Rostov vs FC Dynamo-Makhachkala Prediction 4 March 2026

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The main thing

    🔊 Rostov and Dynamo Makhachkala are set to clash once again in the Russian Cup. The teams have already faced off twice in the group stage of the RPL Path, and now they'll meet in the playoffs of the Regional Path. Their last two head-to-head encounters ended in a draw after regulation time. Can either team settle the outcome of the upcoming match within 90 minutes? Our editorial team provides an insightful prediction on the odds of this happening.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 In their last five head-to-head encounters, the teams have settled for a draw on three occasions. Another match ended in a draw during regular time, but since someone must emerge victorious in the RPL Path group stage, Dynamo celebrated a triumph in October last year. Another fixture in the same cup, but from the previous edition, saw Makhachkala claim victory. Notably, only one of these matches ended goalless, with both sides finding the net in all other encounters.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    14%
    1 Win
    43%
    3 Draws
    43%
    3 Wins
    Total games
    7
    Total Goals Avg
    2.14
    Both teams scored
    71%
    0.86
    Total average
    1.29
    3.71
    Corner
    2.57
    2.14
    Yellow cards
    2.57
    12.43
    Fouls
    12.71
    Last matches
    02.05.26
    RPL
    Dynamo-Makhachkala
    Dynamo-Makhachkala
    Rostov
    Rostov
    1.21
    0.15
    3
    1
    14
    22
    1
    4
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1.21
    0.15
    3
    1
    14
    22
    1
    4
    04.03.26
    Russian Cup
    Rostov
    Rostov
    1
    Dynamo-Makhachkala
    Dynamo-Makhachkala
    -
    -
    4
    1
    14
    19
    3
    2
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    1
    14
    19
    3
    2
    25.10.25
    RPL
    Rostov
    Rostov
    Dynamo-Makhachkala
    Dynamo-Makhachkala
    0.67
    1.43
    1
    4
    18
    22
    4
    3
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.67
    1.43
    1
    4
    18
    22
    4
    3
    02.10.25
    Russian Cup
    Dynamo-Makhachkala
    Dynamo-Makhachkala
    Rostov
    Rostov
    -
    -
    0
    7
    20
    22
    4
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    4
    2
    -
    -
    0
    7
    20
    22
    4
    2
    27.08.25
    Russian Cup
    Rostov
    Rostov
    Dynamo-Makhachkala
    Dynamo-Makhachkala
    -
    -
    6
    2
    0
    0
    1
    3
    1
    3
    0
    0
    1
    3
    -
    -
    6
    2
    0
    0
    1
    3
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    Rostov Team Overview

    Rostov kicked off the second half of the season with a defeat in the southern derby against Krasnodar on the road (1-2). To be fair, Jonathan Alba's squad showed real fighting spirit, equalizing with a penalty during the match and even having chances to level the score despite being a man down.

    In the group stage of Quartet C in the RPL path, Rostov finished third, trailing six points behind the second place. The "Yellow-Blues" displayed inconsistent results, securing just two victories. While the triumph over Paris NN was expected (4-1), the 2-1 away win against Spartak stands out from their other performances. Ultimately, Rostov dropped into the playoffs of the Regions Path, where they confidently defeated Neftekhimik from the FNL in the first round (3-1).

    Match Results: Rostov

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    RPL
    Rostov
    Rostov
    1
    Zenit Saint Petersburg
    Zenit Saint Petersburg
    0.31
    1.36
    2
    9
    14
    15
    4
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0.31
    1.36
    2
    9
    14
    15
    4
    1
    L
    11.05.26
    RPL
    Akron Tolyatti
    Akron Tolyatti
    Rostov
    Rostov
    1.48
    1.31
    5
    2
    13
    10
    1
    2
    1
    3
    1
    3
    0
    0
    1.48
    1.31
    5
    2
    13
    10
    1
    2
    W
    02.05.26
    RPL
    Dynamo-Makhachkala
    Dynamo-Makhachkala
    Rostov
    Rostov
    1.21
    0.15
    3
    1
    14
    22
    1
    4
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1.21
    0.15
    3
    1
    14
    22
    1
    4
    W
    25.04.26
    RPL
    Rostov
    Rostov
    Orenburg
    Orenburg
    0.51
    0.97
    7
    3
    14
    17
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.51
    0.97
    7
    3
    14
    17
    0
    3
    L
    21.04.26
    RPL
    CSKA Moscow
    CSKA Moscow
    Rostov
    Rostov
    0.56
    0.70
    7
    8
    12
    14
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0.56
    0.70
    7
    8
    12
    14
    2
    1
    D
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    Dynamo-Makhachkala Team Overview

    In the first round after the winter break, Dynamo snapped a five-game losing streak, which also extended to the cup. On Saturday, in snowy conditions at the Anzhi Arena, the Makhachkala side hosted Rubin and secured a come-from-behind victory, thanks to two penalties (2-1). However, it's not just the set pieces and weather that deserve credit: the hosts displayed remarkable tenacity, consistently winning second balls and outmatching their visitors in xG by more than five times (1.72 to 0.31).

    Vadim Yevseyev's team had an impressive group stage in the RPL Path, collecting 12 points over six matches, only trailing Spartak on goal difference. Notably, Dynamo defeated those same Moscow opponents away, albeit via penalties (1-1 in regular time). As for Rostov, who finished third in the same group, the Makhachkala side managed to beat them twice.

    Match Results: Dynamo-Makhachkala

    Last matches
    23.05.26
    RPL
    Dynamo-Makhachkala
    Dynamo-Makhachkala
    Ural Yekaterinburg
    Ural Yekaterinburg
    1.30
    0.39
    4
    2
    13
    14
    1
    4
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.30
    0.39
    4
    2
    13
    14
    1
    4
    W
    20.05.26
    RPL
    Ural Yekaterinburg
    Ural Yekaterinburg
    Dynamo-Makhachkala
    Dynamo-Makhachkala
    0.61
    0.29
    7
    4
    12
    11
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0.61
    0.29
    7
    4
    12
    11
    1
    2
    W
    17.05.26
    RPL
    Dynamo-Makhachkala
    Dynamo-Makhachkala
    Spartak Moscow
    Spartak Moscow
    1
    0.40
    0.99
    3
    4
    12
    16
    4
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.40
    0.99
    3
    4
    12
    16
    4
    2
    D
    10.05.26
    RPL
    Akhmat Grozny
    Akhmat Grozny
    Dynamo-Makhachkala
    Dynamo-Makhachkala
    1.23
    0.52
    4
    6
    12
    20
    2
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.23
    0.52
    4
    6
    12
    20
    2
    0
    D
    02.05.26
    RPL
    Dynamo-Makhachkala
    Dynamo-Makhachkala
    Rostov
    Rostov
    1.21
    0.15
    3
    1
    14
    22
    1
    4
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1.21
    0.15
    3
    1
    14
    22
    1
    4
    L
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Rostov

    🎙 Rostov's head coach took responsibility for the defeat against Krasnodar. "The team fought until the end, and we had our chances. If we had played with full squads, perhaps the result would have been different. I took risks, and it's my fault. I can't say a single bad word about our players. I believe we lost today because of my decisions," said Jonathan Alba.

    ❌ Rostov navigated the winter training camps without any losses. In their first RPL match after the winter break, the "Yellow-Blues" also remained injury-free.

    Dynamo-Makhachkala

    🎙 Dynamo's head coach commented on the weather conditions during the match against Rubin. "We discussed the weather conditions a lot before the game. But this is Russia, we play in any weather. It's good that the delegates and referees slightly delayed the start of the match. By the second half, the players had already melted the snow," said Vadim Yevseyev.

    ❌ Despite the challenging weather, Dynamo managed to avoid injuries in the match against Rubin. However, Jemal Tabidze and Alexander Sandrachuk remain sidelined from the first half of the season.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    When analyzing the performances of both teams solely within the context of the Russian Cup, their results and the entertainment value of the matches transform remarkably. This is slightly less applicable to Rostov, although their matches in this competition have consistently surpassed the 1.5 total goals mark in five consecutive outings. As for the head-to-head encounters between the clubs, there has been a goal exchange in 4 out of 5 official meetings and in 7 out of 8 overall, regardless of status. With such background information, there is a high probability that both teams will score (yes).

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    Vadim Evseev is a true tactical enthusiast, having experimented with five different formations in Dynamo's last five official matches. While this hasn't yet yielded the desired results in the Russian Premier League, the Makhachkala side ranks among the league's top teams in certain metrics. For instance, they average 4.47 corners over 19 rounds. We anticipate that in Rostov, the "white-blues" won't just sit back defensively. Therefore, we suggest considering a bet on Dynamo's total corners over 4.5.

    Editorial Prediction

    We've noticed that both teams perform significantly better in the Russian Cup compared to the league matches, so it's worth examining the difference in their stats across these competitions. In the Russian Premier League, both sides average less than a goal per game, but in the Cup, Dynamo have seen the total exceed 1.5 goals in six of their last seven matches, while Rostov have done so in five consecutive games. Their head-to-head clashes also reflect this trend, with at least two goals scored in seven of their last eight meetings.

    Due to these discrepancies in scoring between the Cup and the league, bookmakers are offering favorable odds on total goals, including on the lower side of the spectrum. We suggest capitalizing on this by betting on over 2 total goals. We give the edge to the visitors, who have started the second half of the season more successfully and have shown better form in their recent official encounters (1:2).

    Our choice
    Total goals Over (2) at odds of -112*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (3 March 2026, 08:19)

    Betting Tips: Rostov - Dynamo-Makhachkala

    Dynamo-Makhachkala have not won:
    fc-dynamo-makhachkalain 14 of last 15 away games.
    Rostov will not lose
    -400
    Rostov have scored under 1.5 goals:
    fc-rostov-1fc-dynamo-makhachkalain last 5 games against Dynamo-Makhachkala.
    fc-rostov-1in 17 of last 19 home games.
    Rostov Total goals Under (1,5)
    -208
    Rostov have conceded:
    fc-rostov-1in last 7 games (Russian Cup).
    Dynamo-Makhachkala have scored:
    fc-dynamo-makhachkalain last 10 games (Russian Cup).
    Dynamo-Makhachkala will score goal
    -167
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    fc-rostov-1in last 5 Rostov games (Russian Cup).
    fc-dynamo-makhachkalain 6 of last 7 Dynamo-Makhachkala games (Russian Cup).
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    -208
    View more facts

    Rostov - FC Dynamo-Makhachkala Table position

    Group stage Group C
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Spartak Moscow
    Spartak Moscow
    641113-513
    2.
    Dynamo-Makhachkala
    Dynamo-Makhachkala
    63219-713
    3.
    Rostov
    Rostov
    62138-97
    4.
    Pari NN
    Pari NN
    61054-133

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 2
    Draws - 5
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 8
    Conceded - 9
    -1
    0
    10 - Scored
    10 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    2
    2
    Draws
    5
    5
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    8
    Scored
    10
    9
    Conceded
    10
    1.7
    Match goals average
    2
    0.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    1
    0.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1
    4
    Both teams scored
    6
    113'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    90'
    View all stats