Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 On Saturday, Stamford Bridge will host the marquee match of the Premier League's seventh round, featuring Chelsea and Liverpool. Both teams are not in their best form. The Blues have failed to secure a win in their last two league matches. The Merseysiders have also struggled in their last two games across all competitions. Arne Slot has yet to effectively integrate the club's expensive new signings, and injuries have recently weakened the squad. Furthermore, their last successful trip to London in the Premier League was back in 2020. Will Chelsea's unbeaten run continue, or will Liverpool finally break theirs? Let's delve into our prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 It's been five years since Chelsea last suffered a Premier League defeat at Stamford Bridge. During this period, the teams have clashed 10 times in the league, including that match. Liverpool hold a slight edge with three wins compared to Chelsea's two. The remaining five encounters ended in draws, all occurring consecutively between 2021 and 2023.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    32%
    18 Wins
    32%
    18 Draws
    36%
    20 Wins
    Total games
    56
    Total Goals Avg
    2.57
    Both teams scored
    61%
    1.23
    Total average
    1.34
    1.91
    Yellow cards
    1.93
    Last matches
    09.05.26
    EPL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    0.54
    0.46
    5
    2
    17
    17
    2
    4
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0.54
    0.46
    5
    2
    17
    17
    2
    4
    04.10.25
    EPL
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    1
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    1.24
    2.06
    7
    2
    9
    8
    0
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1.24
    2.06
    7
    2
    9
    8
    0
    2
    04.05.25
    EPL
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    3.52
    1.43
    3
    6
    10
    11
    2
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    1
    3.52
    1.43
    3
    6
    10
    11
    2
    2
    20.10.24
    EPL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    -
    -
    1
    5
    15
    12
    4
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    1
    5
    15
    12
    4
    3
    25.02.24
    EFL Cup
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    -
    -
    6
    5
    14
    18
    2
    5
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    6
    5
    14
    18
    2
    5
    Empty
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    Chelsea Team Overview

    Chelsea's early season momentum didn't last long, as they've suffered defeats in three of their last five matches across all competitions. The issues for Enzo Maresca's squad extend beyond just results; discipline has also been a concern. In those same three matches, the Blues ended with fewer players on the pitch due to red cards. This had a significant impact, for instance, in their clash against Brighton. After leading by a goal at halftime, Trevoh Chalobah's red card early in the second half saw the Pensioners squander their advantage, ultimately losing 3-1. However, as they approach Matchday 7, Chelsea are in good spirits-having defeated Benfica 1-0 in the Champions League midweek, although they couldn't avoid another red card. It didn't affect the outcome as it occurred during stoppage time.

    With the absence of the team's main playmaker, Cole Palmer, Enzo Fernandez has stepped up to fill that role. He is currently the team's top scorer in the Premier League with three goals. Meanwhile, Joao Pedro has emerged as a creative force, showcasing his playmaking abilities. The summer signing from Brighton has recorded two goals and three assists over six Premier League matches. Alejandro Garnacho made his Champions League starting debut and it was his cross that led to an own goal against Benfica.

    Match Results: Chelsea

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    EPL
    Sunderland
    Sunderland
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    1
    2.01
    0.8
    6
    2
    15
    12
    5
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    2.01
    0.8
    6
    2
    15
    12
    5
    3
    L
    19.05.26
    EPL
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    Tottenham Hotspur
    Tottenham Hotspur
    0.98
    1.73
    3
    4
    11
    18
    4
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0.98
    1.73
    3
    4
    11
    18
    4
    3
    W
    16.05.26
    FAC
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    0.87
    1.19
    4
    4
    15
    13
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.87
    1.19
    4
    4
    15
    13
    3
    1
    L
    09.05.26
    EPL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    0.54
    0.46
    5
    2
    17
    17
    2
    4
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0.54
    0.46
    5
    2
    17
    17
    2
    4
    D
    04.05.26
    EPL
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    Nottingham Forest
    Nottingham Forest
    2.64
    2.03
    10
    1
    12
    10
    3
    1
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    1
    2.64
    2.03
    10
    1
    12
    10
    3
    1
    L
    Empty
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    Liverpool Team Overview

    Liverpool's luck seems to have run dry. In their last two matches, even their magic in the dying minutes, which had secured wins in 5 out of 7 previous occasions, couldn't save them. The turning point was the Premier League match in the sixth round against Crystal Palace. Everything was unfolding as usual for the Merseysiders with a late goal from Chiesa. However, the Eagles turned the tables on the Reds using their own weapon, scoring in stoppage time (1-2). Arne Slot's side also faced defeat in the Champions League. Despite having the upper hand against Galatasaray, a penalty converted by Victor Osimhen early in the match remained the only goal of the game (0-1).

    Federico Chiesa is seriously vying for a spot in the starting lineup in place of Florian Wirtz, who has struggled to find his form in English football. The Italian once again made an impact for Liverpool after coming off the bench, though it wasn't enough for the Scousers to secure points away at Crystal Palace. He has only started once this season - in the English League Cup against Southampton. Chiesa didn't disappoint, providing two assists and claiming the Man of the Match award.

    Match Results: Liverpool

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    EPL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Brentford
    Brentford
    2.73
    1.34
    14
    2
    9
    9
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    2.73
    1.34
    14
    2
    9
    9
    2
    3
    D
    15.05.26
    EPL
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    1.88
    1.08
    4
    9
    12
    9
    3
    1
    4
    2
    1
    0
    3
    2
    1.88
    1.08
    4
    9
    12
    9
    3
    1
    L
    09.05.26
    EPL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    0.54
    0.46
    5
    2
    17
    17
    2
    4
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0.54
    0.46
    5
    2
    17
    17
    2
    4
    D
    03.05.26
    EPL
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    2.95
    1.13
    3
    2
    12
    11
    2
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    2.95
    1.13
    3
    2
    12
    11
    2
    2
    L
    25.04.26
    EPL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Crystal Palace
    Crystal Palace
    0.9
    1.43
    5
    8
    10
    10
    1
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    0.9
    1.43
    5
    8
    10
    10
    1
    3
    W
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Chelsea

    🎙️ The last-minute autumn transfer, Alejandro Garnacho, opened up about his challenging times at Manchester United and his impressions of playing in the Champions League for Chelsea. "There were tough moments, training separately from the team, but I can't say anything bad about my former club. It's just the difficult phases in life. Now, I'm thrilled to be at Chelsea, playing in this competition and earning three points. When you're young, you dream of Champions League matches. Now we're here, and I'm very happy," the winger stated.

    ❌ Chelsea not only have a bloated squad but also a crowded injury list. Throughout the season, injuries have sidelined Liam Delap, Dario Essugo, Cole Palmer, Tosin Adarabioyo, and Wesley Fofana. Earlier absentees included Benoit Badiashile, Levi Colwill, and Romeo Lavia. There are concerns regarding Andrey Santos's condition as he couldn't finish the match against Brighton due to an injury. Additionally, Trevoh Chalobah is serving a suspension following a red card.

    Liverpool

    🎙️ Former "Scouser" and now TV pundit Jamie Carragher has suggested that Florian Wirtz should be dropped from Liverpool's lineup. "He's not quite in form. He's a young lad who has moved to a new league. He still has plenty of time to settle in as a Liverpool player. But right now, I think he needs to be taken out of the lineup for Liverpool to get back to what they were last season, then move forward, gain confidence, and strengthen the defense," said the former Reds defender.

    ❌ Liverpool face significant setbacks ahead of their clash with Chelsea. In the last two matches, they've lost three players to injury: Alisson Becker, Hugo Ekitike, and Federico Chiesa. According to the coach, the Reds' first-choice keeper is definitely out for the fixture. The participation of the other two remains uncertain.

    🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

    The match will be officiated by the highly sought-after referee Anthony Taylor. This season, he has taken charge of eight games in the Champions League and Premier League, averaging 3.5 yellow cards per match. On Saturday, this number is likely to rise, as 5 out of the last 6 head-to-head clashes between these clubs have seen the total warnings exceed 4.5. The same can be said for Chelsea's four previous matches this season. Our prediction: total yellow cards over 4.

    ⚽️ Goals Prediction

    Recent matches involving both teams have been thrilling, with 4 out of their last 5 games surpassing a total of 2.5 goals. Only their recent Champions League fixtures didn't follow this trend. Their head-to-head encounters have also been high-scoring, with 14 goals netted in the last four meetings. We hope the teams won't disappoint this time either. We back this hope with a bet on total goals over 2.5.

    🚩 Corners Prediction

    Liverpool rank among the Premier League leaders in average corners won away from home, with 6.67 per game-only Arsenal and Tottenham boast higher numbers. Additionally, in 8 of their last 9 head-to-head meetings at Stamford Bridge, the Merseysiders have delivered more than 4.5 corners. This is where we suggest placing your bet: Liverpool total corners over 4.5.

    Editorial Prediction

    Both teams are experiencing a dip in form. Liverpool's luck has only recently deserted them in their last two matches, but signs of a crisis appeared much earlier. Arne Slot's side can be erratic defensively, evidenced by Alisson's goal being breached in five consecutive games. Enzo Maresca has made significant changes to the squad for the Champions League, giving the impression that Chelsea were continuing last year's Conference League performances rather than stepping up to Europe's elite competition. Thus, the physical condition of the "Blues" should be better.

    In their last four head-to-head meetings, both teams have found the net against each other. Given this trend, it’s highly likely it will continue. Therefore, the most logical bet would be: both teams to score (yes). With neither team in convincing form, it's hard to favor one over the other, so we anticipate a high-scoring draw, predicting a 2-2 finish.

    Our choice
    Both Teams To Score (Yes) at odds of -208*
    MyBookie
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (3 October 2025, 14:12)

    Betting Tips: Chelsea - Liverpool

    Chelsea have drawn in the 1st half
    chelsea-fcliverpool-fc-1in 7 of last 8 home games against Liverpool.
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +151
    Chelsea have drawn in the 2nd half
    chelsea-fcliverpool-fc-1in 6 of last 7 home games against Liverpool.
    2nd Half Draw
    Everygame
    +170
    Chelsea have not lost
    chelsea-fcin 12 of last 13 home games (Premier League).
    chelsea-fcin 8 of last 9 home games.
    Chelsea will not lose
    MyBookie
    -143
    Chelsea have not won
    chelsea-fcliverpool-fc-1in 10 of last 11 games against Liverpool.
    chelsea-fcliverpool-fc-1in 7 of last 8 games against Liverpool (Premier League).
    chelsea-fcliverpool-fc-1in 6 of last 7 home games against Liverpool (Premier League).
    Liverpool will not lose
    Everygame
    -250
    View more facts

    Chelsea - Liverpool Table position

    Premier League 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    4.
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    381981156-4965
    5.
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    381791263-5360
    6.
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    381318758-5457
    9.
    Brentford
    Brentford
    3814111355-5253
    10.
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    3814101458-5252
    11.
    Fulham
    Fulham
    381571647-5152

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    6 - Loses
    Wins - 3
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 13
    Conceded - 15
    -2
    -6
    13 - Scored
    19 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    3
    1
    Draws
    2
    6
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    13
    Scored
    13
    15
    Conceded
    19
    2.8
    Match goals average
    3.2
    1.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.3
    1.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.9
    4
    Both teams scored
    6
    69'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    69'
    View all stats