Atlas vs Tijuana Prediction 5 March 2026
📢 The upcoming clash between Atlas and Tijuana promises to be a tense affair, given the teams' current standings in Liga MX. Atlas sit in seventh place on the table, showing inconsistent form with alternating wins and losses. Tijuana are in 11th position, but their recent matches reveal a tendency towards draws. Both sides are eager to improve their performances this season.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended with a score of 2-0. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (home team - Tijuana):
- possession: 53% vs 47%;
- corners: 7 vs 0;
- fouls: 5 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 3;
- shots on target: 10 vs 1.
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Atlas and Tijuana:
- 33 matches played;
- home wins - 7, away wins - 13, draws - 13;
- goals scored - 34 for Atlas, 53 for Tijuana;
- average first-half total - 1.27, second-half total - 1.36;
- average total goals per match - 2.64.
Head-to-head statistics Atlas - Tijuana

Atlas Team Overview
The team's latest official match took place in the Liga MX tournament, with Juárez hosting Atlas. The match concluded with a 3-1 scoreline.
Here's the match statistics (Atlas vs Juárez):
- possession: 47% vs 53%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 4;
- fouls: 15 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 4.
Atlas, also known as "The Foxes," are navigating a challenging season. Their recent form over the last five matches includes two wins and two losses, highlighting the team's inconsistency. In their last ten games, they have averaged 1 goal per match while conceding 1.4 goals, pointing to a vulnerable defense. Despite these struggles, Atlas are still fighting to climb out of the lower end of the table.
Match Results: Atlas

Tijuana Team Overview
The most recent official match for the current visitors took place in the Liga MX, with Tijuana hosting UNAM Pumas. The game ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Tijuana vs UNAM Pumas):
- possession: 30% vs 70%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 4;
- fouls: 10 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
Tijuana appear more confident compared to their opponents, though they often lack the decisiveness to close out matches with a win-four draws in their last five games back up this claim. The team averages one goal per game while maintaining a relatively solid defense, conceding just 1.2 goals in their last ten outings. These stats help the "Xolos" stay mid-table.
Match Results: Tijuana
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 33;
- home team wins - 7, away team wins - 13, draws - 13.
- Tijuana have drawn in 5 of last 6 games (Liga MX).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.03, the guests - 1.61;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.64;
- both teams scored: overall - 16; at the home team's field - 7.
Statistics: Atlas vs Tijuana
- average total in the tournament: 3.24 vs 2.79;
- average total goals scored: 1.36 vs 1.5;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.76 vs 0.61;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.6 vs 0.89;
- Atlas: average total at home in the tournament - 1.83;
- Tijuana: average total away in the tournament - 1.17;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1.4) vs 1 (away - 1).
- Atlas have scored under 1.5 goals in 11 of last 12 games against Tijuana (Liga MX).
- Atlas have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 home games against Tijuana (Liga MX).
Prediction on corners
Atlas: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.48; at home field - 3.75;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.4; at home field - 3.6.
Tijuana: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.54, away - 3.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.8; away - 4.5.
- Atlas have taken under 5.5 corners in 14 of last 15 games (Liga MX).
- Atlas have taken under 5.5 corners in 9 of last 10 home games (Liga MX).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 33;
- both teams scored all-time - 16 times;
- on the home team’s field - 7 times.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (26/241, 10.8%);
- Atlas at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 2:2 , 3:2 (2/12, 16.7%);
- Tijuana away most often play: 1:0 , 2:2 (2/12, 16.7%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.01% (odds 6.5)
2:1 - 8.58% (odds 9)
1:0 - 8.56% (odds 8)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the trends and statistics, we can anticipate a low-scoring performance from the home side. Atlas consistently scores fewer than two goals against Tijuana in most of their head-to-head encounters. Taking into account the form of both teams and their historical dynamics, betting on the home team's total under 1.5 goals appears to be a logical and well-founded choice.