Sporting vs Porto Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 The championship rivalry has spilled over into the cup matches as well. This is the semi-final of the Portuguese Cup, featuring Sporting and Porto. The return leg is scheduled for April. Who will come out on top? Let's delve into this matchup. Our editorial team offers a prediction for this event.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 We have a long-standing rivalry between two giants. This season, Porto are performing better. The last encounter between these teams ended in a draw in February 2026.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    33%
    20 Wins
    26%
    16 Draws
    41%
    25 Wins
    Total games
    61
    Total Goals Avg
    2.74
    Both teams scored
    51%
    1.33
    Total average
    1.41
    2.64
    Yellow cards
    2.25
    Last matches
    22.04.26
    Taca de Portugal
    Porto
    Porto
    1
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    -
    -
    6
    4
    22
    8
    3
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    4
    22
    8
    3
    3
    03.03.26
    Taca de Portugal
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Porto
    Porto
    2.01
    0.32
    6
    3
    12
    23
    2
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    2.01
    0.32
    6
    3
    12
    23
    2
    3
    09.02.26
    Primeira Liga
    Porto
    Porto
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    0.85
    1.37
    1
    8
    14
    12
    3
    5
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0.85
    1.37
    1
    8
    14
    12
    3
    5
    30.08.25
    Primeira Liga
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Porto
    Porto
    0.9
    1.54
    5
    3
    8
    15
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    0.9
    1.54
    5
    3
    8
    15
    3
    3
    07.02.25
    Primeira Liga
    Porto
    Porto
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    2
    1.37
    0.93
    6
    3
    16
    14
    1
    4
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.37
    0.93
    6
    3
    16
    14
    1
    4
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    Sporting Lisbon Team Overview

    🟢 The "Lions" are in excellent form as they continue their pursuit of Porto in the league. We're set for a clash between the two most consistent teams in Portugal at the moment. Sporting last tasted defeat in early January and have since won nine out of ten matches, with just one draw. It's crucial to understand how important this cup tie is for the team.

    ⚪️ Sporting are out of contention for the Champions League knockout stages, having finished in the top eight. Up next is Bodø/Glimt. A favorable draw indeed. The club confidently secured victory in their most recent match at the end of last week, a routine 3-0 win over Estoril. Suárez bagged a brace by the 16th minute, effectively sealing the win. It's a solid warm-up ahead of the week's marquee matchup.

    Match Results: Sporting Lisbon

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    Taca de Portugal
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    1
    SCU Torreense
    SCU Torreense
    -
    -
    20
    2
    16
    17
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    20
    2
    16
    17
    3
    3
    L
    16.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    1.67
    0.88
    6
    1
    13
    14
    0
    1
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1.67
    0.88
    6
    1
    13
    14
    0
    1
    W
    11.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Rio Ave
    Rio Ave
    2
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    0.81
    1.82
    5
    6
    9
    7
    1
    2
    1
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0.81
    1.82
    5
    6
    9
    7
    1
    2
    W
    04.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    4.23
    0.52
    1
    7
    7
    13
    0
    3
    5
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    4.23
    0.52
    1
    7
    7
    13
    0
    3
    W
    29.04.26
    Primeira Liga
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Tondela
    Tondela
    2.19
    1.41
    5
    5
    16
    8
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    2.19
    1.41
    5
    5
    16
    8
    2
    3
    D
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    Porto Team Overview

    🔵 The "Dragons" have performed slightly worse over the same stretch compared to Sporting, but the difference is minimal. Porto suffered a loss to Casa Pia (1-2). Otherwise, there aren't many complaints. Even in their head-to-head against Sporting, Porto were the better side but were unlucky to concede late. Currently, the club leads the Portuguese league, with Sporting trailing by 4 points. One slip-up could heighten the tension to its peak.

    ⚪️ Porto are competing in the Europa League and have secured a spot in the top eight, allowing them to calmly await their opponent. They will face German side Stuttgart. As for their latest Primeira Liga match, Porto played on the same day as Sporting and managed a hard-fought victory over Arouca (3-1). Don't be misled by the scoreline, as the team scored two goals in added time, despite having a significant advantage throughout the match. These were tough three points from a psychological standpoint. There's plenty to ponder.

    Match Results: Porto

    Last matches
    16.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Porto
    Porto
    Santa Clara Azores
    Santa Clara Azores
    1.04
    0.59
    8
    5
    11
    9
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.04
    0.59
    8
    5
    11
    9
    0
    0
    W
    10.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    AVS Futebol Sad
    AVS Futebol Sad
    Porto
    Porto
    1
    0.56
    3.04
    3
    7
    7
    9
    2
    0
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    1
    0.56
    3.04
    3
    7
    7
    9
    2
    0
    L
    02.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Porto
    Porto
    Alverca
    Alverca
    0.87
    0.6
    5
    4
    21
    19
    1
    4
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0.87
    0.6
    5
    4
    21
    19
    1
    4
    W
    26.04.26
    Primeira Liga
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Porto
    Porto
    1.43
    2.03
    0
    6
    15
    15
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    1.43
    2.03
    0
    6
    15
    15
    3
    3
    W
    22.04.26
    Taca de Portugal
    Porto
    Porto
    1
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    -
    -
    6
    4
    22
    8
    3
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    4
    22
    8
    3
    3
    D
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Sporting Lisbon

    🎙 Sporting's CEO commented on the Champions League Round of 16 draw: "Regarding the draw, we always knew it would be very challenging. Real Madrid are one of the best clubs in the world, and I believe Bodo/Glimt are having a fantastic season. Looking at recent history, all the big clubs that have played away against Bodo have faced many difficulties. So, we anticipate a very tough game in the first leg in Norway. But, of course, we cannot forget that they traveled to Milan and defeated Inter. We will need to prepare very well."

    ❌ Sporting continue to have Zeno Debast and Giovanni Quenda undergoing treatment. Fotis Ioannidis is doubtful for the match.

    Porto

    🎙 Francesco Farioli spoke after the 3-1 victory against Arouca: “First and foremost, I want to send a message on behalf of the team: this win is dedicated to Borja Sainz and his family, who are going through tough times. Borja Sainz is a wonderful person, and we hope he rejoins us soon. We played a fantastic first half and could have scored more before the break. I must also highlight the team's response after conceding a goal, as we took seven or eight shots and created several scoring opportunities. By halftime, we deserved to have scored two or three goals, but our attacking play was very strong. We went into the break with a high expected goals figure. We did everything we could, and in terms of effectiveness, we achieved a lot.”

    ❌ Luuk de Jong and Nehuén Pérez have been sidelined for a while. Samu will also not feature. Martim Fernandes is doubtful for the match.

    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 59;
    • First-half wins at home for hosts - 9; for visitors away - 2; number of draws - 14;
    • Average first-half total: 1.02;
    • Today's home team scores on average 0.54, while the visitors net 0.47.

    First-Half Stats: Sporting Lisbon (home) vs Porto (away)

    • matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 0;
    • wins: 2 (100%) vs 0 (0%);
    • losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
    • draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
    • Average goals scored: 1.5 vs 0;
    • Average goals conceded: 0 vs 0.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • wins: 4 vs 5;
    • losses: 1 vs 2;
    • draws: 5 vs 3;
    • Average first-half total: 0.9 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.2) vs 1.1 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.4).
    Trends
    • Sporting Lisbon have drawn in the 1st half in last 6 games against Porto (Taca de Portugal).
    👉Prediction: 1st Half Draw(odds: 1.91)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 59;
    • home team wins - 19, away team wins - 25, draws - 15.
    👉Prediction: Sporting Lisbon Handicap (0)(odds: 1.49)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.36, the guests - 1.46;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.81;
    • both teams scored: overall - 31; at the home team's field - 13.

    Statistics: Sporting Lisbon vs Porto

    • average total in the tournament: 4.5 vs 3.25;
    • average total goals scored: 3 vs 3;
    • average total in the 1st half: 1.25 vs 1.25;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 1.75 vs 1.75;
    • Sporting Lisbon: average total at home in the tournament -  3;
    • Porto: average total away in the tournament - 0;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 2.3 (home - 2.33) vs 1.6 (away - 1).
    Trends
    • Sporting Lisbon have conceded in 8 of last 9 games against Porto (Taca de Portugal).
    • Porto have scored in last 25 games.
    • Porto have scored in 16 of last 17 away games.
    👉Prediction: Porto will score goal(odds: 1.49)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 59;
    • both teams scored all-time - 31 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 13 times.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No)(odds: 1.78)

    Editor's Prediction

    Porto are not an easy team to beat this season, as their stats clearly show. They have a knack for finding solutions in tough situations, and their recent match against Arouca could serve as a warm-up for more significant challenges ahead. Sporting, on the other hand, have struggled in recent encounters with Porto, finding it difficult to create scoring opportunities. It feels like the first leg of this clash might not yield much, with both teams potentially waiting for April's showdown. Our insight: Porto will not lose. Francesco Farioli's side are capable of securing a positive result on the road.

    Our choice
    Porto will not lose at odds of -154*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (2 March 2026, 06:06)

    Betting Tips: Sporting Lisbon - Porto

    Sporting Lisbon have drawn in the 1st half
    sporting-cpfc-porto-1in last 6 games against Porto (Taca de Portugal).
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +100
    Sporting Lisbon have won
    sporting-cpin last 14 home games.
    sporting-cpin 9 of last 10 games.
    sporting-cpin last 7 games (Taca de Portugal).
    Sporting Lisbon Win
    Bovada
    -114
    Porto have won the 2nd half
    fc-porto-1in last 7 away games.
    2nd Half Porto Win
    Everygame
    +340
    Sporting Lisbon have won the 2nd half
    sporting-cpin 13 of last 14 home games.
    2nd Half Sporting Lisbon Win
    Everygame
    +125
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    4 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 18
    Conceded - 9
    +9
    +4
    13 - Scored
    9 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    5
    4
    Draws
    3
    2
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    18
    Scored
    13
    9
    Conceded
    9
    2.7
    Match goals average
    2.2
    1.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.3
    0.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.9
    6
    Both teams scored
    5
    52'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    69'
    View all stats