Sarpsborg vs Aalesunds Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 25 October 2026
🔊 Two weeks ago, Sarpsborg left Ålesund with all three points after a 4-2 victory. Repeating that feat won’t come easy this time: the hosts have now gone four straight Eliteserien home matches without a win. The visitors, though, have more at stake-Aalesund sit 14th in the table, just five points clear of the relegation zone. Can they get their revenge?
Head-to-Head
Sarpsborg claimed a 4-2 away victory over Aalesund in their most recent Eliteserien head-to-head. Interestingly, the hosts registered more shots on goal-23 to Sarpsborg’s 18-and created more dangerous attacks, 67 compared to 45. However, the expected goals for both sides were nearly identical: 2.24 versus 2.25.
In 22 head-to-head clashes, Sarpsborg have claimed 11 victories, while Aalesund have come out on top seven times. Four encounters have ended in a draw. On home turf, Sarpsborg have won seven out of ten meetings, suffering defeat only twice.
Head-to-head statistics Sarpsborg - Aalesunds
Sarpsborg Team Overview
In their previous match, Sarpsborg fell to Rosenborg with a 0-3 defeat. Despite the loss, the hosts managed five shots on target-just one fewer than their opponents-but failed to find the back of the net.
Sarpsborg currently sit in tenth place, but there’s little room for comfort: just four points separate the hosts from Aalesund in 14th, with seven rounds still to play. Their main issue lies up front-Even Sel’s side have found the net only 28 times in 23 matches, a tally better than just three other Eliteserien clubs. Last round made those struggles painfully clear, as Sarpsborg suffered a 3-0 home defeat to Rosenborg.
“Right now, we’re simply not dangerous enough in attack, and that makes winning very difficult,” admitted assistant coach Mikkel Bjørnstad after the match. Sarpsborg midfielder Sander Kristiansen was already looking ahead to their next challenge: “There’s no time for self-pity. We just have to keep working and prepare for Aalesund.”
Match Results: Sarpsborg
Aalesunds Team Overview
Aalesund cruised to a 4-1 victory over Kristiansund in their latest Eliteserien fixture. After going into halftime level, the visitors struck three times in the second half, despite holding just 40% possession and trailing in dangerous attacks-37 to Kristiansund’s 60.
In the Eliteserien, Aalesund have scored 39 goals and conceded 51. They have found the net in 15 consecutive league matches, but have managed just one clean sheet in their last 23 outings. In the previous round, Kjetil Rekdal’s side were once again rescued by their attack, as Aalesund claimed a 4-1 away win over fellow strugglers Kristiansund. Substitute captain Paul Ngongo, making his return from an injury sustained back in December, was among the scorers.
Match Results: Aalesunds
Total Goals Prediction
There have been at least three goals scored in each of the last five head-to-head clashes between Sarpsborg and Aalesund. Aalesund are finding the net with ease right now, racking up 35 goals in their last ten outings. Meanwhile, Sarpsborg have been conceding plenty on home turf. We don’t expect this one to be limited to just two goals. Our pick: over 2.5 total goals.
Corners Prediction
Aalesund’s away fixtures tend to deliver plenty of corners: in six of their last seven on the road, both teams have combined for at least 12. We’re expecting another high tally this time around, with no fewer than 12 corners likely.The pick - total corners over 11.5.
Correct Score Prediction
The three most likely outcomes for this match are 1-1 (9.45%), 1-2 (7.62%), and 2-1 (7.55%). Of these, the 1-1 draw stands out as the most probable result.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Sarpsborg have managed just one win in their last eight Eliteserien fixtures. Meanwhile, Aalesund have found the net in each of their last eight league away games. If that trend continues, the hosts will need at least two goals to secure victory. However, Sarpsborg haven't scored more than twice at home in 15 consecutive Eliteserien matches. That means conceding twice could spell trouble for the hosts, so we expect Aalesund to leave with at least a point. Our pick - Aalesund double chance.
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Betting Tips: Sarpsborg - Aalesunds
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