Porto vs Sporting Prediction

Details
The main thing

    🔊 A thrilling match will wrap up the 21st round of the Portuguese Championship. Two leading teams, separated by just four points, are set to clash. If Porto clinch a victory, they'll significantly widen their lead. However, if Sporting triumph, the title race will be wide open again. Let's consider where to place our bets. Our editorial team offers their prediction for this match.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 These teams share a long-standing rivalry, but the first round of the current tournament holds more significance. The match in August 2025 saw Porto come out on top with a 2-1 victory. All the action unfolded in the second half.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    41%
    25 Wins
    26%
    16 Draws
    33%
    20 Wins
    Total games
    61
    Total Goals Avg
    2.74
    Both teams scored
    51%
    1.41
    Total average
    1.33
    2.25
    Yellow cards
    2.64
    Last matches
    22.04.26
    Taca de Portugal
    Porto
    Porto
    1
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    -
    -
    6
    4
    22
    8
    3
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    4
    22
    8
    3
    3
    03.03.26
    Taca de Portugal
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Porto
    Porto
    2.01
    0.32
    6
    3
    12
    23
    2
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    2.01
    0.32
    6
    3
    12
    23
    2
    3
    09.02.26
    Primeira Liga
    Porto
    Porto
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    0.85
    1.37
    1
    8
    14
    12
    3
    5
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0.85
    1.37
    1
    8
    14
    12
    3
    5
    30.08.25
    Primeira Liga
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Porto
    Porto
    0.9
    1.54
    5
    3
    8
    15
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    0.9
    1.54
    5
    3
    8
    15
    3
    3
    07.02.25
    Primeira Liga
    Porto
    Porto
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    2
    1.37
    0.93
    6
    3
    16
    14
    1
    4
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.37
    0.93
    6
    3
    16
    14
    1
    4
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Porto Team Overview

    🔵 Up until the last round of the championship, the "Dragons" held an unshakeable position. They went undefeated in the tournament, demolishing every opponent in their path. However, the packed schedule took its toll. The team fell to Casa Pia with a 1-2 loss. It's worth noting that Francesco Farioli's squad had to play two matches a week for three consecutive weeks. This included a cup clash with Benfica and the final two rounds of the Europa League. In all cases, they came out on top. The recent defeat could be for the best; such streaks can be burdensome without yielding titles.

    ⚪️ They had time to rest, unlike Sporting, who played a rescheduled cup match. Surely, they've addressed their mistakes. It's also worth highlighting that Porto are free from major injury woes. They need to restore their significant lead in the standings. In the first round, the "Dragons" managed to defeat Sporting away in a closely contested match, with all goals scored by Porto, including an own goal by Nehuén Pérez.

    Match Results: Porto

    Last matches
    16.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Porto
    Porto
    Santa Clara Azores
    Santa Clara Azores
    1.04
    0.59
    8
    5
    11
    9
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.04
    0.59
    8
    5
    11
    9
    0
    0
    W
    10.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    AVS Futebol Sad
    AVS Futebol Sad
    Porto
    Porto
    1
    0.56
    3.04
    3
    7
    7
    9
    2
    0
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    1
    0.56
    3.04
    3
    7
    7
    9
    2
    0
    L
    02.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Porto
    Porto
    Alverca
    Alverca
    0.87
    0.6
    5
    4
    21
    19
    1
    4
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0.87
    0.6
    5
    4
    21
    19
    1
    4
    W
    26.04.26
    Primeira Liga
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Porto
    Porto
    1.43
    2.03
    0
    6
    15
    15
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    1.43
    2.03
    0
    6
    15
    15
    3
    3
    W
    22.04.26
    Taca de Portugal
    Porto
    Porto
    1
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    -
    -
    6
    4
    22
    8
    3
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    4
    22
    8
    3
    3
    D
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Sporting Lisbon Team Overview

    🟢 This season, domestically, Sporting have only suffered two defeats. One came against Porto in the league and the other against Vitória Guimarães in the League Cup. That's it. Against everyone else, the "Lions" have been impressive. Even in their last Primeira Liga match, their victory over Nacional was well-deserved, although it was snatched at the very end. Sporting are looking very confident.

    ⚪️ A potential downside could be their cup match against ABC, but it's unlikely to be a major issue. The opponents put up a fierce resistance, which might actually serve as a good tune-up before facing Porto. Ultimately, Sporting advanced past ABC, but they needed extra time and conceded twice. It seems there was an attempt to conserve energy, which is quite logical, though it didn't pan out well in the end.

    Match Results: Sporting Lisbon

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    Taca de Portugal
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    1
    SCU Torreense
    SCU Torreense
    -
    -
    20
    2
    16
    17
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    20
    2
    16
    17
    3
    3
    L
    16.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    1.67
    0.88
    6
    1
    13
    14
    0
    1
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1.67
    0.88
    6
    1
    13
    14
    0
    1
    W
    11.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Rio Ave
    Rio Ave
    2
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    0.81
    1.82
    5
    6
    9
    7
    1
    2
    1
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0.81
    1.82
    5
    6
    9
    7
    1
    2
    W
    04.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    4.23
    0.52
    1
    7
    7
    13
    0
    3
    5
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    4.23
    0.52
    1
    7
    7
    13
    0
    3
    W
    29.04.26
    Primeira Liga
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Tondela
    Tondela
    2.19
    1.41
    5
    5
    16
    8
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    2.19
    1.41
    5
    5
    16
    8
    2
    3
    D
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Latest news

    Porto

    🎙 Francesco Farioli reflected on his team's performance in the 20th round of the championship: “In a long season, there can be games where everything goes wrong for us. We started very well, our approach was positive, and we had some good moments. The first time Casa Pia broke through the midfield, they scored. The second time, we scored an own goal. In recent games, we've conceded from two penalties and two own goals. We tried to play our game as always. I think we lacked aggression in certain moments; we could have done better, but today, especially towards the end, we really tried hard, but it wasn't enough. Casa Pia defended well. It was very difficult to play in the penalty area, even on both sides, but there are no excuses. We need to turn the page. The support of our fans at the end of the game will help us with that. Now we have a week to prepare and continue working as we have been so far.”

    ❌ For Porto, Luuk de Jong and Nehuén Pérez remain sidelined. There are no new additions to the injury list.

    Sporting Lisbon

    🎙 Following Sporting's 3-2 victory over ABC in the Portuguese Cup, Rui Borges reflected on this challenging triumph and its potential impact on the upcoming "Clásico" against Porto on Monday: "It was a competent performance. ABC constantly played on the counter, and we weren't quite prepared for that. Then, perhaps the team relaxed a bit after going 2-0 up, and ABC leveled the score somewhat fortuitously. But that's the beauty of football. It forced us to seek other solutions. Anxiety got the better of us, and we ended up making many mistakes in extra time."

    ❌ Out of action are Zeno Debast, Giovanni Quenda, and Fotis Ioannidis. Significant losses in the context of the clash with Porto.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    The teams don't always deliver high-scoring matches, but this time seems different. Porto are eager to bounce back from their first loss of the season, while Sporting also had an underwhelming cup performance. This could lead to a flurry of goals, especially given that neither side is currently at their best. It's reasonable to bet on a total of more than 2 goals.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    Expect around 8 or 9 corners. That's the typical range in their head-to-head meetings. While both giants generally produce a high number of corners, the trend might shift in this encounter. The defenses have little reason to escalate the situation. A bet on total corners under 9.5 looks quite promising.

    Editor's Prediction

    The stakes are high in this match, so mistakes are inevitable. The attacking prowess of both giants is competent enough to seize their opportunities. Recent match statistics show that both Porto and Sporting have not been at their defensive best. The last two head-to-head encounters also ended with both teams finding the net. We're placing a bet on both teams to score. We anticipate an exciting match with plenty of goals, predicting a final score of 2-2.

    Our choice
    Both Teams To Score (Yes) at odds of -118*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (6 February 2026, 11:57)

    Betting Tips: Porto - Sporting Lisbon

    Porto have won the 2nd half
    fc-porto-1in last 8 games (Primeira Liga).
    2nd Half Porto Win
    Everygame
    +170
    Porto have won
    fc-porto-1in 11 of last 12 games (Primeira Liga).
    Porto Win
    Bovada
    +152
    Sporting Lisbon have won
    sporting-cpin 6 of last 7 games (Primeira Liga).
    Sporting Lisbon Win
    Bovada
    +190
    Sporting Lisbon have drawn
    fc-porto-1sporting-cpin 4 of last 5 away games against Porto (Primeira Liga).
    Draw
    Bovada
    +210
    View more facts

    Porto - Sporting Table position

    Liga Portugal 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Porto
    Porto
    34284266-1888
    2.
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    34257289-2482
    3.
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    342311074-2580
    4.
    Braga
    Braga
    341611764-3659
    5.
    Famalicao
    Famalicao
    341511842-2956
    6.
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    3413111047-3850

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 4
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 13
    Conceded - 9
    +4
    +9
    18 - Scored
    9 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    4
    3
    Draws
    4
    2
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    13
    Scored
    18
    9
    Conceded
    9
    2.2
    Match goals average
    2.7
    1.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.8
    0.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.9
    5
    Both teams scored
    6
    69'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    52'
    View all stats