Velez Sarsfield vs River Plate Prediction 16 November 2025
📢 What to expect from the clash between Vélez Sarsfield and River Plate in the 16th round of the Primera? Vélez Sarsfield are showing decent form, currently sitting fourth in the table, although their recent results have been less than stellar. Meanwhile, River Plate are in sixth place and are eager to solidify their standing after a series of defeats. Both teams are known for their attacking style of play, which could result in a thrilling encounter.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 04 May 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 4:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - River Plate ):
- ball possession percentage: 59% vs 41%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 2;
- fouls: 15 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 8 vs 3.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Velez Sarsfield and River Plate :
- played 34 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 12, for the away team - 11, draws - 11;
- number of goals - 34 against 44;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.12, in the 2nd half - 1.18;
- average total goals in the match - 2.29.
Head-to-head statistics Velez Sarsfield - River Plate

Velez Sarsfield Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Gimnasia Y Esgrima La Plata, away team - Velez Sarsfield). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.
Here's the game statistics (Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia Y Esgrima La Plata):
- ball possession: 63% vs 37%;
- corner kicks: 14 vs 3;
- fouls: 11 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 1 vs 6.
Vélez Sarsfield currently hold the fourth spot in the standings. Despite a low average of 0.84 goals per match, the team is capable of creating dangerous chances in front of the opponent's goal thanks to their dynamic play. Their recent form has been mixed: one victory, three defeats, and a draw in their last five matches, highlighting their inconsistency. They will need to show resilience in their home game against one of the country's top clubs.
Match Results: Velez Sarsfield

River Plate Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Boca Juniors, away - River Plate ). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.
Here are the match stats (River Plate vs Boca Juniors):
- ball possession: 55% vs 45%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 2;
- fouls: 19 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 7 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 7.
River Plate rank among the top teams in the Argentine championship, currently sitting sixth in the standings, largely due to their impressive scoring rate of 1.36 goals per match. However, their recent form has been less than stellar, with eight losses and just two wins in their last ten outings, highlighting issues both in defense and attack. In their previous head-to-head encounter, they convincingly defeated Velez 4-1, but achieving a similar result will require serious focus from all players.
Match Results: River Plate
Latest news
Velez Sarsfield
Vélez Sarsfield's list of absentees remains extensive. Imanol Machuca will miss the match due to suspension, while Elías Gómez is sidelined because of an accumulation of yellow cards. Additionally, Álvaro Montero is unavailable due to international duty. The injury list is also substantial: Braian Romero is nursing a hamstring injury and is expected back by the end of November, while Emanuel Mammana is recovering from an ankle dislocation and remains doubtful. Lisandro Magallán is out for the season with a fractured cheekbone. Injuries are also troubling Roberto García (ankle) and Thiago Fernandes, who has damaged cruciate ligaments-both are targeting a return by the end of November.
River Plate
River Plate are also dealing with a challenging squad situation. Matias Galarza and Kevin Castaño are unavailable due to international duty. Lucas Martinez and Marcos Acuña will miss the game because of yellow card suspensions. Agustin Ruberto (knee injury) and Facundo Colidio (hamstring) remain sidelined, both targeting a return by the end of November. German Pezzella and Giorgio Constantini are out for the season with ACL tears. Maximiliano Meza won't be available either, as he is recovering from a knee injury and is expected back no earlier than late January 2026.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 34;
- home team wins - 12, away team wins - 11, draws - 11.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 1.29;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.29;
- both teams scored: overall - 16; at the home team's field - 9.
Statistics: Velez Sarsfield vs River Plate
- average total in the tournament: 1.94 vs 2.12;
- average total goals scored: 0.84 vs 1.36;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.42 vs 0.73;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.42 vs 0.64;
- Velez Sarsfield: average total at home in the tournament - 0.87;
- River Plate : average total away in the tournament - 1.13;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1) vs 0.6 (away - 0.71).
- Velez Sarsfield have conceded in last 7 games against River Plate (Primera Division).
- Velez Sarsfield have conceded in 8 of last 9 games.
Prediction on corners
Velez Sarsfield: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.03; at home field - 6.07;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.8; at home field - 5.25.
River Plate : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.15, away - 4.13;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.5; away - 4.
- Velez Sarsfield have taken under 4.5 corners in 7 of last 8 games against River Plate (Primera Division).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4.48 (2.24 for home team and 2.24 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 4 (2 for home team and 2 for away team).
Velez Sarsfield: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3; at home - 2.47;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.7; at home - 2.5.
River Plate : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.06, away - 3.33;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.3; away - 4.14.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 34;
- both teams scored all-time - 16 times;
- on the home team’s field - 9 times.
- Velez Sarsfield have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games against River Plate (Primera Division).
Editor's Prediction
This is the marquee match of the round, yet both teams enter it far from their best form. Velez Sarsfield have lost momentum recently, frequently dropping points, while River Plate are enduring an even tougher stretch with a series of defeats. However, with the playoffs looming, both sides need to improve their standings, making this a crucial encounter. Notably, in their last seven head-to-head clashes, the total goals exceeded 1.5, indicating a tendency for open and high-scoring games despite their current struggles.