Bodo Glimt vs Valerenga Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 24 October 2026
🔊 In six days, Bodø/Glimt will host Viking in a match that could decide the title. But first, the leaders cannot afford to slip up against Vålerenga. The top two sides in the Eliteserien are level on 56 points, with the hosts ahead only on goal difference. The visitors need the win just as badly: Vålerenga are fighting to stay out of the playoff zone. Whose motivation will prove stronger?
Head-to-Head
Bodø/Glimt beat Vålerenga in their most recent head-to-head meeting in the Eliteserien. The shots were level at 15 apiece, but the visitors had more attempts from inside the box (12 to 8) and created more chances by xG (1.99 to 1.12).
Across 38 head-to-head meetings, Bodø/Glimt have won 13 and Vålerenga 11, with 14 draws. Bodø/Glimt also lead on goals, 65-54, and both teams have scored in 25 of those meetings.
Head-to-head statistics Bodo Glimt - Valerenga
Bodo/Glimt Team Overview
Bodø/Glimt lost to Napoli (3:4) in their last Champions League match. It was a high-scoring defeat, despite the visitors holding the advantage in both possession (57%) and xG (2.23 vs 1.68).
Bodø/Glimt's biggest problem right now is the fixture schedule. On Tuesday, Kjetil Knutsen's side lost to Napoli (3-4) in the Champions League. Four days later they have another match, and the manager himself has described the schedule as a bottleneck. The squad depth is limited: three players were carrying injuries ahead of the trip to Ham-Kam. The home ground at Aspmyra does offer some comfort, though - Bodø/Glimt have won 19 of their last 20 matches there. Any slip now would give Viking the chance to overtake the leaders before the two sides meet head-to-head.
Match Results: Bodo/Glimt
Valerenga Team Overview
Vålerenga beat Brann 3-1 at home in their previous Eliteserien match. Brann had 67% possession and launched more than twice as many dangerous attacks - 92 to 39 - but Vålerenga were more accurate in front of goal, putting 10 shots on target to Brann's 7.
One evening was enough for Vålerenga to pull themselves out of the danger zone. Johannes Mosgor's side had gone eight consecutive Eliteserien matches without a win, slipping to 14th place in that time. They ended the run on 18 October with a convincing 3-1 victory over Brann, with striker Lucas Ravn Harén scoring twice. For his second goal, the Dane lobbed the goalkeeper with a volley from more than 35 metres. Vålerenga are now 11th, though 14th-placed Ålesund are only two points behind. The same weakness remains - their defence: 46 goals conceded in 23 matches.
Match Results: Valerenga
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Statistics: Bodo/Glimt (Home) vs Valerenga (Away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
- Number of wins: 9 (81.82%) vs 2 (18.18%);
- Number of losses: 1 (9.09%) vs 6 (54.55%);
- Number of draws: 1 (9.09%) vs 3 (27.27%);
- Average total goals scored: 1.36 vs 2;
- Average total goals conceded: 0.18 vs 1.27.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 4 vs 2;
- Number of losses: 1 vs 5;
- Number of draws: 5 vs 3;
- Average first half total: 1.6 (scored - 1, conceded - 0.6) vs 2.4 (scored - 1.1, conceded - 1.3).
- Bodo/Glimt have won the 1st half in 7 of last 8 home games (Eliteserien).
Match Result Prediction
H2H:
- number of encounters - 38;
- home team wins - 13, away team wins - 11, draws - 14.
Statistics: Bodo/Glimt vs Valerenga
- matches played in the tournament: 23 vs 23;
- wins: 18 vs 7;
- win percentage: 78% vs 30%;
- losses: 3 vs 11;
- draws: 2 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 7 vs 3;
- losses: 3 vs 4;
- draws: 0 vs 3.
- Valerenga won with a +2.5 handicap in last 8 games (Eliteserien).
- Valerenga won with a +2.5 handicap in last 7 away games.
- Valerenga won with a +2.5 handicap in last 5 away games (Eliteserien).
Total Goals Prediction
None of Vålerenga's last five matches have featured more than four goals. High-scoring games are also rare for Bodø/Glimt: six goals or more appeared in just one of their last 28 matches. We expect this game to stay within four goals. The bet is Total Goals - Under 4.5.
Corners Prediction
Against Bodø/Glimt, Vålerenga barely win corners: they had more than two in only one of their last eight head-to-head meetings. In all other league matches, the picture is the opposite - Vålerenga have had at least three corners in 19 consecutive league matches. We put more faith in the head-to-head history here. The bet is Vålerenga Team Total Corners - Under 2.5.
Yellow Cards Prediction
Bodo/Glimt: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 0.57; at home - 0.36;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 0.6; at home - 0.5.
Valerenga: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.96, away - 2.18;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.3; away - 1.33.
- Under 3.5 yellow cards in 6 of last 7 Bodo/Glimt games.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
H2H:
- number of encounters - 38;
- both teams scored all-time - 25 times;
- on the home team’s field - 9 times.
Statistics: Bodo/Glimt vs Valerenga
- number of matches played in the tournament: 23 vs 23;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 10 vs 14;
- number of BTTS matches for Bodo/Glimt at home - 4 (36%);
- number of BTTS matches for Valerenga away - 6 (55%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 9;
- BTTS matches for Bodo/Glimt at home - 3 (75%);
- BTTS matches for Valerenga away - 5 (83%).
- Bodo/Glimt have scored and conceded in last 6 games against Valerenga.
- Bodo/Glimt have scored and conceded in last 5 games against Valerenga (Eliteserien).
- Bodo/Glimt have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games (Eliteserien).
- Valerenga have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 games.
- Valerenga have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 games (Eliteserien).
- Valerenga have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 away games.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely scorelines in this match are 2-1 (9.64%), 3-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The 2-1 result has the highest probability, though the gap between the first and second most frequent scorelines is not particularly large.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Goals from the home side look almost certain: Bodø/Glimt have scored in 16 consecutive Eliteserien matches. The visiting defence shouldn't prove much of a barrier either - Vålerenga have gone 21 league games in a row without keeping a clean sheet. The only question is whether Mos's side will be able to respond. The statistics are in their favour here: in 7 of their last 8 Eliteserien matches, Vålerenga have both scored and conceded. We expect the league leaders to take three points ahead of their match against Viking, even if they fail to keep a clean sheet on this occasion. Our bet: Both Teams to Score.
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Betting Tips: Bodo/Glimt - Valerenga
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in 7 of last 8 home games (Eliteserien).in 13 of last 14 games against Valerenga.in 11 of last 12 games against Valerenga (Eliteserien).in last 10 home games against Valerenga (Eliteserien).in 23 of last 25 games.in 19 of last 20 home games.in 15 of last 16 games (Eliteserien).in 12 of last 13 home games (Eliteserien).in 9 of last 10 away games (Eliteserien).in 8 of last 9 games (Eliteserien).
in 27 of last 28 Bodo/Glimt games (Eliteserien).in 22 of last 23 Bodo/Glimt home games.in 12 of last 13 Bodo/Glimt home games (Eliteserien).in 7 of last 8 Valerenga away games (Eliteserien).in last 6 Valerenga games.Comparison of Teams Stats
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