenit, and the management expects nothing less than first place. Is this pressure affecting the players? To some extent, yes, but it seems to weigh less on the numerous Latin American players. Regardless, after the winter break, Zenit have already dropped points twice. They failed to defeat CSKA (0-0) and even lost to Spartak (1-2), conceding the decisive goal under controversial circumstances. However, in their last match, the "Blue-White-Sky Blues" easily overcame Rubin (4-0). Alexander Sobolev, whom Sergey Semak was keen to bring into the team, remains goalless. The forward has been scoring in friendly matches but has yet to find the net in the league.
Sergey Semak doesn't place much importance on Lokomotiv's heavy defeat in Samara: "Every game is a separate story. Both Lokomotiv and we are competing for the top spots, so this match will be crucial for both of us."
In the match against Rubin, Nino and Maksim Glushenkov picked up injuries. However, Sergey Semak is hopeful they will recover in time to face Lokomotiv. Meanwhile, Vyacheslav Karavaev, who was sidelined during the winter preparation period, and Gustavo Mantuan, suspended due to an accumulation of yellow cards, will definitely miss out.
Match Results: Zenit Saint Petersburg
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 42;
- home team wins - 9, away team wins - 18, draws - 15.
Statistics: Lokomotiv Moscow vs Zenit Saint Petersburg
- number of matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- number of wins: 12 vs 14;
- win percentage: 55% vs 64%;
- number of losses: 6 vs 4;
- number of draws: 4 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 3 vs 6;
- number of losses: 4 vs 3;
- number of draws: 3 vs 1.
- Lokomotiv Moscow plays the 1st half in a draw in each of their last 7 Premier League home games against Zenit Saint Petersburg.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 1.5;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.5;
- both teams scored: overall - 24; at the home team's field - 7.
Statistics: Lokomotiv Moscow vs Zenit Saint Petersburg
- average total in the tournament: 3.27 vs 2.64;
- average total goals scored: 1.73 vs 2;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.82 vs 0.95;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.91 vs 1.05;
- Lokomotiv Moscow: average total at home in the tournament - 1.73;
- Zenit Saint Petersburg: average total away in the tournament - 2.18;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.2) vs 1.8 (away - 1.8).
- Lokomotiv Moscow has scored less than 1.5 goals in 7 of the last 8 Premier League home games against Zenit Saint Petersburg.
Prediction on corners
Lokomotiv Moscow: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.14; at home field - 5.55;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.7; at home field - 4.
Zenit Saint Petersburg: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.59, away - 4.27;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.6; away - 3.2.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 6.2 (3.1 for home team and 3.1 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 4.83 (2.72 for home team and 2.11 for away team).
Lokomotiv Moscow: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.5; at home - 2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.5; at home - 2.
Zenit Saint Petersburg: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.45, away - 1.18;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.2; away - 1.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 42;
- both teams scored all-time - 24 times;
- on the home team’s field - 7 times.
Statistics: Lokomotiv Moscow vs Zenit Saint Petersburg
- number of matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 14 vs 8;
- number of BTTS matches for Lokomotiv Moscow at home - 7 (64%);
- number of BTTS matches for Zenit Saint Petersburg away - 3 (27%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Lokomotiv Moscow at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Zenit Saint Petersburg away - 2 (40%).
Editor's Prediction
The clash between Lokomotiv and Zenit promises to be a thrilling contest in terms of the league standings: the hosts aim to secure a top-3 finish, while the visitors continue their pursuit of leadership at the top of the table. Zenit appear to have the upper hand, and we doubt Lokomotiv will manage to score twice against the league's dominant force. We're backing under 1.5 goals for the hosts-in their last 8 head-to-head encounters in the Russian Premier League, the Moscow side has failed to surpass this mark in 7 of those games.