Sporting vs Porto Prediction
🔊 The championship rivalry has spilled over into the cup matches as well. This is the semi-final of the Portuguese Cup, featuring Sporting and Porto. The return leg is scheduled for April. Who will come out on top? Let's delve into this matchup. Our editorial team offers a prediction for this event.
Head-to-Head
📊 We have a long-standing rivalry between two giants. This season, Porto are performing better. The last encounter between these teams ended in a draw in February 2026.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Sporting Lisbon Team Overview
🟢 The "Lions" are in excellent form as they continue their pursuit of Porto in the league. We're set for a clash between the two most consistent teams in Portugal at the moment. Sporting last tasted defeat in early January and have since won nine out of ten matches, with just one draw. It's crucial to understand how important this cup tie is for the team.
⚪️ Sporting are out of contention for the Champions League knockout stages, having finished in the top eight. Up next is Bodø/Glimt. A favorable draw indeed. The club confidently secured victory in their most recent match at the end of last week, a routine 3-0 win over Estoril. Suárez bagged a brace by the 16th minute, effectively sealing the win. It's a solid warm-up ahead of the week's marquee matchup.
Match Results: Sporting Lisbon

Porto Team Overview
🔵 The "Dragons" have performed slightly worse over the same stretch compared to Sporting, but the difference is minimal. Porto suffered a loss to Casa Pia (1-2). Otherwise, there aren't many complaints. Even in their head-to-head against Sporting, Porto were the better side but were unlucky to concede late. Currently, the club leads the Portuguese league, with Sporting trailing by 4 points. One slip-up could heighten the tension to its peak.
⚪️ Porto are competing in the Europa League and have secured a spot in the top eight, allowing them to calmly await their opponent. They will face German side Stuttgart. As for their latest Primeira Liga match, Porto played on the same day as Sporting and managed a hard-fought victory over Arouca (3-1). Don't be misled by the scoreline, as the team scored two goals in added time, despite having a significant advantage throughout the match. These were tough three points from a psychological standpoint. There's plenty to ponder.
Match Results: Porto
Latest news
Sporting Lisbon
🎙 Sporting's CEO commented on the Champions League Round of 16 draw: "Regarding the draw, we always knew it would be very challenging. Real Madrid are one of the best clubs in the world, and I believe Bodo/Glimt are having a fantastic season. Looking at recent history, all the big clubs that have played away against Bodo have faced many difficulties. So, we anticipate a very tough game in the first leg in Norway. But, of course, we cannot forget that they traveled to Milan and defeated Inter. We will need to prepare very well."
❌ Sporting continue to have Zeno Debast and Giovanni Quenda undergoing treatment. Fotis Ioannidis is doubtful for the match.
Porto
🎙 Francesco Farioli spoke after the 3-1 victory against Arouca: “First and foremost, I want to send a message on behalf of the team: this win is dedicated to Borja Sainz and his family, who are going through tough times. Borja Sainz is a wonderful person, and we hope he rejoins us soon. We played a fantastic first half and could have scored more before the break. I must also highlight the team's response after conceding a goal, as we took seven or eight shots and created several scoring opportunities. By halftime, we deserved to have scored two or three goals, but our attacking play was very strong. We went into the break with a high expected goals figure. We did everything we could, and in terms of effectiveness, we achieved a lot.”
❌ Luuk de Jong and Nehuén Pérez have been sidelined for a while. Samu will also not feature. Martim Fernandes is doubtful for the match.
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 59;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 9; for visitors away - 2; number of draws - 14;
- Average first-half total: 1.02;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.54, while the visitors net 0.47.
First-Half Stats: Sporting Lisbon (home) vs Porto (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 0;
- wins: 2 (100%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Average goals scored: 1.5 vs 0;
- Average goals conceded: 0 vs 0.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 4 vs 5;
- losses: 1 vs 2;
- draws: 5 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 0.9 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.2) vs 1.1 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.4).
- Sporting Lisbon have drawn in the 1st half in last 6 games against Porto (Taca de Portugal).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 59;
- home team wins - 19, away team wins - 25, draws - 15.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.36, the guests - 1.46;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.81;
- both teams scored: overall - 31; at the home team's field - 13.
Statistics: Sporting Lisbon vs Porto
- average total in the tournament: 4.5 vs 3.25;
- average total goals scored: 3 vs 3;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.25 vs 1.25;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.75 vs 1.75;
- Sporting Lisbon: average total at home in the tournament - 3;
- Porto: average total away in the tournament - 0;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.3 (home - 2.33) vs 1.6 (away - 1).
- Sporting Lisbon have conceded in 8 of last 9 games against Porto (Taca de Portugal).
- Porto have scored in last 25 games.
- Porto have scored in 16 of last 17 away games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 59;
- both teams scored all-time - 31 times;
- on the home team’s field - 13 times.
Editor's Prediction
Porto are not an easy team to beat this season, as their stats clearly show. They have a knack for finding solutions in tough situations, and their recent match against Arouca could serve as a warm-up for more significant challenges ahead. Sporting, on the other hand, have struggled in recent encounters with Porto, finding it difficult to create scoring opportunities. It feels like the first leg of this clash might not yield much, with both teams potentially waiting for April's showdown. Our insight: Porto will not lose. Francesco Farioli's side are capable of securing a positive result on the road.