River Plate vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction 4 May 2025

    🔊 The upcoming clash between River Plate and Velez Sarsfield promises to be intriguing from a tactical and strategic standpoint. Both teams have their unique characteristics: the hosts are known for their solid defense, while the visitors aim to capitalize on counter-attacks. Despite the difference in league standings, each club is motivated to secure a win. River Plate are in third place, positioning them to contend for the title or a playoff spot. Velez Sarsfield are eager to improve their current 11th position. Both teams will be looking to showcase their best.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 19 October 2024 and ended with a scoreline of 1:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - River Plate ):

    • ball possession percentage: 67% vs 33%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 2;
    • fouls: 12 vs 13;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 2.

    📊 Statistical preview of official matches between River Plate and Velez Sarsfield:

    • 33 matches played;
    • home wins - 10, away wins - 12, draws - 11;
    • goals scored - 40 against 33;
    • average total in the first half - 1.03, second half - 1.18;
    • average total goals per match - 2.21.

    Head-to-head statistics River Plate - Velez Sarsfield

    30%
    11 Wins
    35%
    13 Draws
    35%
    13 Wins
    Total games
    37
    Total Goals Avg
    2.24
    Both teams scored
    46%
    1.24
    Total average
    1
    1.84
    Yellow cards
    2.16
    Last matches
    23.08.26
    Primera Division
    River Plate
    River Plate
    Velez Sarsfield
    Velez Sarsfield
    0.79
    0.98
    3
    5
    13
    13
    2
    1
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    0.79
    0.98
    3
    5
    13
    13
    2
    1
    22.02.26
    Primera Division
    Velez Sarsfield
    Velez Sarsfield
    River Plate
    River Plate
    0.77
    0.59
    5
    7
    9
    14
    1
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0.77
    0.59
    5
    7
    9
    14
    1
    3
    16.11.25
    Primera Division
    Velez Sarsfield
    Velez Sarsfield
    River Plate
    River Plate
    0.71
    1.17
    6
    3
    14
    17
    1
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.71
    1.17
    6
    3
    14
    17
    1
    3
    04.05.25
    Primera Division
    River Plate
    River Plate
    Velez Sarsfield
    Velez Sarsfield
    1
    2.12
    0.75
    6
    2
    15
    18
    3
    3
    4
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2.12
    0.75
    6
    2
    15
    18
    3
    3
    19.10.24
    Primera Division
    River Plate
    River Plate
    Velez Sarsfield
    Velez Sarsfield
    -
    -
    5
    2
    12
    13
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    2
    12
    13
    1
    2
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    There are no events
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    River Plate Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - River Plate , away team - Boca Juniors). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.

    Here's the game statistics (River Plate vs Boca Juniors):

    • ball possession: 46% vs 54%;
    • corner kicks: 4 vs 5;
    • fouls: 12 vs 13;
    • yellow cards: 6 vs 5;
    • shots on target: 9 vs 2.

    River Plate demonstrate consistent performances at home, thanks to their solid defense and confident play on their own turf. Their stats speak volumes: they score in nearly every home match and rarely concede to opponents. Over the last ten games, they remain unbeaten, securing four wins and six draws. The team's style can be described as balanced-they effectively control possession and create opportunities through the wings. The nickname "Los Millonarios" aligns with their ambitions to stay at the top of the league table.

    Match Results: River Plate

    Last matches
    27.08.26
    sudamericana
    River Plate
    River Plate
    Independiente Santa Fe
    Independiente Santa Fe
    2.58
    1.29
    6
    2
    15
    10
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    7
    8
    2.58
    1.29
    6
    2
    15
    10
    2
    1
    L
    23.08.26
    Primera Division
    River Plate
    River Plate
    Velez Sarsfield
    Velez Sarsfield
    0.79
    0.98
    3
    5
    13
    13
    2
    1
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    0.79
    0.98
    3
    5
    13
    13
    2
    1
    D
    20.08.26
    sudamericana
    Independiente Santa Fe
    Independiente Santa Fe
    River Plate
    River Plate
    1.19
    0.07
    2
    2
    10
    16
    1
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.19
    0.07
    2
    2
    10
    16
    1
    3
    D
    16.08.26
    Primera Division
    River Plate
    River Plate
    Argentinos Juniors
    Argentinos Juniors
    1.5
    0.41
    2
    4
    15
    15
    1
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.5
    0.41
    2
    4
    15
    15
    1
    3
    W
    08.08.26
    Primera Division
    Tigre
    Tigre
    River Plate
    River Plate
    0.33
    0.45
    3
    4
    9
    17
    2
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.33
    0.45
    3
    4
    9
    17
    2
    3
    L
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    Velez Sarsfield Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Velez Sarsfield, away - Gimnasia Y Esgrima La Plata). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.

    Here are the match stats (Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia Y Esgrima La Plata):

    • ball possession: 45% vs 55%;
    • corner kicks: 1 vs 3;
    • fouls: 11 vs 17;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 5;
    • shots on target: 1 vs 1.

    Vélez Sarsfield currently sit 11th in the league standings, delivering a mix of results that make them unpredictable opponents for many teams. Their playing style relies on swift counterattacks, yet their finishing often lacks consistency in the final third. In their most recent head-to-head clash with River Plate, the match ended 1-1, showcasing their ability to hold their own against stronger sides, even on the road.

    Match Results: Velez Sarsfield

    Last matches
    23.08.26
    Primera Division
    River Plate
    River Plate
    Velez Sarsfield
    Velez Sarsfield
    0.79
    0.98
    3
    5
    13
    13
    2
    1
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    0.79
    0.98
    3
    5
    13
    13
    2
    1
    D
    17.08.26
    Primera Division
    Velez Sarsfield
    Velez Sarsfield
    Defensa y Justicia
    Defensa y Justicia
    0.86
    1.48
    6
    9
    15
    19
    4
    3
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.86
    1.48
    6
    9
    15
    19
    4
    3
    D
    08.08.26
    Primera Division
    Boca Juniors
    Boca Juniors
    Velez Sarsfield
    Velez Sarsfield
    1.23
    0.33
    5
    4
    12
    10
    2
    4
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1.23
    0.33
    5
    4
    12
    10
    2
    4
    D
    03.08.26
    Primera Division
    Velez Sarsfield
    Velez Sarsfield
    Independiente
    Independiente
    1.14
    0.41
    4
    4
    17
    13
    3
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.14
    0.41
    4
    4
    17
    13
    3
    2
    W
    30.07.26
    Primera Division
    Talleres de Cordoba
    Talleres de Cordoba
    Velez Sarsfield
    Velez Sarsfield
    1.52
    1.19
    8
    5
    10
    6
    2
    1
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    1.52
    1.19
    8
    5
    10
    6
    2
    1
    W
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 33;
    • home team wins - 10, away team wins - 12, draws - 11.

    Statistics: River Plate vs Velez Sarsfield

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
    • number of wins: 7 vs 4;
    • win percentage: 47% vs 27%;
    • number of losses: 1 vs 9;
    • number of draws: 7 vs 2.

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of wins: 4 vs 6;
    • number of losses: 0 vs 4;
    • number of draws: 6 vs 0.
    Trends
    • Velez Sarsfield won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 games against River Plate (Primera Division).
    • Velez Sarsfield won with a +1.5 handicap in last 10 games.
    • Velez Sarsfield won with a +1.5 handicap in last 7 games (Primera Division).
    • Velez Sarsfield won with a +1.5 handicap in last 6 away games.
    👉Prediction: Velez Sarsfield Handicap (+1,5)(odds: 1.49)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.21, the guests - 1;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.21;
    • both teams scored: overall - 15; at the home team's field - 6.

    Statistics: River Plate vs Velez Sarsfield

    • average total in the tournament: 1.67 vs 1.6;
    • average total goals scored: 1.13 vs 0.4;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.33 vs 0.13;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.8 vs 0.27;
    • River Plate : average total at home in the tournament -  1.25;
    • Velez Sarsfield: average total away in the tournament - 0.57;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 1.4) vs 1.3 (away - 1.8).
    Trends
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in last 6 River Plate games against Velez Sarsfield (Primera Division).
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in last 5 River Plate games against Velez Sarsfield.
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in last 5 River Plate games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Total goals Over (1,5)(odds: 1.35)

    Prediction on corners

    River Plate : Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.07; at home field - 4.5;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.4; at home field - 5.8.

    Velez Sarsfield: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.07, away - 2.57;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.7; away - 3.4.
    Trends
    • Over 8.5 corners in 6 of last 7 River Plate games against Velez Sarsfield (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Over (8,5)(odds: 1.62)

    Prediction on cards

    H2H

    • average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.46 (1.73 for home team and 1.73 for away team);
    • average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.69 (1.44 for home team and 2.25 for away team).

    River Plate : Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.87; at home - 3;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.2; at home - 2.8.

    Velez Sarsfield: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.67, away - 3.14;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.6; away - 2.8.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Over (5,5)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 33;
    • both teams scored all-time - 15 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 6 times.

    Statistics: River Plate vs Velez Sarsfield

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 5 vs 2;
    • number of BTTS matches for River Plate at home - 3 (38%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Velez Sarsfield away - 2 (29%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 4;
    • BTTS matches for River Plate at home - 3 (60%);
    • BTTS matches for Velez Sarsfield away - 3 (60%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No)(odds: 1.51)

    Editor's Prediction

    Considering the current form of both teams and their positions in the standings, we anticipate a tense battle with the home side focusing on ball control. However, Vélez Sarsfield will be looking to capitalize on their counter-attacking abilities. Based on betting trends and recent match statistics between these teams, a well-founded choice would be to back Vélez Sarsfield with a +1.5 handicap. This outcome has frequently been recorded in their head-to-head encounters and throughout the tournament overall.

    Velez Sarsfield Handicap (+1,5)
    Published: 03/05/2025, 09:17

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    Betting Tips: River Plate - Velez Sarsfield

    River Plate have drawn in the 2nd half:
    ca-river-platein last 5 home games.
    2nd Half Draw
    Everygame
    +145
    River Plate have not lost:
    ca-river-platevelez-sarsfieldin 8 of last 9 home games against Velez Sarsfield.
    ca-river-platein 19 of last 20 games.
    ca-river-platein 16 of last 17 home games.
    ca-river-platein 14 of last 15 games (Primera Division).
    ca-river-platein 12 of last 13 home games (Primera Division).
    River Plate will not lose
    Everygame
    -909
    River Plate have scored under 2.5 goals:
    ca-river-platevelez-sarsfieldin 21 of last 22 games against Velez Sarsfield (Primera Division).
    ca-river-platevelez-sarsfieldin 10 of last 11 games against Velez Sarsfield.
    ca-river-platevelez-sarsfieldin 9 of last 10 home games against Velez Sarsfield (Primera Division).
    ca-river-platein 20 of last 21 games.
    ca-river-platein 15 of last 16 games (Primera Division).
    ca-river-platein last 11 home games.
    ca-river-platein last 8 home games (Primera Division).
    River Plate Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    -357
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    ca-river-platevelez-sarsfieldin last 6 River Plate games against Velez Sarsfield (Primera Division).
    ca-river-platevelez-sarsfieldin last 5 River Plate games against Velez Sarsfield.
    ca-river-platein last 5 River Plate games (Primera Division).
    in 8 of last 9 Andres Merlos games.
    in 7 of last 8 Andres Merlos games (in the Primera Division).
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Everygame
    -250
    View more facts

    River Plate - Velez Sarsfield Table position

    Apertura Group B
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Club Atletico Rosario Central
    Club Atletico Rosario Central
    16105122-835
    2.
    River Plate
    River Plate
    1687121-931
    3.
    Independiente
    Independiente
    1685323-1229
    12.
    Sarmiento Junin
    Sarmiento Junin
    1629511-1915
    13.
    Velez Sarsfield
    Velez Sarsfield
    1642107-2214
    14.
    Talleres de Cordoba
    Talleres de Cordoba
    1627711-1513

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    6 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 5
    Lose - 1
    10 matches
    Scored - 9
    Conceded - 10
    -1
    +5
    14 - Scored
    9 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    4
    2
    Draws
    5
    6
    Loses
    1
    Goal difference
    9
    Scored
    14
    10
    Conceded
    9
    1.9
    Match goals average
    2.3
    0.9
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.4
    1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.9
    3
    Both teams scored
    6
    100'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    64'
    View all stats