Mainz vs Holstein Kiel Prediction 5 April 2025
🔊 Mainz will host Holstein Kiel in the 28th round of the Bundesliga. Both teams have their own objectives: the hosts are fighting for European competition spots, while the visitors are desperately trying to climb out of the relegation zone. Notably, Mainz are unbeaten at home for nine consecutive matches, scoring more than 1.5 goals in most of their home games. However, Holstein Kiel have the potential to surprise-they frequently score on the road and are involved in high-scoring matches.
Head-to-Head
📊 Mainz and Holstein Kiel have faced off in three official matches. Here's the breakdown:
- Goals: 6 for the home side and 4 for the visitors;
- Average total goals per match: 3.33.
Their last encounter took place on 24 November 2024 at Holstein Kiel's ground and ended with a 0-3 scoreline.
Head-to-head statistics Mainz - Holstein Kiel
Mainz Team Overview
🔴 Mainz are confidently navigating the season, currently sitting in fourth place and vying for a spot in European competitions. They have shown consistent form, particularly impressing their fans at home, where they remain unbeaten in nine consecutive matches. However, in the last round, they suffered a setback, falling to Borussia Dortmund (3-1).
🔗 Head coach Bo Henriksen and the players were critical of their mindset in the previous game and the high number of lost duels. They also noted that they managed to change the dynamics on the field in the second half. There is reason to believe Mainz will approach the match against Holstein Kiel with maximum determination.
❌ Due to suspension, team leader and defensive midfielder Dominik Kohr will be unavailable. Mainz have won only one out of 11 matches he has missed due to suspension. On a positive note, left-back Philipp Mwene returns to the starting lineup after serving his suspension. Central defender Stefan Bell is unlikely to recover in time for the match.
Match Results: Mainz
Holstein Kiel Team Overview
🔵 Holstein Kiel are navigating through tough times, currently anchored at the bottom of the Bundesliga table with just four wins this season. Over their last ten matches, they have managed only one victory while suffering six defeats. Despite these poor results, the "Storks" maintain a fighting spirit: their games are marked by high scoring, thanks to an aggressive attacking style and frequent defensive lapses. They average 1.41 goals scored per game while conceding 2.48.
🔗 Meanwhile, Holstein Kiel have extended the contract of head coach Marcel Rapp, along with his assistants Dirk Bremser and Alexander Hahn.
❌ Patrick Erras remains sidelined due to a concussion. Forward Kelati and central defender Kleine-Bekel will miss the game with knee injuries. Central striker Shuto Machino might feature in the starting lineup, and Timo Becker could also make a return.
Match Results: Holstein Kiel
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- home team wins - 2, away team wins - 1, draws - 0.
Statistics: Mainz vs Holstein Kiel
- number of matches played in the tournament: 27 vs 27;
- number of wins: 13 vs 4;
- win percentage: 48% vs 15%;
- number of losses: 8 vs 18;
- number of draws: 6 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 5 vs 1;
- number of losses: 3 vs 6;
- number of draws: 2 vs 3.
- Holstein Kiel has lost the 1st half in 12 of the last 14 away games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2, the guests - 1.33;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.33;
- both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Mainz vs Holstein Kiel
- average total in the tournament: 2.81 vs 3.89;
- average total goals scored: 1.67 vs 1.41;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.85 vs 0.59;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.81 vs 0.81;
- Mainz: average total at home in the tournament - 1.38;
- Holstein Kiel: average total away in the tournament - 1.54;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 1.5) vs 1.3 (away - 1.6).
- Mainz scored in the 2nd half in each of their last 6 Bundesliga games.
- Holstein Kiel conceded in the 2nd half in 10 of the last 11 away games.
- Holstein Kiel conceded in the 2nd half in 9 of the last 10 Bundesliga away games.
Prediction on corners
Mainz: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.48; at home field - 5.62;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.9; at home field - 4.25.
Holstein Kiel: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.56, away - 3.62;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.6; away - 3.6.
- Mainz has taken under 6.5 corners in each of their last 7 Bundesliga games.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 2 (1 for home team and 1 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 5 (3 for home team and 2 for away team).
Mainz: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.93; at home - 2.23;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.9; at home - 2.75.
Holstein Kiel: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.96, away - 2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.9; away - 1.6.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Mainz vs Holstein Kiel
- number of matches played in the tournament: 27 vs 27;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 14 vs 19;
- number of BTTS matches for Mainz at home - 6 (46%);
- number of BTTS matches for Holstein Kiel away - 12 (92%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Mainz at home - 1 (25%);
- BTTS matches for Holstein Kiel away - 4 (80%).
- Holstein Kiel has scored and conceded in 12 of the last 13 Bundesliga away games.
- Holstein Kiel has scored and conceded in 8 of the last 9 away games.
Editorial Prediction
The match promises to be action-packed with contrasting playing styles on display: Mainz's steady attack against Holstein Kiel's inconsistent defense creates the perfect setting for thrilling football. Considering the recent trends and the home side's strong motivation to solidify their spot among the league leaders, a high-scoring performance from the hosts is anticipated. Our bet is on Mainz's individual total over 1.5 goals.
No comments
Betting Tips: Mainz - Holstein Kiel
in 12 of last 14 away games.
in last 9 home games (Bundesliga).in last 8 home games.in 13 of last 14 away games.in 12 of last 13 away games (Bundesliga).in 10 of last 11 games.in 9 of last 10 games (Bundesliga).in 8 of last 9 home games (Bundesliga).in 18 of last 19 games.in 17 of last 18 games (Bundesliga).in 15 of last 16 away games.in 12 of last 13 away games (Bundesliga).in 13 of last 15 Holstein Kiel games.in 12 of last 14 Holstein Kiel games (Bundesliga).
in 7 of last 8 Frank Willenborg games.
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
