Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction

Details
The main thing

    🔊 Anfield will host the opening match of the 36th round of the Premier League. Liverpool, after their defeat in the Northwest Derby, have lost their winning momentum but still hold the 4th spot in the table. Chelsea, for the first time since 1993, have suffered six consecutive league defeats and have dropped to 9th place. Can the Blues salvage some remnants of their reputation in a disastrous season and put an end to their dreadful losing streak?

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The balance at Anfield in this rivalry is clear: the hosts have avoided defeat against the "Blues" in 9 of their last 10 Premier League head-to-heads. Furthermore, Liverpool have won both of their previous home encounters against Chelsea and are now aiming for a third consecutive home victory over this opponent for the first time since October 1997. A notable aspect of their recent clashes is the high-scoring nature: in 4 of their last 5 meetings, both teams found the net and surpassed the total of over 2.5 goals.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    36%
    20 Wins
    32%
    18 Draws
    32%
    18 Wins
    Total games
    56
    Total Goals Avg
    2.57
    Both teams scored
    61%
    1.34
    Total average
    1.23
    1.93
    Yellow cards
    1.91
    Last matches
    09.05.26
    EPL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    0.54
    0.46
    5
    2
    17
    17
    2
    4
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0.54
    0.46
    5
    2
    17
    17
    2
    4
    04.10.25
    EPL
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    1
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    1.24
    2.06
    7
    2
    9
    8
    0
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1.24
    2.06
    7
    2
    9
    8
    0
    2
    04.05.25
    EPL
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    3.52
    1.43
    3
    6
    10
    11
    2
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    1
    3.52
    1.43
    3
    6
    10
    11
    2
    2
    20.10.24
    EPL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    -
    -
    1
    5
    15
    12
    4
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    1
    5
    15
    12
    4
    3
    25.02.24
    EFL Cup
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    -
    -
    6
    5
    14
    18
    2
    5
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    6
    5
    14
    18
    2
    5
    Empty
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    Liverpool Team Overview

    The reigning champions face the risk of missing out on the Champions League. That's one way to start a story about Liverpool, adding a bit of intrigue. Arne Slot's side currently sit in 4th place with 58 points, level with fifth-placed Aston Villa and six points clear of Bournemouth. Their home form remains the Reds' main asset: they have avoided defeat at Anfield in 10 of their last 11 Premier League matches. And here's another interesting fact - Liverpool haven't lost a home league game in May since 2015, boasting a 17-match unbeaten streak.

    Last round's clash against Manchester United (2-3) ended the Scousers' three-match winning streak and exposed their defensive frailties. Liverpool have conceded 47 goals in the current Premier League season - the highest for a reigning champion since Leicester City. Meanwhile, the Reds created virtually nothing against their opponents, deploying false nines Wirtz and Szoboszlai. Both of their goals resulted from errors by United players.

    Match Results: Liverpool

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    EPL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Brentford
    Brentford
    2.73
    1.34
    14
    2
    9
    9
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    2.73
    1.34
    14
    2
    9
    9
    2
    3
    D
    15.05.26
    EPL
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    1.88
    1.08
    4
    9
    12
    9
    3
    1
    4
    2
    1
    0
    3
    2
    1.88
    1.08
    4
    9
    12
    9
    3
    1
    L
    09.05.26
    EPL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    0.54
    0.46
    5
    2
    17
    17
    2
    4
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0.54
    0.46
    5
    2
    17
    17
    2
    4
    D
    03.05.26
    EPL
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    2.95
    1.13
    3
    2
    12
    11
    2
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    2.95
    1.13
    3
    2
    12
    11
    2
    2
    L
    25.04.26
    EPL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Crystal Palace
    Crystal Palace
    0.9
    1.43
    5
    8
    10
    10
    1
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    0.9
    1.43
    5
    8
    10
    10
    1
    3
    W
    Empty
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    Chelsea Team Overview

    The Blues are experiencing a deep crisis. After their triumph at the Club World Cup, further progress was expected, but ultimately Enzo Maresca was dismissed, and his successor Liam Rosenior is also no longer with the team. Currently sitting ninth with a ten-point gap from the Champions League spots, Chelsea's only hope for European competition is mathematical. This reality starkly contrasts with the club's ambitions. The visitors have lost their last six league matches, scoring just one goal, and continue to set negative records.

    After Liam Rosenior's departure, Callum McFarlane returned to take charge, but a miracle did not occur. In the last round, Chelsea fell to Nottingham Forest (1-3) at Stamford Bridge. Joao Pedro scored a beautiful overhead kick in stoppage time, but it was too late to change the outcome. Despite Chelsea's overwhelming advantage in shots (21-6), the quality of play was dismal, leading to a deserved defeat.

    Match Results: Chelsea

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    EPL
    Sunderland
    Sunderland
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    1
    2.01
    0.8
    6
    2
    15
    12
    5
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    2.01
    0.8
    6
    2
    15
    12
    5
    3
    L
    19.05.26
    EPL
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    Tottenham Hotspur
    Tottenham Hotspur
    0.98
    1.73
    3
    4
    11
    18
    4
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0.98
    1.73
    3
    4
    11
    18
    4
    3
    W
    16.05.26
    FAC
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    0.87
    1.19
    4
    4
    15
    13
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.87
    1.19
    4
    4
    15
    13
    3
    1
    L
    09.05.26
    EPL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    0.54
    0.46
    5
    2
    17
    17
    2
    4
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0.54
    0.46
    5
    2
    17
    17
    2
    4
    D
    04.05.26
    EPL
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    Nottingham Forest
    Nottingham Forest
    2.64
    2.03
    10
    1
    12
    10
    3
    1
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    1
    2.64
    2.03
    10
    1
    12
    10
    3
    1
    L
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Liverpool

    🚫 The home side are facing a critical squad situation, although there are no new losses compared to the previous matchday. The most significant issues are in the attacking line: Hugo Ekitike, Mohamed Salah, and Alexander Isak are injured.

    🧤 With Alisson and Giorgi Mamardashvili unavailable, third-choice goalkeeper Freddie Woodman will step in once again.

    ❌ Long-term absentees include Conor Bradley, Giovanni Leone, Wataru Endo, and Stefan Bajcetic.

    Chelsea

    ❌ The visitors' injury list is not empty either. Estevao, Jamie Bynoe-Gittens, Jessy Derry, and Benoit Badiashile are all ruled out.

    🧤 Like Liverpool, they have a goalkeeping issue. Robert Sanchez suffered a concussion in a collision with Morgan Gibbs-White, which likely sidelines him. Philip Jorgensen is expected to take his place between the posts.

    ✔ Pedro Neto and Alejandro Garnacho are anticipated to return. Both picked up injuries during training, causing them to miss the clash with Nottingham.

    🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

    The match will be officiated by Craig Pawson. In the current Premier League season, he has officiated 19 matches, issuing 48 yellow cards-an average of 2.5 per game, the lowest among all league referees. As for the teams, Chelsea are one of the most aggressive sides in the Premier League, averaging 2.34 yellow cards per match. On the other hand, Liverpool receive just 1.06 cautions per home game. This suggests a bet on Chelsea not losing on yellow cards.

    ⚽ Goals Prediction

    Both teams enter the match with vulnerable defenses. Liverpool have conceded 47 goals this season and have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last four matches. Chelsea have let in 48 goals and haven't recorded a shutout in their last 13 Premier League games-a streak dating back to January. In their last five head-to-head encounters, both teams have found the net, making a bet on both teams to score (yes) with odds of 1.47* a compelling choice.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    Liverpool average 5.88 corners per home game, while Chelsea average 5.41 on the road. At Anfield, the hosts increase their wing play: in their last three home matches, they've taken 19 corner kicks. Head-to-head stats also suggest a Liverpool advantage in this aspect: Liverpool take more than 4.5 corners in 7 of their last 8 Premier League matches against Chelsea. This bet is appealing despite the relatively low odds of 1.37*.

    🚀 Player Stats Bet

    Dominik Szoboszlai is Liverpool's top performer this season in terms of goals and assists: 13 goals and 10 assists across all competitions. He's the first Reds midfielder to hit double figures in both categories since Steven Gerrard in the 2013/14 season. The Hungarian is versatile on the field but will be most valuable in attack given the current squad situation and will look for his chances. He can join attacks late, shoot from distance, or take free-kicks-there are many ways he can threaten Chelsea's goal. Bet: Dominik Szoboszlai to register a shot on target at odds of 1.68*.

    😱 Risky Bet

    Chelsea have lost six consecutive matches and failed to score in their last two away league games-factors that influence bookmakers' odds favoring Liverpool. However, Anfield has witnessed upsets before. For instance, in March 2021, the Blues won here 1-0, and they've beaten Arne Slot's men twice in a row at home. An additional factor favoring the visitors is the lack of pressure. Their mathematical chances for a top-five finish are gone, with the FA Cup final already secured, allowing them to play freely. A surprise could be on the cards. Chelsea to win with odds around 4.00* is a bold bet with potential for a substantial payout.

    🎯 Safe Bet

    Let's not beat around the bush. Our editorial team's safe bet suggestion is under 4.5 total goals at 1.30*. Just look at the number of trends supporting this! Yes, both teams have significant defensive issues, but this could actually prompt them to play cautiously. This bet has come through in 13 of the last 14 meetings between these opponents, as well as in Liverpool's last five home games.

    👀 If the Match Doesn't Go as Planned

    Liverpool control the game but struggle to find the net without their key forwards, while Joao Pedro, who has scored 15 goals in the Premier League, punishes the hosts' first mistake. We suggest considering this scenario. It's hard to believe that a deeply troubled Chelsea will leave Anfield with a clean sheet. However, Liverpool themselves are not in great shape, so even the most unlikely scenarios can't be ruled out. If the hosts fail to score early and the match becomes scrappy, consider a live bet on Liverpool under 1.5 total goals.

    *Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers' lines.

    Editor's Prediction

    Liverpool return to Anfield, where they've been performing quite well in the Premier League. The hosts are dealing with some absences-Woodman is in goal, and there are questions in the attacking line-but the visitors are facing even greater challenges. Therefore, we predict a 2-1 victory for the Reds, which would be an important step towards securing a Champions League spot. The main bet is on Chelsea scoring under 1.5 goals, a trend that has held in the last five head-to-head meetings at Anfield. The Blues are in a severe crisis. They lack creativity in attack-plenty of shots but minimal real threat to opponents' goals. Plus, they have the FA Cup final next week, offering a chance to salvage a dismal season. So Callum McFarlane might rest his key attackers.

    Our choice
    Chelsea Total goals Under (1.5) at odds of -161*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (7 May 2026, 10:05)

    Betting Tips: Liverpool - Chelsea

    Chelsea have lost
    chelsea-fcin last 6 games (Premier League).
    Liverpool Win
    Everygame
    +105
    Liverpool have not lost
    liverpool-fc-1chelsea-fcin 9 of last 10 home games against Chelsea (Premier League).
    liverpool-fc-1chelsea-fcin 7 of last 8 home games against Chelsea.
    liverpool-fc-1in 10 of last 11 home games (Premier League).
    Chelsea have not won
    chelsea-fcin 9 of last 10 games (Premier League).
    Liverpool will not lose
    Everygame
    -303
    Liverpool have scored
    liverpool-fc-1in last 14 games (Premier League).
    liverpool-fc-1in 11 of last 12 home games.
    liverpool-fc-1in last 7 home games (Premier League).
    Chelsea have conceded
    chelsea-fcin 16 of last 17 away games.
    chelsea-fcin last 13 games (Premier League).
    chelsea-fcin last 9 away games (Premier League).
    Liverpool will score goal
    Everygame
    -625
    Liverpool have scored under 2.5 goals
    liverpool-fc-1chelsea-fcin 14 of last 16 home games against Chelsea.
    liverpool-fc-1chelsea-fcin 13 of last 14 games against Chelsea.
    liverpool-fc-1chelsea-fcin 10 of last 11 games against Chelsea (Premier League).
    liverpool-fc-1in 7 of last 8 games.
    liverpool-fc-1in 6 of last 7 games (Premier League).
    Liverpool Total goals Under (2.5)
    MyBookie
    -222
    View more facts

    Liverpool - Chelsea Table position

    Premier League 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    4.
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    381981156-4965
    5.
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    381791263-5360
    6.
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    381318758-5457
    9.
    Brentford
    Brentford
    3814111355-5253
    10.
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    3814101458-5252
    11.
    Fulham
    Fulham
    381571647-5152

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 3
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 6
    10 matches
    Scored - 13
    Conceded - 19
    -6
    -2
    13 - Scored
    15 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    3
    2
    Draws
    1
    5
    Loses
    6
    Goal difference
    13
    Scored
    13
    19
    Conceded
    15
    3.2
    Match goals average
    2.8
    1.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.3
    1.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.5
    6
    Both teams scored
    4
    69'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    69'
    View all stats