Olimpija vs Celje Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 28 October 2026
🔊 Olimpija Ljubljana come into this First Liga match in steadier form, sitting fourth. Celje are sixth and further adrift, but they have not been written out of the title race. This is comfortably the standout fixture of the round - the winner will move into the top three of the Slovenian championship.
Cautious Success for Celje
📊 Celje won the last head-to-head meeting in the First League 08 August 2026 - 1-0. After a goalless first half, the hosts scored the only goal of the game; they had more possession (58% to 42%) and more shots on target (4 to 2).
Across 69 official meetings, Olimpija Ljubljana hold the upper hand: 28 wins to Celje's 18, with 23 draws. Ljubljana's side also lead on goals - 97:84.
Head-to-head statistics Olimpija - Celje
Olimpija are solid at home
Olimpija Ljubljana's most recent Prva liga match on 16 October 2026 ended in a 1-0 away win over Aluminij. The score was level at half-time, but the visitors had clearly outshot their hosts by that point: 16 attempts to 7, including 6 on target to 1.
Over their last five matches, Olimpija Ljubljana have won three, lost one and drawn one. They are averaging 1.3 goals scored per game and 0.9 conceded. At home, Olimpija Ljubljana are highly reliable, going unbeaten in 8 of their 9 First Liga home matches. They trail leaders Maribor by six points, but that gap can easily be reduced if they avoid dropping points in their October and November fixtures.
Match Results: Olimpija Ljubljana
Celje’s modest attacking line
Celje's away trip to Prevalje in the Slovenian Cup 25 October 2026 ended in a 2-0 win after a goalless first half. In that match, the team had 71% possession, had 22 shots to their opponents' three and won 10 corners to two.
Celje have won two of their last five matches, drawing two and losing one - a run that looks less convincing than their hosts'. Their scoring average is modest: 0.9 goals scored per game and 1.0 conceded. Celje are now stretched across three competitions, including the Europa League, so fatigue and attempts to manage their workload could work against them.
Match Results: Celje
Match Result Prediction
Olimpija Ljubljana have gone unbeaten at home in 8 of their last 9 matches. This season they have three wins and two draws from six home games, with just one defeat. Olimpija Ljubljana have also shown more consistent home results than Celje, who have won only twice in six away matches this season. The pick is Double Chance - 1X at odds of 1.44.
High-Risk Bet
Olimpija are on a solid unbeaten run at home and have accumulated more points on their own ground this season. Although Celje's away record is not the weakest, the home side's no-defeat trend and consistent results make Olimpija Ljubljana - Handicap (-0.5) worth considering. A draw cannot be ruled out, though, so this is a higher-risk bet. The odds are 2.48.
Safer Bet
In the last seven head-to-head matches played at Olimpija Ljubljana's ground, every game has produced more than 1.5 goals. Both teams also have average scoring and conceding figures that support the likelihood of at least two goals per match. The odds on Total Goals - Over 1.5 are 1.28.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12.73%), 0-1 (10.64%) and 1-0 (10.27%). The probabilities are fairly close across all three, with a 1-1 draw coming out as the most likely outcome. This distribution reflects the cautious nature of both sides and a slight home advantage for Olimpija Ljubljana.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Celje have a packed schedule of matches and travel, so they will likely try to keep things tight against one of the title contenders rather than getting drawn into an open game against a fresher and better-prepared opponent. No more than three goals were scored in 15 of Olimpija's last 17 matches, and in each of Celje's last seven away matches. My selection is Total Goals - Under 3.
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Betting Tips: Olimpija Ljubljana - Celje
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